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Practice I think it is colder in Philadelphia than in Anaheim ( = .10). To test this, I got temperatures from these two places on the Internet.

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Presentation on theme: "Practice I think it is colder in Philadelphia than in Anaheim ( = .10). To test this, I got temperatures from these two places on the Internet."— Presentation transcript:

1

2 Practice I think it is colder in Philadelphia than in Anaheim ( = .10). To test this, I got temperatures from these two places on the Internet.

3 Results Philadelphia 52 53 54 61 55 Anaheim 77 75 67

4 Hypotheses Alternative hypothesis Null hypothesis
H1: Philadelphia < Anaheim Null hypothesis H0:  Philadelphia = or >  Anaheim

5 Step 2: Calculate the Critical t
df = N1 + N2 - 2 df = = 6  = .10 One-tailed t critical =

6 Step 3: Draw Critical Region
tcrit = -1.44

7 Now Step 4: Calculate t observed
tobs = (X1 - X2) / Sx1 - x2

8 X1= 275 X12= 15175 N1 = 5 X1 = 55 X2= 219 X22= 16043 N2 = 3 X2 = 73 219 275 16043 15175 3 5 5 3

9 = 3.05 X1= 275 X12= 15175 N1 = 5 X1 = 55 X2= 219 X22= 16043
15987 15175 15125 3 5 5 3 6 = 3.05

10 Step 4: Calculate t observed
-5.90 = ( ) / 3.05 Sx1 - x2 = 3.05 X1 = 55 X2 = 73

11 Step 5: See if tobs falls in the critical region
tcrit = -1.44 tobs = -5.90

12 Step 6: Decision If tobs falls in the critical region:
Reject H0, and accept H1 If tobs does not fall in the critical region: Fail to reject H0

13 Step 7: Put answer into words
We Reject H0, and accept H1 Philadelphia is significantly ( = .10) colder than Anaheim.

14 So far. . . . We have been doing independent samples designs
The observations in one group were not linked to the observations in the other group

15 Example Philadelphia 52 53 54 61 55 Anaheim 77 75 67

16 Matched Samples Design
This can happen with: Natural pairs Matched pairs Repeated measures

17 Natural Pairs The pairing of two subjects occurs naturally (e.g., twins)

18 Matched Pairs When people are matched on some variable (e.g., age)

19 Repeated Measures The same participant is in both conditions

20 Matched Samples Design
In this type of design you label one level of the variable X and the other Y There is a logical reason for paring the X value and the Y value

21 Matched Samples Design
The logic and testing of this type of design is VERY similar to what you have already done!

22 Example You just invented a “magic math pill” that will increase test scores. On the day of the first test you give the pill to 4 subjects. When these same subjects take the second test they do not get a pill Did the pill increase their test scores?

23 Hypothesis One-tailed
Alternative hypothesis H1: pill > nopill In other words, when the subjects got the pill they had higher math scores than when they did not get the pill Null hypothesis H0: pill < or = nopill In other words, when the subjects got the pill their math scores were lower or equal to the scores they got when they did not take the pill

24 Results Test 1 w/ Pill (X) Mel 3 Alice 5 Vera 4 Flo 3
Test 2 w/o Pill (Y) 1 3 2

25 Step 2: Calculate the Critical t
N = Number of pairs df = N - 1 4 - 1 = 3  = .05 t critical = 2.353

26 Step 3: Draw Critical Region
tcrit = 2.353

27 Step 4: Calculate t observed
tobs = (X - Y) / SD

28 Step 4: Calculate t observed
tobs = (X - Y) / SD

29 Step 4: Calculate t observed
tobs = (X - Y) / SD X = 3.75 Y = 2.00

30 Step 4: Calculate t observed
tobs = (X - Y) / SD Standard error of a difference

31 Step 4: Calculate t observed
tobs = (X - Y) / SD SD = SD / N N = number of pairs

32 S =

33 S = Test 1 w/ Pill (X) Mel 3 Alice 5 Vera 4 Flo 3 Test 2 w/o Pill (Y)

34 S = Difference (D) 2 1 Test 1 w/ Pill (X) Mel 3 Alice 5 Vera 4 Flo 3
Test 2 w/o Pill (Y) 1 3 2 S =

35 S = Difference (D) 2 1 Test 1 w/ Pill (X) Mel 3 Alice 5 Vera 4 Flo 3
Test 2 w/o Pill (Y) 1 3 2 D = 7 D2 =13 N = 4 S =

36 S = Difference (D) 2 1 Test 1 w/ Pill (X) Mel 3 Alice 5 Vera 4 Flo 3
Test 2 w/o Pill (Y) 1 3 2 D = 7 D2 =13 N = 4 7 S =

37 S = Difference (D) 2 1 Test 1 w/ Pill (X) Mel 3 Alice 5 Vera 4 Flo 3
Test 2 w/o Pill (Y) 1 3 2 D = 7 D2 =13 N = 4 7 S = 13

38 S = Difference (D) 2 1 Test 1 w/ Pill (X) Mel 3 Alice 5 Vera 4 Flo 3
Test 2 w/o Pill (Y) 1 3 2 D = 7 D2 =13 N = 4 7 S = 13 4 4 - 1

39 S = Difference (D) 2 1 Test 1 w/ Pill (X) Mel 3 Alice 5 Vera 4 Flo 3
Test 2 w/o Pill (Y) 1 3 2 D = 7 D2 =13 N = 4 7 S = 13 12.25 4 3

40 .5 = Difference (D) 2 1 Test 1 w/ Pill (X) Mel 3 Alice 5 Vera 4 Flo 3
Test 2 w/o Pill (Y) 1 3 2 D = 7 D2 =13 N = 4 7 .5 = .75 4 3

41 Step 4: Calculate t observed
tobs = (X - Y) / SD SD = SD / N N = number of pairs

42 Step 4: Calculate t observed
tobs = (X - Y) / SD .25=.5 / 4 N = number of pairs

43 Step 4: Calculate t observed
7.0 = ( ) / .25

44 Step 5: See if tobs falls in the critical region
tcrit = 2.353

45 Step 5: See if tobs falls in the critical region
tcrit = 2.353 tobs = 7.0

46 Step 6: Decision If tobs falls in the critical region:
Reject H0, and accept H1 If tobs does not fall in the critical region: Fail to reject H0

47 Step 7: Put answer into words
Reject H0, and accept H1 When the subjects took the “magic pill” they received statistically ( = .05) higher math scores than when they did not get the pill

48 SPSS

49

50 New Step Should add a new page Determine if One-sample t-test
Two-sample t-test If it is a matched samples design If it is a independent samples

51 Thus, there are 3 different kinds of designs
Each design uses slightly different formulas You should probably make up ONE cook book page (with all 7 steps) for each type of design Will help keep you from getting confused on a test

52

53 Practice Does drinking milkshakes affect (alpha = .05) your weight?
To see if milkshakes affect a persons weight you collected data from 5 sets of twins. You randomly had one twin drink water and the other twin drank milkshakes. After 3 months you weighed them.

54 Results Water Twin A 186 Twin B 200 Twin C 190 Twin D 162 Twin E 175
Milkshakes 195 202 196 165 183

55 Hypothesis Two-tailed
Alternative hypothesis H1: water = milkshake Null hypothesis H0: water = milkshake

56 Step 2: Calculate the Critical t
N = Number of pairs df = N - 1 5 - 1 = 4  = .05 t critical = 2.776

57 Step 3: Draw Critical Region
tcrit = tcrit = 2.776

58 Step 4: Calculate t observed
tobs = (X - Y) / SD

59 (D) -9 -2 -6 -3 -8 D = -28 D2 =194 N = 6 -28 3.04 = 194 5 5 - 1

60 Step 4: Calculate t observed
tobs = (X - Y) / SD 1.36=3.04 / 5 N = number of pairs

61 Step 4: Calculate t observed
-4.11 = (182.6 – 188.2) / 1.36 X = 182.6 Y = 188.2 SD = 1.36

62 Step 5: See if tobs falls in the critical region
tcrit = tcrit = 2.776 tobs = -4.11

63 Step 6: Decision If tobs falls in the critical region:
Reject H0, and accept H1 If tobs does not fall in the critical region: Fail to reject H0

64 Step 7: Put answer into words
Reject H0, and accept H1 Milkshakes significantly ( = .05) affect a persons weight.

65

66 Practice You wonder if psychology majors have higher IQs than sociology majors ( = .05) You give an IQ test to 4 psychology majors and 4 sociology majors

67 Results Psychology 110 150 140 135 Sociology 90 95 80 98

68 Step 1: Hypotheses Alternative hypothesis Null hypothesis
H1: psychology > sociology Null hypothesis H0: psychology = or < sociology

69 Step 2: Calculate the Critical t
df = N1 + N2 - 2 df = = 6  = .05 One-tailed t critical = 1.943

70 Step 3: Draw Critical Region
tcrit = 1.943

71 Now Step 4: Calculate t observed
tobs = (X1 - X2) / Sx1 - x2

72 X1= 535 X12= 72425 N1 = 4 X1 = X2= 363 X22= 33129 N2 = 4 X2 = 90.75 9.38 = 363 535 72425 33129 4 4 4 (4 - 1)

73 Step 4: Calculate t observed
4.58 = ( ) / 9.38 Sx1 - x2 = 9.38 X1 = X2 = 90.75

74 Step 5: See if tobs falls in the critical region
tcrit = 1.943 tobs = 4.58

75 Step 6: Decision If tobs falls in the critical region:
Reject H0, and accept H1 If tobs does not fall in the critical region: Fail to reject H0

76 Step 7: Put answer into words
We Reject H0, and accept H1 Psychology majors have significantly ( = .05) higher IQs than sociology majors.

77 Practice I think it is colder in Philadelphia than in Anaheim ( = .10). To test this, I got temperatures from these two places on the Internet.

78 Results Philadelphia 52 53 54 61 55 Anaheim 77 75 67

79 Hypotheses Alternative hypothesis Null hypothesis
H1: Philadelphia < Anaheim Null hypothesis H0:  Philadelphia = or >  Anaheim

80 Step 2: Calculate the Critical t
df = N1 + N2 - 2 df = = 6  = .10 One-tailed t critical =

81 Step 3: Draw Critical Region
tcrit = -1.44

82 Now Step 4: Calculate t observed
tobs = (X1 - X2) / Sx1 - x2

83 = 3.05 X1= 275 X12= 15175 N1 = 5 X1 = 55 X2= 219 X22= 16043
15987 15175 15125 3 5 5 3 6 = 3.05

84 Step 4: Calculate t observed
-5.90 = ( ) / 3.05 Sx1 - x2 = 3.05 X1 = 55 X2 = 73

85 Step 5: See if tobs falls in the critical region
tcrit = -1.44 tobs = -5.90

86 Step 6: Decision If tobs falls in the critical region:
Reject H0, and accept H1 If tobs does not fall in the critical region: Fail to reject H0

87 Step 7: Put answer into words
We Reject H0, and accept H1 Philadelphia is significantly ( = .10) colder than Anaheim.

88 Practice You just created a new program that is suppose to lower the number of aggressive behaviors a child performs. You watched 6 children on a playground and recorded their aggressive behaviors. You gave your program to them. You then watched the same children and recorded this aggressive behaviors again.

89 Practice Did your program significantly lower ( = .05) the number of aggressive behaviors a child performed?

90 Results Time 1 (X) Child1 18 Child2 11 Child3 19 Child4 6 Child5 10
Time 2 (Y) 16 10 17 4 11 12

91 Hypothesis One-tailed
Alternative hypothesis H1: time1 > time2 Null hypothesis H0: time1 < or = time2

92 Step 2: Calculate the Critical t
N = Number of pairs df = N - 1 6 - 1 = 5  = .05 t critical = 2.015

93 Step 4: Calculate t observed
tobs = (X - Y) / SD

94 1.21 = (D) 2 1 -1 Time 1 (X) Child1 18 Child2 11 Child3 19 Child4 6
Test 2 (Y) 16 10 17 4 11 12 D = 8 D2 =18 N = 6 8 1.21 = 18 6 6 - 1

95 Step 4: Calculate t observed
tobs = (X - Y) / SD .49=1.21 / 6 N = number of pairs

96 Step 4: Calculate t observed
2.73 = ( ) / .49 X = 13 Y = 11.66 SD = .49

97 Step 5: See if tobs falls in the critical region
tcrit = 2.015 tobs = 2.73

98 Step 6: Decision If tobs falls in the critical region:
Reject H0, and accept H1 If tobs does not fall in the critical region: Fail to reject H0

99 Step 7: Put answer into words
Reject H0, and accept H1 The program significantly ( = .05) lowered the number of aggressive behaviors a child performed.

100 SPSS

101

102 Practice An early hypothesis of schizophrenia was that it has a simple genetic cause. In accordance with the theory 25% of the offspring of a selected group of parents would be expected to be diagnosed as schizophrenic. Suppose that of 140 offspring, 19.3% were schizophrenic. Test this theory.

103 Goodness of fit chi-square
Make sure you compute the Chi square with the frequencies. Chi square observed = 2.439 Critical = 3.84 These data are consistent with the theory!

104

105 Practice In the 1930’s 650 boys participated in the Cambridge-Somerville Youth Study. Half of the participants were randomly assigned to a delinquency-prevention pogrom and the other half to a control group. At the end of the study, police records were examined for evidence of delinquency. In the prevention program 114 boys had a police record and in the control group 101 boys had a police record. Analyze the data and write a conclusion.

106 Chi Square observed = 1.17 Chi Square critical = 3.84 Phi = .04
Note the results go in the opposite direction that was expected!

107 Practice A research study was conducted to examine the differences between older and younger adults on perceived life satisfaction. A pilot study was conducted to examine this hypothesis. Ten older adults (over the age of 70) and ten younger adults (between 20 and 30) were give a life satisfaction test (known to have high reliability and validity). Scores on the measure range from 0 to 60 with high scores indicative of high life satisfaction; low scores indicative of low life satisfaction. Determine if age is related to life satisfaction.

108 Older Adults Younger Adults 45 34 38 22 52 15 48 27 25 37 39 41 51 24 46 19 55 26 36

109 Age is related to life satisfaction.
Older Younger Mean = 44.5 Mean = 28.1 S = S = S2 = S2 = tobs = 4.257; t crit = 2.101 Age is related to life satisfaction.

110 Practice Sleep researchers decide to test the impact of REM sleep deprivation on a computerized assembly line task. Subjects are required to participate in two nights of testing. On each night of testing the subject is allowed a total of four hours of sleep. However, on one of the nights, the subject is awakened immediately upon achieving REM sleep. Subjects then took a cognitive test which assessed errors in judgment. Did sleep deprivation lower the subjects cognitive ability?

111 REM Deprived Control Condition 26 20 15 4 8 9 44 36 13 3 38 25 24 10 17 6 29 14

112 tobs = 6.175  tcrit = 1.83 Sleep deprivation lowered their cognitive abilities.

113 SPSS Problem #2 7.37 7.11


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