1. Jean-François Lebrun et Manuel Hubert
Anticipation for a better management of change Brussels, 2 December 2009
Jean-François Lebrun et Manuel Hubert
DG Employment, social affairs and equal opportunities

2. Strategies – Main tools
Develop and
stimulate
anticipative actions
Anticipation
Anticipation
Training,
Economic development,
(ERDF, ESF,…)
Preparation
Preparation
Management
of change
Good practices, toolkits
(EGF)
New needs
Comprehensive sectoral analysis of emerging competences and economic activities
02-December-09
Directorate-General for Employment, Social Affairs and Equal Opportunities – Unit F3

3. Project objectives Develop culture of anticipation
Make a case for human resources key to competitiveness
Involve all relevant stakeholders
Meet the goals of the new skills for new jobs initiative
Foresight Forecast
02-December-09
Directorate-General for Employment, Social Affairs and Equal Opportunities – Unit F3

4. Sectoral studies methodology
Possible future evolutions and strategies
Step 3: Scenarios employment evolution until 2020
Step 2:
Drivers of change
Step 7:
Education & training implications
Step 8:
Recommendations
Step 1:
Sector Mapping
Step 4:
Implications for
employment and occupations
Step 5:
Emerging competences
Step 6:
Strategic choices
Past and present situation
Focus on skills and competences
02-December-09
Directorate-General for Employment, Social Affairs and Equal Opportunities – Unit F3

5. Sectoral studies methodology
Possible future evolutions and strategies
TNO + SEOR +ZSI
Oxford Research
Alphametrics
Economix
IKEI
BIPE
Alpha Group +
Danish Technogical Institute
(construction – DG ENTR)
Step 3: Scenarios employment evolution until 2020
Step 2:
Drivers of change
Step 7:
Education & training implications
Step 8:
Recommendations
Step 1:
Sector Mapping
Step 4:
Implications for
employment and occupations
Step 5:
Emerging competences
Step 6:
Strategic choices
Past and present situation
Focus on skills and competences
02-December-09
Directorate-General for Employment, Social Affairs and Equal Opportunities – Unit F3

6. Timing Jun 06 Restructuring Forum « sectoral policies »
Feb 07 Merger of Job relocation study (EP) with foresight sectoral studies (Progress)
Mar 07 Methodology
Oct 07 Pilot study « automotive sector »
Jan 08 Kick-off meeting
Oct 08 First expert workshop
Mar 09 Last expert workshop
Jun 09 Publication of the results on-line
Dec 09 Restructuring Forum « Sectors’ New skills for new jobs »
02-December-09
Directorate-General for Employment, Social Affairs and Equal Opportunities – Unit F3

7. Partners European Parliament
European Economic and Social Committee (CCMI)
Committee of Regions
European sectoral social partners
Eurofound (EMCC)
Cedefop
Commission services (EMPL, EAC, ENTR,…)
+ Employers, Experts, Academics, Sector Skill Councils,…
02-December-09
Directorate-General for Employment, Social Affairs and Equal Opportunities – Unit F3

8. Main output and follow-up
Role of stakeholders to use these results and make them more operational!
Specific recommendations for 18 sectors
Publication of results in June 2009
WE NEED TO MANAGE SOCIAL COSTS
Restructuring Forum on 7&8 December 2009
- Analysis of transferable competences across sectors
- Sector councils on employment and skills at EU level
EU follow-up
02-December-09
Directorate-General for Employment, Social Affairs and Equal Opportunities – Unit F3
Directorate-General for Employment, Social Affairs and Equal Opportunities – Unit F3 8

9. Other activities Realised Guide for training in SMEs
Restructuring in Europe report
Checklist on restructuring processes
Sectoral studies
Several Restructuring Forums
Current
Toolkit on restructuring
National restructuring seminars in 27 countries(6/10)
Future
Sector skill councils
New Restructuring Forums
02-December-09
Directorate-General for Employment, Social Affairs and Equal Opportunities – Unit F3
Directorate-General for Employment, Social Affairs and Equal Opportunities – Unit F3 9

10. Thank you very much for your attention!
Contact:
02-December-09
Directorate-General for Employment, Social Affairs and Equal Opportunities – Unit F3