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Auxiliary particle filtering: recent developments
Nick Whiteley and Adam M. Johansen Summarized by Eun-Sol Kim
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Background -SSMs(State Space Models)
x1 f x2 … xn g y1 y2 … yn
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Background -Particle Filtering
The integrals required for a Bayesian recursive filter cannot solved analytically *Prediction step *Update step So, we represent the posterior probabilities by a set of randomly chosen weighted samples
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Background - Sequential Importance Resampling
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Weaknesses of SIR If there is an outlier, SIR is not robust.
If the observation density is tailed distribution, SIR is not robust From Filtering via Simulation: Auxiliary Particle Filters (1999, M.K.Pitt & N. Shephard)
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Main idea of APF Auxiliary variable(particle index): k
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Algorithm for APF
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Generic approaches choosing predictive likelihood
Using the approximations of the transition densities and update densities The multivariate t distribution (centered at the mode) In the multimodal case, a mixture of multivariate t distributions.
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Experiment Compare the performance of the PF and APF for an angular time series model Hidden states 𝛼 𝑡 =( 𝑥 𝑡 , 𝑣𝑥 𝑡 , 𝑧 𝑡 , 𝑣𝑧 𝑡 )′
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Experimental results (1/2)
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Experimental results (2/2)
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