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Update on China Crude Oil Futures
Market & Products Department, INE
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Outline Introduction of China Futures Market Structure
Design of China Crude Oil Futures Update on the Development of China Crude Oil Futures Summary & Near-Term Plan
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Introduction of China futures market structure
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Shanghai Int’l Energy Exchange, INE 各地证监局 Regional CSRC Bureaus
China’s Futures Market Structure 中国证监会 CSRC 期货交易所 EXCHANGES 上海期货交易所SHFE 上海国际能源交易中心 Shanghai Int’l Energy Exchange, INE 大连商品交易所DCE 郑州商品交易所ZCE 中国金融期货交易所CFFEX 各地证监局 Regional CSRC Bureaus 中国期货业协会 CFA 中国期货市场 监控中心CFMMC
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SHFE Group INE Shareholder Structure SHFE SFIT INE 100% 99% 1%
Shanghai Futures Exchange INE Shanghai International Energy Exchange SFIT Shanghai Futures Information Technology 100% 99% 1%
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Planned INE Productline
Listed on INE Listed on SHFE** Copper*** Aluminum Rubber Rebar Gold Bitumen Zinc Lead RMG380 Fuel Oil Wire-rod Silver Hot Rolled Coil Crude Oil To be listed on INE LPG Gasoline Electricity Jet Fuel Rubber #20 LNG Diesel **SHFE is ranked 9th in FIA Futures Exchange Annual Volume of 2017 ***Most popular in China and well known globally
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Milestones of China Crude Futures Market
~07 *INE SC First Delivery State Council’s Decision in Modifying《Regulation on the Administration of Futures Trading》 CSRC《Policy on Capital Market Supporting China FTZ (Sanghai) 》 INE was registered and setup CSRC Approval of the launch of INE Crude Contract NDRC’s Notice on《Management of Imported Crude Oil》 Ministry of Finance/State Administration of Taxation’s Notice on 《the Value-Added Tax Policies for the Bonded Delivery of Crude Oil and Iron Ore Futures Contracts》 CSRC《Interim Measures for the Administration of Overseas Traders’ & Brokers’ Engagement in the Trading of Specified Domestic Futures Products》 PBOC Circular on 《Strengthen the administration of cross-border settlement of trades of domestic crude oil futures》 Ministry of Commerce Notice on 《 Preparation for Non-state Owned Entities Application for the Oil Import Qualification 》 SAFE Circular on《 Foreign Exchange Administration for Overseas Traders and Brokers Engaging in Futures Trading under Specific Domestic Categories》 Customs Announcement on 《 The Bonded Delivery of Crude Oil Futures Contracts》 INE Finalized and Published Exchange Bylaw and Rules AQSIQ Announcement on “Inspection and Supervision of Crude Oil for Futures Delivery” MOF , SAT & CSRC’s Circular on “Tax Policy Supporting the Open-up of Futures Market on Crude Oil and Other Commodities Crude Futures Launched
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Design of China Crude Oil Futures
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Design Framework Medium Sour Crude Denomination Trade Price
Denominated in RMB & accepting foreign currencies as margin collaterals Net Pricing—Quoted price net of custom taxes or VAT Bonded Physical Delivery—Using standard bonded storage warrants Onshore and Offshore Participants Medium Sour Crude Denomination Trade Price Delivery Mode Participant Types Underlying Globalized Platform ,RMB Denomination, Net Pricing & Bonded Delivery
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Crude Oil Futures Contract Spec.
Underlying Medium Sour Crude Oil Contract Unit 1,000 Barrels/lot Price Quotation Yuan(RMB)per barrel(Net quotation price) Tick Size 0.1 Yuan(RMB)per barrel Daily Price Limit 4% above or below the previous day’s settlement price for such contract month Listed Contracts Monthly contracts of recent twelve (12) consecutive monthly contracts starting with the month immediately following the current calendar month followed by eight (8) quarterly contracts Trading Hours 9: :30 a.m. and 1:30 - 3:00 p.m., Beijing Local Time; and other hours designated by INE Last Trading Day The last business day of the moth preceding the delivery month. INE is entitled to adjust the last trading day in accordance with China National Holidays Delivery Period 5 consecutive business days after the last trading day Grade and Quality Specification Medium Sour Crude Oil, for which the benchmark quality are: the gravity 32 degree API and sulfur content 1.5% by weight. The grades of crude acceptable for delivery and the price differentials are stipulated by the Exchange Delivery Points Locations designated by the Exchange Minimum Margin 5% of contract value Settlement Type Physical Delivery Product Code SC Listing Exchange INE
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Underlying Commodity Medium Sour Crude By API By Sulfur Content
API Gravity Sulfur Content Nitrogen Paraffin Wax Gel Content …… By API By Sulfur Content Classification API Content (%) Light >34 Sweet <0.5 Medium 20~34 0.5~2 Heavy 10~20 Sour >2 Extra Heavy <10 Remark:The classification of crude grades by API and sulfur content are varied by countries. Please be noted above classification may not matched with other region’s owned classification
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Oil Production Classification by Quality
Underlying Commodity Medium Sour Crude Oil Production Classification by Quality Source:ENI《World Oil and Gas Review 2017》
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Underlying Commodity Medium Sour Crude
China Crude Imports 2017
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Deliverable Grades, Quality Specification and Price Differentials
Deliverable Grades, Quality Specification and Price Differentials INE Circular [2018] No. 2 Nation Deliverable Crudes Minimum API Gravity Maximum Sulfur (%) Price Differential (Yuan / Barrel) United Arab Emirates Dubai 30 2.8 Upper Zakum 33 2.0 Sultanate of Oman Oman 1.6 State of Qatar Qatar Marine 31 2.2 Republic of Yemen Masila 0.8 5 Republic of Iraq Basra Light 28 3.5 -5 People’s Republic of China Shengli 24 1.0 1. API gravity = (141.5 / S.G.60/ 60 °F) – 131.5; S.G.: as per ASTM D1298 2. Sulfur content: as per ASTM D4294.
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Designated Delivery Hubs
Currently the approved storage capacity is 5.15million m3, among which 2.85 million will be put in use in Phase 1, and the other 2.25 million are backups. The storage capacity in Phase 1 is 2.6 million tones, which is about the capacity of 8 VLCCs. INE is still reviewing other depots, among which private and foreign owned are among them.
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Supporting Policies Date Policy Circular No# 26-JUN-2015 OVERSEAS PARTICIAPTION: CSRC’s Interim Measures for the "Administration of Overseas Traders’ and Overseas Broker’s Trading of Specified China Futures Contracts”, in which INE crude is defined as one of the Specified Contracts CSRC Order #116 20-JUL-2015 FX: PBOC’s Circular on the "Administration of Cross-border Settlement for Onshore Crude Futures Trading” PBOC Circular [2015] No.19 31-JUL-2015 FX: SAFE’s Circular on the “Notice on the Administration of Foreign Exchange for Overseas Traders’ and Overseas Broker’s Trading of Specified China Futures Contracts Huifa [2015] No. 35 20-Aug-2015 Customs: GACC’s Circular on “Customs Administration for Bonded Delivery of China Crude Futures Contract” GACC Circular[2015] No. 40 13-Mar-2018 TAXATION: Futures Trading and Income Tax Exemption for offshore institutional and individual traders temporarily. Caishui [2018] No. 21
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Global Participation Accesses Overseas Intermediary
Globalized Platform Overseas Participation Accesses Global Participation Accesses Access 1:Futures Firm SHFE-INE Overseas Intermediary Access 2:Futures Firm Overseas Investors Access 3:OSBP Access 4:OSNBP Note: For accesses 3 & 4, An OSP(Overseas Special Participant) trades shall be cleared by a Futures Firm
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Designated Depository Bank
Government FX Policy for the INE Crude Futures X Onshore Bank accounts USD USD SHFE-INE FF NRA Overseas Participant CNY CNH Designated Depository Bank Crude futures is denominated and traded in RMB. Overseas investors may use USD or CNH to serve as margin RMB is the only acceptable denomination currency in making up losses for the trade or in daily Mark-to- Market. Overseas Participant can designate to settle his/her trading or daily mark-to-market profit in either USD or CNY. Change of designated currency may be made twice a year. Under the NRA bank account for crude futures trading, there is no cap on the fund transfer between onshore and offshore. However, position limit rule is applied. Exchange of currency can be executed for the purpose of crude futures trading only .
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Tax Exemption Income Tax Policy for Overseas Traders and Brokers
Overseas institutional investors and brokers income from futures transaction is excluded from the taxable income base temporarily Overseas brokers’ revenue/income from the commission collected from customers’ futures transaction is excluded from the taxable income base. Overseas retail investors’ income from futures transaction is also excluded from the taxable income base for up to three (3) years starting from 26-Mar, 2018.
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Custom Policy Bonded delivery: Seller in the futures market does not need to have the Crude Import Qualification and Quota approved by the Ministry of Commerce Bonded goods for futures delivery refers to goods stored in a specified location or bonded area that are supervised by the Customs District. In practice, crude futures delivery requires seller to deliver eligible bonded oil warrants, and buyer to deliver the fund for the settlement to the Exchange to complete delivery obligation Different sets of rules and requirements are applied to bonded crude oil delivery, Import of crude oil and domestic crude trading separately After taking a bonded delivery, if a trader wishes to import the crude into China, they need to meet the importing requirements set in relavant rules.
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Update on the China Crude Oil Futures
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Structure of Participant Types
Normal Specific Retail Institutions Institutions Retail Normal Specific Institutions Institutions
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Onshore v.s. Offshore Participant Structure
Onshore Offshore Onshore Offshore Onshore Offshore
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Who Were There on the First Trading Day ?
On 26-Mar, 2018, the launch date of INE Crude, there were 413 investors participate in the market open auction, and a total of 261 lots was matched in the first trade at the price of RMB 440/bbl. Top List of Investors of the First Trade: China Oil China, UNIPEC ASIA CO. LTD. HK, CNOOC China, SINOCHEM China, NORTH PETROLEUM INTERNATIONAL CO. LTD. HK, TWINACE OIL, China, WONFULL China, TRAFIGURA PTE LTD Singapore, GLENCORE PTE. LTD., Singapore, Freepoint Commodities Pte. Ltd. Singapore, BOCI Global Commodities LTD
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Trading Volume & OI Trading Volume and OI SC Dominant Contract Price
Daily Volume MA of Vol OI Avg. OI As of 31-Aug-2018, accumulated Volume of the China crude contract since launch is 22.18million lots with daily average volume of 201K lots and avg. daily OI of 29,680 lots (counting buy and sell sides) Since the launch on 26-Mar, 2018, the contract’s front line price range is in line with global benchmarks in general. However, it’s also exploring its owned price pattern of the oil consumption market.
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Price Relationship between Benchmarks
As of 28-Jun-18 相关系数 WTI Brent Oman INE-SC 100.0% 76.2% 68.6% 66.1% 98.3% 94.6% 95.0% Price Relationship with Global Benchmarks As of 31-Aug-18 相关系数 WTI Brent Oman INE-SC 100.0% 75.1% 69.4% 47.9% 95.0% 42.3% 62.6% Calculation of price correlation is based on the prices of each futures contract’s closing price The contract is still exploring its price discovery function, while the movement is in line with global benchmarks, such as WTI, Brent and DME’s Oman
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SC v.s. Global Benchmarks at the Beginning Phase
It took NYMEX three years to reach the daily trading volume of 50,000 lots for WTI contract It took IPE five years to reach the daily trad trading volume of 50,000 lots for Brent contract
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SC v.s. Global Benchmarks at the Beginning Phase
It took more than half year for 2 major oil futures contracts to build up open interests of 10,000 lots
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SC v.s. Global Benchmarks on Liquidity
注:3月26日至8月17日均值 Note: Average daily value during period 26-Mar to 17-Aug, 2018
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Summary & Near-term Plan
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Media Focus: IEA oil market report 2018.04
liquidity Intervention Transparency Volatility Trading hours Market liberalization Authority respond Instrument of Physical transaction and hedging benchmark of outright price marker More representative Improve transparency More competitive pricing Tax holiday/Relaxation of capital control
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Media Focus: OPEC monthly oil market report 2018.04
Government interference Currency risk Liquidity Limited physical buyers Volume & OI are the keys More useful regional marker Price discovery Help business to avoid risk Regional benchmark
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Summary A good start with stable growing trading volume and OI
Market price discovery function has been preliminary developed Still a gap to catch up with well developed global benchmarks
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展望/Near-Term Plan RMO Registration with MAS
On- & Off-shore Market Education and Promotion Plan Onboarding global ISV vendors Continue Improvement on the Market Efficiency by introducing Market Makers Continue Improvement on Globalizing Exchange Rules
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Disclaimer Futures trading is not suitable for all investors, and involves the risk of loss. Futures are a leveraged investment, and because only a percentage of a contract’s value is required to trade, it is possible to lose more than the amount of money deposited for a futures position. Therefore, traders should only use funds that they can afford to lose without affecting their lifestyles. And only a portion of those funds should be devoted to any one trade because they cannot expect to profit on every trade. All references to options refer to options on futures. The information contained in this document is compiled and edited by the Shanghai International Energy Exchange (INE) for general introduction of crude oil market only. Although we endeavor to provide reliable, accurate and complete information, there cannot be guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and INE assumes no responsibility for any errors or omissions. The information provided in this document is for reference only and should not be construed as a prospectus; a solicitation to buy or sell any investment. INE is not responsible for any profits or losses associated with using information in this document.
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