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Overall Changes: EV in the Four Experiments (in millions US $)

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Presentation on theme: "Overall Changes: EV in the Four Experiments (in millions US $)"— Presentation transcript:

1 Overall Changes: EV in the Four Experiments (in millions US $)

2 Changes of EV in High Income Countries (in million US $)

3 Decomposition: Changes of EV in US by policy instruments (in million US $)
Total effect Import tariffs Export subsidy Domestic support Lib_Trade Lib_Agri

4 Changes of EV in Developing Countries (in million US $)

5 Decomposition: Changes of EV in China by policy instruments (in million US $)
Total effect Import tariffs Export subsidy Lib_Revenue Domestic support Lib_Trade

6 Decomposition of EV: Changes in China (in million US $)
Total effect ToT-Effect Allocation effect Lib_Revenue Lib_Trade

7 Decomposition of ToT in Lib_Trade: Changes in China (in million US $)
Total effect pimport pexport Agriculture pworld Mnfcs Svces

8 Conclusions Developing Countries are gaining most from total trade liberalization The greatest effects of trade liberalization are attributed to the reduction of import tariffs Especially China shows large welfare gains Most of China’s welfare gains come from liberalization of manufactured products China’s welfare effect is dominated by the TOT effect The TOT effect of China is highly influenced by the change in export prices for manufactures The USA shows a mirror image of the welfare changes of China

9 Decomposition: Reduction import tariff, effects on China, production specific (in US $ million)
Effect on import tariff Mnfcs Other Crops Oilseed Grains Rest


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