1. Realities, Challenges, and Promises - Promoting the Next Generation of English Teachers in China Jun Liu May 18, 2007 Beijing, China

2. Did You Know . . .

3. The 25% of the population in China with the highest IQ’s . . .

4. Is greater than the total population of North America.

5. China will soon become the number one English speaking country in the world.

6. If you took every single job in the U.S. today and shipped it to China . . .

7. China would still have a labor surplus.

8. The U.S. Department of Labor estimates that today’s learner will have 10-14 jobs . . .

9. By the age of 38.

10. According to the U.S. Department of Labor . . .

11. 1 out of 4 workers today is working for a company they have been employed by for less than one year.

12. More than 1 out of 2 are working for a company they have worked for for less than five years.

13. According to former Secretary of Education Richard Riley . . .

14. The top 10 in-demand jobs in 2010 didn’t exist in 2004.

15. We are currently preparing students for jobs that don’t yet exist . . .

16. Using technologies that haven’t been invented . . .

17. In order to solve problems we don’t even know are problems yet.

18. Did you know . . .

19. We are living in exponential times.

20. There are over 2.7 billion searches performed on Google each month.

21. To whom were these questions addressed B.G.? (Before Google)

22. Did you know . . .

23. The number of text messages sent and received every day exceeds the population of the planet.

24. There are about 540,000 words in the English language . . .

25. About 5 times as many as during Shakespeare’s time.

26. More than 3,000 new books are published . . .

27. Daily.

28. It’s estimated that a week’s worth of New York Times . . .

29. Contains more information than a person was likely to come across in a lifetime in the 18th century.

30. It’s estimated that 1. 5 exabytes (that’s 1
It’s estimated that 1.5 exabytes (that’s 1.5 x 1018) of unique new information will be generated worldwide this year.

31. That’s estimated to be more than in the previous 5,000 years.

32. The amount of new technical information is doubling every 2 years.

33. That means for a student starting a four-year technical or college degree . . .

34. Half of what they learn in their first year of study will be outdated by their third year of study.

35. It’s predicted to double every 72 hours by 2010.

36. Now you know . . .

37. It is not easy to be a teacher in this information age.

38. It is even more difficult to be a language educator, because

39. Language Education is affected by multiple factors, such as political, economic, and educational.

40. Table 1: Real GDP Growth
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
World
4.17
1.49
2.15
2.62
3.87
3.41
3.84
3.54
Western Europe
3.88
1.74
1.24
1.19
2.35
1.73
2.59
2.29
Eastern Europe
6.29
4.04
3.8
5.67
6.65
5.42
5.94
5.58
North America
0.87
1.69
2.45
3.85
3.18
3.37
2.91
Latin America & Caribbean
3.97
0.4
0.32
1.77
5.57
4.06
4.48 4
Asia Pacific
4.75
2.25
3.17
4.27
5.25
5.62
5.39
Australasia
3.31
2.3
4.19
3.14
3.62
2.47
2.87
3.27
Africa and Middle East
4.64
0.77
5.85
3.9
4.05
4.01
3.75

41. Table 2: Real GDP growth in some main countries
Real GDP growth S1
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006(f)
France 4
1.8
1.1 2
1.2
2.4
Germany
3.1
-0.2
0.9
United Kingdom
3.8
2.1
2.7
3.3
1.9
Russia 10
5.1
4.7
7.3
7.2
6.4
6.5
Canada
5.2
2.9
USA
3.7
0.8
1.6
2.5
3.9
3.2
3.4
China
8.4
8.3
9.1
10.1
10.2

42. Real GDP growth in Asian countries in particular
Real GDP growth S1
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006(f)
Hong Kong, China 10
0.6
1.8
3.2
8.6
7.3 6
India
5.3
4.1
4.3
7.2 8
8.5
8.3
Indonesia
5.4
3.6
4.5
4.8
5.1
5.6
5.2
Japan
2.9
0.4
0.1
2.3
2.6
2.7
Malaysia
8.9
0.3
4.4
5.5
Philippines
4.9
6.2 5
Singapore
-2.3 4
8.7
6.4
6.9
South Korea
3.8 7
3.1
4.7
Taiwan
5.8
-2.2
4.2
3.4
6.1
Thailand
2.2
Vietnam
6.8
7.1
7.8
8.4

43. Table 3:Exports in some main countries
historic - US$ mn
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Germany
571359
977824
USA
781918
693103
724771
907157
China
249203
266098
325591
437899
593439
Japan
471818
565675
594905
France
436933
Italy
239886
299412
United Kingdom
268578
Russia
105566
101886
107302
135930
183209
243572
Brazil
India
43273
49312

44. Figure: Internet top ten languages

45. Table 4: Top Ten Languages Used in the Web
Percentage of Users
Number of Users
Internet Penetration
Internet Growth
World Population
English
29.70%
322,600,837
28.70%
135.20%
1,125,664,397
Chinese
13.30%
144,301,513
10,8 %
346.70%
1,340,767,863
Japanese
7.90%
86,300,000
67.20%
83.30%
128,389,000
Spanish
7.50%
81,729,671
18.70%
231.10%
437,502,257
German
5.40%
58,854,682
61.30%
113.20%
95,982,043
French
4.60%
49,660,498
13.00%
307.10%
381,193,149
Portuguese
3.10%
34,064,760
14.80%
349.60%
230,846,275
Korean
32,372,000
45.80%
78.00%
73,945,860
Italian
2.70%
28,870,000
48.80%
118.70%
59,115,261
Russian
2.20%
23,700,000
16.50%
664.50%
143,682,757
TOP TEN
79.50%
863,981,961
21.50%
166.70%
4,017,088,863
Rest
20.50%
222,268,942
9.00%
500.00%
2,482,608,197
WORLD TOTAL
100.00%
1,086,250,903
16.70%
200.90%
6,499,697,060

46. Table 5:Internet users and population statistics for Asia
REGION
Population
( 2006 Est. )
Pop.
of World
Internet
Users
Usage
Use
Growth
Asia Only
3,667,774,066
56.40%
387,593,457
10.60%
35.50%
239.10%
Rest of
the World
2,831,922,994
43.60%
704,137,404
24.90%
64.50%
185.40%
WORLD
TOTAL
6,499,697,060
100.00%
1,091,730,861
16.80%
202.40%

47. Table 6: Asia internet usage and population (1)
( 2006 Est.)
Internet
Users
(Year 2000)
Latest Data
Penetration
in Asia
Use
Growth
China
1,306,724,067
22,500,000
132,000,000
10.10%
34.10%
486.7%
Hong
Kong
7,054,867
2,283,000
4,878,713
69.20%
1.30%
113.7%
India
1,112,225,812
5,000,000
40,000,000
3.60%
10.60%
700.0%
Indonesia
221,900,701
2,000,000
18,000,000
8.10%
4.80%
800.0%
Japan
128,389,000
47,080,000
86,300,000
67.20%
22.80%
83.3%
Korea,
South
50,633,265
19,040,000
33,900,000
67.00%
9.00%
78.0%
Malaysia
27,392,442
3,700,000
11,016,000
40.20%
2.90%
197.7%

48. Asia internet usage and population (2)
( 2006 Est.)
Internet
Users
(Year 2000)
Latest Data
Penetration
in Asia
Use
Growth
Pakistan
163,985,373
133,900
10,500,000
6.40%
2.80%
7741.7%
Philippines
85,712,221
2,000,000
7,820,000
9.10%
2.10%
291.0%
Singapore
3,601,745
1,200,000
2,421,000
67.20%
0.60%
101.8%
Taiwan
22,896,488
6,260,000
13,800,000
60.30%
3.60%
120.4%
Thailand
66,527,571
2,300,000
8,420,000
12.70%
2.20%
266.1%
Vietnam
83,944,402
200,000
14,210,244
16.90%
7005.1%
TOTAL
3,667,774,066
114,303,000
387,593,457
10.60%
100.00%
239.1%

49. English Education in China
One billion EFL learners in 2000 and will double in 2010
300 million EFL learners in China spending $60 billion a year

50. How many teachers are needed to teach English in China?
If one teacher teaches 100 students, then there needs about 3 million EFL teacher in China, and 6 million in 2010.

51. Who is going to teach English?
Those who are learning English in primary schools will take over the teaching of English to the next generation of learners in the next 10 to 15 years.

52. Market Opportunities Higher disposable income
More spending on child education
More emphasis on English communication skills beyond exams
Lack of stimulating, convenient and affordable environment
Better Internet infrastrucure

53. How can future teachers be trained?
Completely different ways
Self-training
On-line training
Side-training
Global training

54. But, there needs the following:
Curriculum development
Pedagogical innovations
Content based instruction
Communicative competence
Learner autonomy

55. Ten Challenges Skills training 2. Motivation 3. Grammar 4. Methods
5. World Englishes
6. Critical practice
7. Disciplinary collaboration
8. Strategy training
9. Starting age
10. Alternative assessment

56. So…
The future is in your hands.