1. REDUCING THE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON
HUMAN HEALTH IN ONTARIO COMMUNITIES
Presentation to aLPha
January 30, 2003

4. Global : +0.6C (±0.2C)
IPCC 2001
Canada: +1.1C

5. IPCC 2001

6. Chiras, 2001

7. 4XCO2
3XCO2
IPCC 2001
2XCO2

8. Global CO2 Concentrations Kyoto Scenarios vs IS92a
Based in IMAGE 2 model output
2000
2020
2040
2060
2080
2100
300
400
500
600
700
800
IS92a
Kyoto to 2100
2xCO2
Year
Concentration (ppmv)
Kyoto will result in only about 0.2C less warming by 2050
2073
2081

9. Long Term Temperature Changes
Average Temperature, with the Canadian model [scenario IS92a (2xCO2 in 2060)]
(Meteorological Service of Canada, Environment Canada)
with respect to
with respect to
500
3000 km
with respect to

10. Source: Climate Change 2001: Synthesis Report. Stand-alone edition
Source: Climate Change 2001: Synthesis Report. Stand-alone edition. Watson, R.T. and the Core Writing Team (Eds.). IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland. Figure SPM-5. p. 17.