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HORIZONS ETFs: ADVANCED ETF STRATEGIES

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Presentation on theme: "HORIZONS ETFs: ADVANCED ETF STRATEGIES"— Presentation transcript:

1 HORIZONS ETFs: ADVANCED ETF STRATEGIES
ETF FORUM Host: Jaime Purvis, Horizons Exchange Traded Funds June 2011 Hello Everybody – Thanks for attending etc. Our purpose and focus here today is to introduce you to ETFs, and more specifically Leveraged and Inverse Leverages ETFs. We want to educate you about these investment vehicles so that you can understand how they work, things to watch out for, and potential applications for them citing examples from the past several years. We want you to understand how they work – because we need you to understand how they work. Our own business model does not work if our clients and potential clients do not have a clear understanding of how Leveraged and Inverse Leveraged ETFs work.

2 ETF ADVANTAGES VS. MANAGED PRODUCTS
Benefits of ETFs Low Cost Flexibility Tax Efficiency Clarify – when compared to managed products. Focus on hybrid of benefits of a managed product (diversification, specialization) with benefits of a stock (intraday liquidity, flexibility) as well as benefits more specific to ETFs (transparency, performance is attributable due to transparency, and Tax efficiency due to lower portfolio turnover). Typically lower costs compared to MP. Similar diversification. Transparency – passive clearly one knows the constituents and weightings, so far, active ETFs disclose with increased frequency (i.e. monthly). Flexibility – can buy/sell ETFs at any time during the day, and you can also short them Performance – due to transparency, ETFs have more “trackable” or attributable performance Tax Efficiency – transactions tend to be between unit holders via the exchange (with the designated broker and market makers holding excess inventory overnight, and regularly over multiple nights), with no activity within the portfolio. Also, any taxes on ETF portfolio transactions can be allocated to the redeeming market maker.

3 ETFs ≠ 1 BETA EQUITY INDEXING
Can also deliver various asset classes & styles to investors Leveraged / Inverse Fixed Income Commodity Currency Custom Indexing Active management Part of what we hope we have shown to this point is that the success of levered and inverse levered, inverse, commodity, fixed income, currency etc. ETFs to date has illustrated that while 5 years ago, ETFs were simple equity market indexing, the reality is that they are very efficient (see Slide 3) investment vehicles for a broader range of applications.

4 HOW LEVERAGED AND INVERSE LEVERAGED ETFs WORK
Hello Everybody – Thanks for attending etc. Our purpose and focus here today is to introduce you to ETFs, and more specifically Leveraged and Inverse Leverages ETFs. We want to educate you about these investment vehicles so that you can understand how they work, things to watch out for, and potential applications for them citing examples from the past several years. We want you to understand how they work – because we need you to understand how they work. Our own business model does not work if our clients and potential clients do not have a clear understanding of how Leveraged and Inverse Leveraged ETFs work.

5 HOW LEVERAGED AND INVERSE LEVERAGED ETFs WORK
HBP Bull+ and Bear+ ETFs offer 200% exposure to daily returns with risk limited to the current asset value Daily rebalancing ensures that the notional exposure is equal to 2x the net assets of the fund at the start of each day This process limits the investors’ risk to their current asset value In a trending market, “profits” increase exposure, “losses” reduce exposure resulting in a convex return pattern

6 KEY ATTRIBUTES OF LEVERAGED ETFs
Risk limited to capital invested Never lose more than principal invested versus shorting RSP,TFSA and RESP eligible No call risk No margin calls

7 UNIVERSAL EFFECTS OF COMPOUNDING ON INVESTMENT RETURNS
Compounding affects all investments over time Upward trending periods enhance returns Downward trending periods reduce losses Volatile periods reduce returns and may increase losses Positive and negative effects of compounding are magnified in leveraged and inverse funds The impact of compounding on a 2x leveraged fund is greater than 2x Self-explanatory.

8 EXAMPLES OF COMPOUNDING ON INDEXES AND LEVERAGED FUNDS
I N D E X -1x F U N D -2x F U N D Daily Return Daily Return Daily Return U P W A R D T R E N D Day 1 Return 10% -10% -20% Day 2 Return 10% -10% -20% Compounded 2-day Return 21% -19% -36% D O W N W A R D T R E N D Day 1 Return -10% 10% 20% Day 2 Return -10% 10% 20% Compounded 2-day Return -19% 21% 44% V O L A T I L E M A R K E T Day 1 Return 10% -10% -20% Day 2 Return -10% 10% 20% Compounded 2-day Return -1% -1% -4% None of the returns shown contemplate fees or expenses; not actual returns, for illustrative purposes only.

9 Levered and Inverse Levered ETF returns are PATH-DEPENDENT
Levered and Inverse Levered ETF returns are PATH-DEPENDENT. Market direction AND volatility are the key determinants of period returns. That is, it is not just the market change from A to B, but the path that the market took to get there. Builder slide (needs to be run in real time and clicked on 4x) to illustrate what a 1-year buy-and-hold strategy with ANY Levered ETF (2X, not even the 3x available in the US) would return given a variety of return AND volatility environments. Here is where we are able to look at “the trend is your friend” and that “volatility isn’t”. The green cells indicate where an investor would have received MORE than 2x their “Expected” return (ex. Market up 10%, expect 20%, receive >20%) . The yellow cells indicate where an investor would have received over 80% of 2x their “Expected” return (ex. Market up 10%, expect 20%, receive >16%) The grey cells indicate where an investor would have received less than 80% their “Expected” return (ex. Market up 10%, expect 20%, receive <16%) The red cells indicate where an investor would have received an opposite to their “Expected” return (ex. Market up 10%, expect 20%, receive >0%) ‘Expected Returns’ = 200% One Year Index Performance. Source of Data: ProShare Advisors LLC

10 INDEX VOLATILITY 2007 – 2010 2007 2008 2009 2010 S&P/TSX 60TM Index
2007 2008 2009 2010 S&P/TSX 60TM Index 14.90% 41.46% 27.28% 13.18% S&P/TSX Capped Financials IndexTM 13.22% 42.56% 37.21% 14.66% S&P/TSX Capped Energy IndexTM 19.81% 60.22% 39.21% 18.85% S&P/TSX Global Gold IndexTM 28.92% 80.36% 47.50% 26.87% S&P 500® Index 15.95% 41.05% 27.28% 18.05% NYMEX® Crude Oil 29.25% 57.61% 49.87% 27.58% NYMEX® Natural Gas 44.83% 47.03% 62.10% 41.24% *Data as of Dec 31, 2010 Source: Bloomberg

11 LEVERAGED ETFs PERFORMANCE SUMMARY*
Leveraged ETFs track +/-2X extremely well on a daily basis Over periods longer than a day, performance is market path dependent – focus on your economic exposure Directional markets are favourable for performance: Earn greater than 2X, or lose less than 2X, 1x period returns The greater the two-way volatility, the further performance will deviate (be worse) from +/-2X the period return Self-explanatory.

12 POPULAR ETF STRATEGIES
Core Holdings (Switch Opportunities) Complement your longer-term core-equity holdings Switch into ETFs that offer a competitive advantage, such as better performance and lower tax consequences Cash Equitization Instant market exposure or part of tax loss harvesting strategy Quickly & efficiently utilize cash accumulated during equity rotation or asset allocation rebalancing Risk Mitigation / Volatility Control Manage the risk of over concentration to sectors within the TSX 60 Hedge existing long positions to dampen volatility without the tax consequences associated with selling securities

13 ADVANCED INVESTING STRATEGIES
Alpha Generation Directional Plays or Pair Trading, Alpha Isolation Beta Efficiency Index exposure with only 50% of capital requirement Enables a portable alpha strategy Straddles Buy the pair of Long and Short ETFs in anticipation of a large, but unknown, directional move up or down Downside protection can be done using either inverse or levered inverse ETFs. Alpha generation can be done with either and / or single or levered ETF. Cash equitization, can be done with single or levered ETF, levered is simply more efficient exposure. Beta efficiency can only be done with levered ETFs. Straddles require both a long and an inverse ETF, but either or both of those can be single or levered. Examples of each to follow.

14 WHAT IS AN “ACTIVELY MANAGED ETF”?
Hello Everybody – Thanks for attending etc. Our purpose and focus here today is to introduce you to ETFs, and more specifically Leveraged and Inverse Leverages ETFs. We want to educate you about these investment vehicles so that you can understand how they work, things to watch out for, and potential applications for them citing examples from the past several years. We want you to understand how they work – because we need you to understand how they work. Our own business model does not work if our clients and potential clients do not have a clear understanding of how Leveraged and Inverse Leveraged ETFs work.

15 THINGS DO GET BETTER AND CHEAPER

16 THINGS EVOLVE AND GET CHEAPER
Mutual Funds Exchange Traded Funds 1990s 2000s

17 WHAT IS AN “ACTIVELY MANAGED ETF”?
Like a traditional ETF, but… Delivers actively managed investment strategy Managed by an investment professional Uniquely designed to meet a specific investment objective Employs a specific investment strategy

18 Actively Managed ETFs Global actively managed ETFs crossed the $4 billion asset mark in March of 2011 Includes the first $1 billion dollar active ETF, The PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity ETF (MINT:NYSE) Huge asset growth potential. U.S. mutual fund industry is $13 trillion versus $1 trillion in ETFs. Majority of mutual fund assets are actively managed. PIMCO has filed for an ETF version of flagship $240 Billion PIMCO Total Return Fund, the world’s largest fixed-income mutual fund.

19 WHO OFFERS ACTIVELY MANAGED ETFS?
Largely only in the US to date – BIG NAMES have launched or been receipted PIMCO Eaton Vance State Street Global Advisors Powershares Wisdom Tree Alliance Bernstein Northern Trust BlackRock iShares Russell Investments Legg Mason Source: etfshub.com

20 INCOME MATTERS: ETF SOLUTIONS
The first family of managed income-oriented ETFs in Canada Covered Call Writing Horizons Enhanced Income Equity ETF HEX Equity AlphaPro Dividend ETF HAL AlphaPro Global Dividend ETF HAZ AlphaPro Preferred Share ETF HPR AlphaPro Balanced ETF HAA Fixed Income AlphaPro Corporate Bond ETF HAB AlphaPro Tactical Bond ETF HAF AlphaPro Income Plus Fund* HAP AlphaPro Floating Rate Bond ETF HFR Higher Risk Lower

21 ACTIVELY MANAGED ETFs SPECIALTY ENHANCED INDEXING HAA
AlphaPro Balanced ETF FIXED INCOME HEE AlphaPro Enhanced Income Energy ETF HEP AlphaPro Enhanced Income Gold Producers ETF HEX AlphaPro Enhanced Income Equity ETF HGY.UN Horizons Gold Yield Fund HPR AlphaPro Preferred Share ETF HAZ AlphaPro Global Dividend ETF HAX AlphaPro Managed S&P/TSX 60™ ETF HAW HAV AlphaPro North American Value ETF HAL AlphaPro Dividend ETF HAG AlphaPro Gartman ETF HAC AlphaPro Seasonal Rotation ETF HEW AlphaPro S&P/TSX 60 Equal Weight Index ETF HAH AlphaPro S&P/TSX /30™ ETF BALANCED HFR AlphaPro Floating Rate Bond ETF HAP.UN AlphaPro Income Plus Fund HAF AlphaPro Tactical Bond ETF HAB AlphaPro Corporate Bond ETF EQUITIES COVERED CALL AlphaPro North American Growth ETF

22 SUMMARY ETFs are efficient Cheaper Faster Relatively tax efficient
ETFs provide access to passive benchmarks and active strategies ETFs are intelligent solutions for many investors Cheaper than Managed Products – MERs are clearly lower for ETFs (our own example of converting a MF to an ETF – Jov Talisman Fund to the Horizons AlphaPro Managed S&P / TSX-60 Fund, ticker symbol HAX.T – went from an MER of 2.8% to 0.7%) Intraday liquidity means that buying and selling ETFs can be done when or at the exact point the investor wants, not at end of day For all the reasons outlined on slide 3, ETFs are superior vehicles for investing ETFs are more than 1-Beta Products, and are growing quickly

23 DISCLAIMER Commissions, trailing commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with an investment in the Horizons AlphaPro Funds and Exchange Traded Funds (the “AlphaPro Investment Funds"). The AlphaPro Investment Funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. The Horizons AlphaPro S&P/TSX /30™ ETF, the Horizons AlphaPro Gartman ETF, the Horizons AlphaPro Seasonal Rotation ETF and the Horizons AlphaPro Fiera Tactical Bond Fund may each have exposure to leveraged investment techniques that magnify gains and losses and which may result in greater volatility in value and could be subject to aggressive investment risk and price volatility risk, which are described in their respective prospectuses. "Standard & Poor's®" and "S&P®" are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC (“S&P”) and "TSX®" is a registered trademark of the TSX Inc. (“TSX”). These marks have been licensed for use by AlphaPro Management Inc. The AlphaPro Investment Funds are not sponsored, endorsed, sold, or promoted by S&P or TSX or their affiliated companies and none of these parties make any representation, warranty or condition regarding the advisability of buying, selling or holding units/shares in the AlphaPro Investment Funds. Complete trademark and servicemark information is available at Please read the prospectus before investing.

24 DISCLAIMER The Horizons BetaPro exchange traded funds (“HBP ETFs”) consist of the Horizons BetaPro Bull Plus and Bear Plus ETFs ("HBP Plus ETFs"), Spread ETFs (“HBP Spread ETFs”), Inverse ETFs (“HBP Inverse ETFs”) and Single ETFs (“HBP Single ETFs”). The HBP Plus ETFs use leveraged investment techniques that magnify gains and losses and result in greater volatility in value. The Spread ETFs , which combine long and short exposure, also use leveraged investment techniques that magnify gains and losses and which may result in greater volatility in value. HBP Plus ETFs and HBP Spread ETFs are subject to leverage risk and all of the HBP ETFs are subject to aggressive investment risk and price volatility risk, which are described in the HBP ETFs prospectus. Each HBP Plus ETF seeks a return, before fees and expenses, that is either 200% or -200% of the performance of a specified underlying index, commodity or benchmark (the "Target") for a single day. Each HBP Spread ETF seeks a return, before fees and expenses, that is the sum of 100% of the performance of one Target plus -100% of the performance of a second Target for a single day. Each HBP Single ETF or HBP Inverse ETF seeks a return that is 100% or - 100%, respectively, of the performance of a Target. Due to the compounding of daily returns, an HBP Plus ETFs, HBP Spread ETFs or HBP Inverse ETFs returns over periods other than one day will likely differ in amount and possibly direction from the performance of their respective Target(s) for the same period. The HBP ETFs whose Target is the S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures IndexTM (the “HBP VIX ETFs”), one of which is an HBP Plus ETF and one of which is an HBP Single ETF, are speculative investment tools that are not conventional investments as described in the HBP VIX ETFs’ prospectus. The HBP VIX ETFs’ Target is highly volatile. As a result, the HBP VIX ETFs are not generally viewed as stand-alone long-term investments. Historically, the HBP VIX ETFs’ Target has tended to revert to a historical mean. As a result, the performance of the HBP VIX ETFs’ Target is expected to be negative over the longer term and neither the HBP VIX ETFs nor their Target are expected to have positive long term performance. Investors should monitor their holdings, as frequently as daily, to ensure that they remain consistent with their investment strategies. Commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with the HBP ETFs. The HBP ETFs are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. "Standard & Poor's®" and "S&P®" are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC (“S&P”) and "TSX®" is a registered trademark of the TSX Inc. (“TSX”). These marks have been licensed for use by BetaPro Management Inc. The HBP ETFs are not sponsored, endorsed, sold, or promoted by S&P or TSX and their affiliated companies and none of these parties make any representation, warranty or condition regarding the advisability of buying, selling and holding units/shares in the HBP ETFs. All trademarks/service marks are registered by their respective owners and licensed for use by BetaPro Management Inc. and none of the owners thereof or any of their affiliates sponsor, endorse, sell, promote or make any representation regarding the advisability of investing in the HBP ETFs. Complete trademark and service-mark information is available at Please read the prospectus before investing.

25 THANK YOU!


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