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„Analyses and management of

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1 „Analyses and management of
M.Sc.- Geography „Analyses and management of Natural Resources “ Prof. Dr. Gerold PD Dr. Jungkunst

2 Principal Motivation and Foci in Göttingen
Man and Environment – local, regional and global conflicts Development and management of restricted natural resources particularly: Water and soil (Carbon, Nitrogen and Nutrients) Greenhouse gas budgets Cooperation in Göttingen: Centre for Tropical and Subtropical Agriculture and Forestry Göttingen Centre for Biodiversity and Ecology

3 Some research examples:
Soil erosion: Upcoming South Africa (Heinz Beckedahl, KwaZulu-Natal) Beckedahl

4 Some research examples: C-CO2 Equivalents g m-2 y-1
Wetland restoration and associated greenhouse gas budgets Running in Germany and Russia Upcoming: South Africa (Heinz Beckedahl, KwaZulu-Natal) ( Biomass + 3 Greenhouse gases) C-CO2 Equivalents g m-2 y-1 restored drained

5 Some research examples:
Rainforest conversion Slash & burn and mechanised colonization in the Oriente of Bolivia- 2002 0,4 – 0,6 %/yr Deforestation rate (a. FAO 1993, 2001, 2007) 0,8 – 1,4 %/yr – 0.6 %/yr

6 Field station – Oriente Ecuador
Methods SVAT Field station – Oriente Ecuador Forest conversion 1984 – 2001 in East Bolivia = 1.6 Mio. ha

7 With spatial GIS-modeling distribution and loss of SOC a
With spatial GIS-modeling distribution and loss of SOC a. N after forest conversion since 1970 in the lowlands of Santa Cruz (Bolivia) (Krüger&Gerold 2006) n = 112 n = 69 ≥ 20a loss total = 45-52% SOC 2001 t ha-1 (0-20 cm) Nt SOC 2,6-4,6 23-49 2,3-4,0 18-39 2,0-3,7 16-34 1,5-3,5 12-28 1,3-3,0 09-22

8 Combining Regression models and Calculation of opportunity costs
Was the land use plan from 1996 respected (regarding agro-industry)? Or does the economic potential better explain observed forest conversion?

9 Linking „site analysis“ with „catchment analysis“
Precipitation Evaporation Transpiration Throughfall Evaporation Stemflow Surface run-off Run-off Infiltration Soil Water Reservoir Interflow Deep Percolate/Leaching Precipitation Current evapotranspiration Infiltration Throughfall Evaporation capillary rise Litter Evaporation Surface run-off Soil Evaporation Interflow Transpiration Groundwater run-off

10 SFB project area in Central Sulawesi (left) and forest loss 2001 to 2007 ( - 0.32%/year)
Leemhuis,Erasmi,Twele,Kreilein,Oltchev,Gerold 2007, Erasmi 2008

11 Rainforest conversion and flood – Dec. 2003 – Dongi Dongi Indonesia
Rainforest conversion in Indonesia 11

12 Effect of land use change on the water balance: Gumbasa watershed
Intensification of high water discharge Discharge (2003): status quo 2003: 590 mm land use scenario A1: 838 mm + 42%  1200m annual crops Land use scenario A2: 724 mm + 23%  1200m change into cacao SCENARIO APPLICATION Gerold & Leemhuis 2008

13 Consequences for livelihood and household income
Climate change and land use change effects the water resources Klimavariabilität Climate variability Landnutzung Wassernutzung Water use Land use Wasserressourcen Water resources Spatial analyses of ENSO- and land use effects in watersheds Transdisciplinary approach Consequences for livelihood and household income

14 The impact of El Niño on crop yields
Yield decline of the most important crops due to ENSO-related drought in Central Sulawesi. Yield decline entails a depression of total annual household income by 1/3.

15 Potential collaboration Modules
GIS (Geoinformationssystems) Complex spatial Perspectives of Landscape ecology Catchment hydrology and hydrochemistry Spatial and temporal (hydrological, soil erosion, biogeochemical) Modeling Analyses and management of natural resources


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