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Preliminary Analysis Sam Lim
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Exxon-Mobil 871,640 observations 2264 days from Dec 21, 1999 to Jan 7, 2009
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Chevron Corporation Intraday Split 694,540 observations 1804 days from Oct 10, 2001 to Jan 7, 2009
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XOM – Volatility Signature Plot
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CVX – Volatility Signature Plot
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Wells Fargo
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Pepsi
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Apple
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XOM – Daily Realized Volatility
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CVX – Daily Realized Volatility
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XOM – Daily Bipower Variation
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CVX – Daily Bipower Variation
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XOM – Jump Test Results Red Line is at the 99.9% significance level October 10, 2008 Jumps Detected at: 95% level – 2.03%, 1% level – 1.28%, .1% level - .80%
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CVX – Jump Test Results Red Line is at the 99.9% significance level Jumps Detected at: 95% level – 2.44%, 1% level – 1.55%, .1% level – 1.05%
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XOM – Jump Test Results, Axes Set
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CVX – Jump Test Results, Axes Set
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Question Idiosyncratic Jumps? Industry Specific Jumps?
Plotted 2002 Jump Test Results
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Exxon-Mobil
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Chevron Corporation
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Pepsi
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Coca-Cola
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Bank of America
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Goldman Sachs
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JP Morgan
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Pfizer
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Johnson and Johnson
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Further Research Expand scope Systematic approach?
Look at qualitative data to find reasons behind jumps
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