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Science Framework for Ecosystem-Based Management

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Presentation on theme: "Science Framework for Ecosystem-Based Management"— Presentation transcript:

1 Science Framework for Ecosystem-Based Management
Objective: Define general strategy for an ecosystem approach to management focusing on diverse ecosystem services, societal preferences, and associated tradeoffs Illustrate with real world example(s)

2 The Problem Societal preferences imperfectly known
-- Specify Utility Functions Ecosystem processes incompletely known Data/Model limitations for some or all components -- Adopt risk assessment framework -- Adopt broad definition of model

3 Approach Identify Key Ecosystem Services
Define Objectives for Management unit Specify Relationships among Services, State Variables, Drivers, and Control Variables -- Dynamical Models -- Static Models -- Empirical Predictors -- Indicators Evaluate Policy Options Models Broadly Defined

4 Define Objectives for Management
Subject to: where the wi are (imperfectly known) weighting coefficients, the Vi are the values associated with different ecosystem services (a function of a valuation coefficient vi and a set of state variables Xi, driver variables Yj and control variables Ck

5 Ecosystem Services Locally Caught Seafood (commercial) Sport Fishing
We’ve targeted: Ecosystem Services Locally Caught Seafood (commercial) Sport Fishing Ecotourism Diving Shoreline Protection / Water Quality

6 Drivers Shoreline Development Demand for Local Seafood Tourist Demand
Diver Demand Recreational Demand Other (Exogenous) Drivers [e.g. Climate Forcing (ENSO)]

7 Shoreline Development
Diving Ecotourism Abalone Harvest Rockfish Harvest Shoreline Protection Otters Abalone Biomass Urchin Biomass Rockfish Biomass Kelp Shoreline Development

8 Driver Pressure State Impact Response Kelp Forest Example Shoreline
Development Increased Turbidity Canopy Cover Tourism/Diving Species Abundance SL Protection Change Land use Ecosystem Indicators Ecological Models Forecasts & Risk Assessments Management Evaluation

9 Real World Example? Develop Ecosystem-Based Management Plan for Monterey Bay National Marine Sanctuary Identify choice that is societally relevant with sufficient understanding/data to allow reasonable evaluation of policy alternatives

10 Data Availability and Quality High for MBNMS MBARI

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23 Conclusion Sufficient data/understanding available for MBNMS to warrant consideration for test case


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