1. Look ahead: Advanced modelling and learning resources
Dr. Yang Hu
Dr. Stuart Bedston

2. Overview of the session
Statistical models: A brief overview
Frequently used advanced models
Learning resources

3. Overview of major regression models

4. Statistical modelling in the bigger picture
Statistical Learning
GLMs and their extensions
Neural
Networks
Graphical
Models
Support Vector Machines
Clustering and Classification Techniques

5. Frequently used ones
Multilevel modelling (data with hierarchical structure)
Longitudinal panel data analysis: Unit-specific changes and continuities over time.
Time-series cross-sectional data: Pseudo-panel – over time change
Survival/duration model: time-dependence of event occurrence

6. Multilevel modelling
Data: Hierarchical clustering of data (aka. hierarchical regression)
Country  county  local authority  neighborhood  family  individual
Question: What are the the individual/regional level correlates of fear for crime?

7. Longitudinal panel models
Data: each individual/unit is observed at multiple time points
Tracing individual-level/unit- level (causal) changes over time (accounting for individual-level heterogeneity)
Often used for the identification of casual relationships Question: Motherhood penalty?

8. Cross-sectional time-series analysis
Data: Repeated observation of a sampling frame, but not the same individuals/units within the frame.
Example datasets: British Crime Survey, British Social Attitudes, European Social Survey.
Question: Changing crime rate in Britain over time (fixation on the frame, not the specific units).

9. Survival / Duration Analysis
When your question is about what affects the risk over time of an event occurring
Example: time to missing person being found/case closed
Survival Analysis can handle people going missing and never being found.
Can handle different types of events: dead, alive, stopped
In my work, I have looked at mothers who return to the family courts i.e. they have had one set of children potentially removed from their care and now the local authority wishes to remove a new child.

10. Learning resources – software packages
R – this page provides a comprehensive list of R learning resources: learning-r
Stata – The Stata official User Manual is a good place to start:

11. Learning resources – Online courses
UCLA – a very comprehensive site with detailed examples:
UPenn:
Bristol – Centre for Multilevel Modelling:
Cathie Marsh Institute, Manchester:
National Centre for Research Methods:

12. Learning resources – Readings and example analysis
(Quantitative) social science journals without paywall, but with replication codes
Demographic Research: research.org/default.htm (with replication codes)
Sociological Science:
PlosOne:

13. Learning resources – The example dataset
British Crime Survey : Unrestricted Access Teaching Dataset