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Population Structure.

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Presentation on theme: "Population Structure."— Presentation transcript:

1 Population Structure

2 Presentation Outline Introduction Proportionate age distributions
Population Pyramids Sex Ratios Demographic Pressure

3 Introduction Age-structure of a population refers to size, age/sex composition and distribution of the population Population structure reflects: the long-term trends of fertility and mortality Short-term impacts of war, migration and epidemics

4 Introduction (cnt’d) The age structure of a population affects a nation’s key socio-economic issues e.g. countries with young population would need to invest more in schools, create more jobs in future Countries with high proportion of the aged (65+) need to invest more in health sector and social security

5 Key issues of a population structure
Proportionate age distributions Population pyramid. Sex ratios (males per 100 females) can also reflect a country’s population distribution Dependency ratios

6 Proportionate Age Distributions
Refer to disaggregation of population characteristics by age Proportionate age distribution can be calculated for: Total population Male population Female population Other characteristics include education, occupation, marital status religion, socio-economic status, ethnicity

7 Proportionate Age Distributions
Sex: Males and Females separately. The total population Marital status for persons 15+ (married, never married, widowed, divorced/separated) ethnicity, for example African, European, mixed race, Asiatic, etc Can be calculated for:

8 Female Population (15+ Yrs) by Age Group and Marital Status
Never Married Married Divorced/ separated Widowed Not Stated Total 61.2 6.5 4.4 0.1 43.7 17.4 21.3 17.6 15.0 0.7 9.7 15.9 8.2 19.9 19.2 2.0 4.6 3.6 15.7 16.9 4.2 3.5 11.7 11.9 13.1 6.9 1.9 9.2 1.2 7.5 8.9 8.0 1.6 6.3 5.2 5.9 7.8 1.1 0.6 5.5 5.6 11.4 0.4 3.8 3.9 10.7 1.3 4.0 0.3 2.6 2.7 10.8 1.4 3.2 0.2 1.7 9.1 2.3 1.0 8.8 1.8 75 + 18.9 NS 23.6 100 Number 29 923 Source: ZIMSTAT, 2012

9 Male Population (15+ Years) by Age Group and Marital Status
Never Married Divorced/ separated Widowed Total Number 15 - 19 95.2 1.9 0.2 2.7 100 20 24 71.7 26.3 1.3 0.1 0.7 25 29 31.5 64.9 3.0 0.3 30 34 12.5 82.7 3.9 35 39 6.2 88.4 40 44 4.2 89.6 3.8 2.2 45 49 3.6 89.0 3.4 50 54 88.6 3.7 4.5 55 59 2.1 3.1 5.0 60 64 2.0 88.3 6.5 96 779 65 69 1.7 86.9 8.2 73 055 70 74 1.8 84.1 2.9 10.9 10 62 230 75 + 77.0 2.8 18.0 0.4 96 640 Not stated

10 Proportionate Age Distribution (cnt’d)
Apart from 5-year age groups, proportionate age distribution can be used for broad age groups such as: child population (0-14 years), Youth population (15-24), (15-34), etc Women of child bearing age (15-49) Economically active (15-64) Elderly (65+ years) etc

11 Population Pyramids Distribution of a population by age and sex, using a 5 year interval. Studies the age-sex structure of a country Shows the effects of fertility, mortality and migration Bars show the contribution of each age group

12 Population Pyramids Males are on left side Females on right side
Young persons at the bottom The elderly are at the top

13 Population Pyramids The age groups can be divided into 3 categories:
Young Dependent (0-14 years) Working Population (15-64 years) Elderly Dependent (65+ years) Percentages determine current reproductive status Also point to the expected future Shape reflects birth, deaths or migration patterns Numbers or percentages can be used to show the distribution of the population

14 Comparing LEDC & MEDC

15 Types of Pyramids

16 Expansive Population Pyramids ( broad based)
Characteristics: Has a young and growing population Pyramid shaped Broad base Narrow top Larger proportion of the population in younger age cohorts Each age cohort is smaller than the one below it

17 Expansive Population Pyramids ( broad based)
Indicates: high percentage of young population High proportion of the dependent population Rapid population growth due to high fertility lower than average life expectancies Expect low standard of living High chances of overpopulation Narrow top reflects high mortality Typically representative of developing nations

18 Expansive Population Pyramids ( broad based)
Countries have to plan for: Increased food production Building more accommodation Building more schools Strengthened health care more jobs in future birth control campaigns

19 Population Pyramids Source: ZIMSTAT, 2012

20 Developing Nation Pyramid: Kenya:

21 Constrictive Pyramid Describe populations that are elderly and shrinking Graphs tappers in at the bottom Smaller percentage of the young population Slow population growth

22 Constrictive Pyramid China Population Pyramid - 2017 Characteristics
High proportion of working population Look like beehive A moderate/ smaller proportion of young to old population Typical of countries with high levels of social and economic development

23 China Population Pyramid (2017)

24 Stationary (Rectangular) Population Pyramid
***Indicates: High survivorship Low fertility Stable structure, all age groups are equally abundant tapers off toward the top

25 Stationary (Rectangular) Population Pyramid
Canada 2017 Characteristics Zero population growth Have a rectangular shape Characteristic of developed nations Overall quality of life is high

26 Stationary (Rectangular) Population Pyramid (cnt’d)
Implications Plan for retirement packages Proper health care services for the elderly Plan for incentives for more births Plan to hire foreign labour

27 What has happened in Qatar?

28 Sex Ratio = Number of males x 100
Sex ratios -the proportional distribution of the sexes in a population aggregate, expressed as the number of males per 100 females -The sex ratio is usually affected by fertility, mortality and migration Sex Ratio = Number of males x 100 Number of females Sex Ratio < 100 means more females Sex Ratio > 100 means more males Sex ratio at birth ranges between 104 and 110 It can be calculated for different age-groups

29 Sex ratios Source: ZIMSTAT, 2012

30 Demographic Pressure There are three types of dependency ratios,
Child (0-14 years) Elderly/ Old age (65 years and above) Age dependency ratio (child and old age dependency combined).

31 (Elderly) Old Age Dependency Ratio
number of persons 65 years and above per 100 persons age years. Measures the ratio of the aged to the potential working population. A high ratio means those of working age have a greater burden in supporting the aging population. The old age dependency ratio for the Zimbabwe in 2014 was 9 dependents per 100 persons in the age group years (LFCLF, 2014).

32 (Elderly) Old Age Dependency Ratio
Population age 65 years and above x 100 Population (15-64 years)

33 Child Dependency Ratio
Number of children under 15 years per 100 adults in the ages years. It is used to measure the ratio of the young children to the potential working population. This dependency ratio was 79 dependents per 100 persons in the age group years for Zimbabwe in 2014 (LFCLS, 2014).

34 Child Dependency Ratio
population under 15yrs x 100 population (Ages 15-64)

35 (Total) Age dependency ratio
It refers to the number of persons who are under 15 years of age plus persons 65 years and above, per 100 persons in the years age group. This is used to measure the ratio of the young children and the aged to the potential working population. When this dependency ratio is high, it shows that there is a high dependency burden for that particular population. The age dependency ratio for Zimbabwe in 2014 was high, at 88 dependents per 100 persons in the age group years.

36 Calculation Number of Dependency (under 15 plus 65 and above) x 100
Working age population (15-64 years)

37 Effects of High Dependency Ratios
civil conflicts poverty rates Unemployment rates Worsening natural resources shortages, e.g. water Unmet need for family planning NB: Balanced age structures increase the chances for peace and prosperity in the parts of the world that most need it.

38 Thank You


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