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Preliminary Analysis Sam Lim.

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Presentation on theme: "Preliminary Analysis Sam Lim."— Presentation transcript:

1 Preliminary Analysis Sam Lim

2 Exxon-Mobil 871,640 observations 2264 days from Dec 21, 1999 to Jan 7, 2009

3 Chevron Corporation Intraday Split 694,540 observations 1804 days from Oct 10, 2001 to Jan 7, 2009

4 XOM – Volatility Signature Plot

5 CVX – Volatility Signature Plot

6 Wells Fargo

7 Pepsi

8 Apple

9 XOM – Daily Realized Volatility

10 CVX – Daily Realized Volatility

11 XOM – Daily Bipower Variation

12 CVX – Daily Bipower Variation

13 XOM – Jump Test Results Red Line is at the 99.9% significance level October 10, 2008 Jumps Detected at: 95% level – 2.03%, 1% level – 1.28%, .1% level - .80%

14 CVX – Jump Test Results Red Line is at the 99.9% significance level Jumps Detected at: 95% level – 2.44%, 1% level – 1.55%, .1% level – 1.05%

15 XOM – Jump Test Results, Axes Set

16 CVX – Jump Test Results, Axes Set

17 Question Idiosyncratic Jumps? Industry Specific Jumps?
Plotted 2002 Jump Test Results

18 Exxon-Mobil

19 Chevron Corporation

20 Pepsi

21 Coca-Cola

22 Bank of America

23 Goldman Sachs

24 JP Morgan

25 Pfizer

26 Johnson and Johnson

27 Further Research Expand scope Systematic approach?
Look at qualitative data to find reasons behind jumps


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