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Course Intro & Overview

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1 Course Intro & Overview
University of Alaska-Anchorage * College of Business & Public Policy * Marketing Management Simulation * Course Intro & Overview

2 ejforrest@ uaa.alaska.edu
Professor Ed Forrest Telephone: (cell) uaa.alaska.edu

3 Overview: Market Structure & Demand * Segment Positioning & $Value
Overview: of Course Organize Companies/ Register w/ Capstone Overview: Market Structure & Demand  *  Segment Positioning & $Value Overview: Financial Situation Analysis

4 Your “study” of business … piece-meal & in isolation!

5 Marketing R&D HR Production Finance

6 Lecture-Learning

7 Learning & Retention 5% 75+%

8

9 THE CAPSTONE SIMULATION
Most widely used Business – Simulation Program in the World Adopted by major Fortune 500 companies ..General Motors, General Electric, Honeywell, Dell, John Deere, Citibank, Alcoa, BP, Allstate, Samsung, Goldman Sachs, Microsoft…

10 Strategic Thinking the ten big ideas
Simulation proffers you opportunity to experience every key dimension of strategic thinking developed to date: Strategic Thinking the ten big ideas

11 Economic Environment No outside competitors or product substitutes
Moderate growth, Low inflation, Averaged interest rates No outside competitors or product substitutes No economic downturns or other surprises ...

12 Sim designed this way for one reason:
Whatever happens will be result of your-tactical execution of strategies… not by external factors!

13 You Da’ Boss … run a $100M business ….

14 Your Product Line: SENSORS:

15 YOUR JOB: Make every decision In every Functional Domain
to create, produce & successfully market your products…

16 …success contingent on strategic integration of decisions across all domains:

17 You will Compete against other members of this class –running 5 other Corp’s ….
Andrews Baldwin Chester Digby Erie Ferris

18 Plus-- You will Compete Against Everyone Else in the World
...your decisions & performance will be compared against other teams competing at other universities… around the world

19 & How –to date-- have we fared in this World-Wide Competition??

20

21 Spring 2016 1st & 6th in ROA 3rd & 4th in profit;
8th & 9th cum profit, 5th ROE; 4th & 8th ROS; 5th in Stock Price 4th in Asset Turnover

22 #1 Fall 2014 Profit for Round 8 - Mean - $ 16,856,185
Top Ten Active Teams Professor School/Course Simid Team Value 1 Edward Forrest University of Alaska-Anchorage - Main Management Simulation C65883 Chester $ 179,894,270 2 Montchai Pinitjitsamut Kasetsart University - Main AgStrategy1 C63414 Erie $ 150,718,034 3 Erin Nelson DePaul University - Main GSB 599 C66845 $ 117,376,727 4 Veer Mehta Great Lakes PGPM - Main Great Lakes PGPM C66539 $ 102,062,415 5 Michael Stoica Washburn University - Main Strategic Analysis C66272 Baldwin $ 100,603,573 6 Vasant Sivaraman S.P. Jain Institute of Management and Research - Main Decision Analysis (Business Simulation)- C C65322 $ 99,817,375 7 Igor Gvozdanovic Zagreb School of Economics and Management - Main Maximizing and Measuring Corporate Value_CAPSTONE C67613 Andrews $ 97,578,131 8 IIM Shillong - Main IIM Shillong C61259 $ 97,216,158 9 $ 96,520,602 10 Dharam Pal BIMTECH India - Main BIMTECH India C65546 $ 95,719,172

23 As Well As….previous “Top 10” Finishes :
Spring : th Profit Spring : th Cum Profit Fall : st Profit Spring : th Cum Profit & 8th Profit Spring : rd Profit Fall : st Cum Profit & Stock Price Spring : th Asset Turnover; 1st, 6th & 8th ROE Fall : th Cum Profit Spring : rd & 9th ROE; 8th ROS;  9th Cum Profit Fall :   4 in & # 10 in profit  #5 in Stock Price  #6 in ROE  #3 & #7 in ROA   #8 in Asset Turnover

24

25 You are now the Captain…
... How’s your Company doing?

26 The Big Picture Company Consumers Competitors Conditions
Situation/SWOT Analysis Strategic Planning Functional Integration Performance Assessment Company Consumers Competitors Conditions PEST Growth & Competitive Strategies Finance HR Production R&D Marketing Functional Integration Profits Mrkt Share ROA ROS ROE Asset T/O Stock Mrkt Cap

27 1st Organize Companies

28 Leaders responsible for assuring strategy links values & vision ...
Strategic Thinking- the ten big ideas Prof Thomas/ Penn St. able to predict final standings w/in 1 place 90% of time –after observing initial group interaction... 7. Corporate culture & 8. Leadership craft... Leaders responsible for assuring strategy links values & vision ...

29 Overview: Market Structure & Demand * Segment Positioning & $Value
Overview: of Course Organize Companies/ Register w/ Capstone Overview: Market Structure & Demand  *  Segment Positioning & $Value

30 Strategic Plan Answers 3 Critical Q’s:
1.Where are we now? 2.Where do we want to go 3.How do we get there? = Situation Analysis

31 Market Segments: Big, old & cheap high-reliability & performance
proven sensors w/ current tech advanced sensors w/ focus on small size cutting-edge in both size & performance

32 Consumer Buying Criteria

33 5 SEGMENTS

34 DEMAND ANALYSIS: How Many Sensors / Segment want to buy across next 8 years:
Multiply the Round 0 demand by the growth rate and add the result to the Round 0 demand. This will give you a close approximation of Round 1 demand. Copy this number into the Demand cell for Round 1. If you prefer, you can use the following shortcut. For example, assume the Traditional growth rate is 9.2%. Convert the percentage to a decimal (9.2% = 0.092) and add 1 to it (1.092). Multiply the Round 0 Traditional demand by then round to the nearest whole number. This will give you a close approximation of Total Industry Demand for Round 1.

35 SENSOR INDUSTRY ONGOING GROWTH
..the entire market growing at around % per year.

36 Complete Demand Analysis @ CapSim
Intro |  Perceptual Map 1 |  Perceptual Map 2 |  Demand Analysis |  Capacity Analysis |  Margin Analysis |  Consumer Report

37 Drift Demo Cheaper too-$.50 drop in price/year Cheaper too-$.50 drop

38 MARKET SEGMENT DYNAMICS
Intro |  Perceptual Map 1 |  Perceptual Map 2 |  Demand Analysis |  Capacity Analysis |  Margin Analysis |  Consumer Report Calculate each Segment's IDEAL SPOT LOCATION -- rounds 1 thru 8 Getting Started/ Complete Online Situation Analysis/ Perceptual Map 2)

39 MARKET SEGMENT VALUE Herein- is an example of relative dollar value of each segment at present (year 0) and 5 years out.

40

41 Questions?


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