1. Monitoring and Evaluating Conflict Sensitivity

2. 4 Lines of Inquiry – Programme Level
Monitoring of the conflict context (Conflict Analysis)
Monitoring of whether the Conflict Sensitive processes are functioning
Monitoring of the effects of conflict on the programme
Monitoring of the effects of programme on conflict (including the implementation of the programme)
November 22, 2018

3. What are the causes of violence / tension? Sector:
1. Conflict Analysis
General:
What are the causes of violence / tension?
Sector:
What are the trends in the sector-related conflict issues?
What are the perceptions of the government’s legitimacy and effectiveness in this sector?
Programme:
What are the trends in conflict / tensions in the project / programme area?
What are the opportunities / capacities for peace in the project / programme area?
November 22, 2018

4. When and how regularly was the conflict analysis updated?
2. Process
When and how regularly was the conflict analysis updated?
How has the operational plan been changed or revised in light of the conflict analysis?
What processes are in place to analyse/reflect on how the chosen priorities could escalate tensions or violence?
What processes are in place to assess the conflict sensitivity of possible partners and factor this into decision making?
November 22, 2018

5. 3. Effects of the conflict on the intervention
Have any developments in the conflict made any parts of the intervention ineffective, irrelevant or inappropriate to the conflict context?
Are underlying assumptions still valid?
How might the conflict affect the safety and security of staff, partners, beneficiaries, and wider stakeholders?
What are the perceptions of the beneficiaries and wider stakeholders of our donors and their partners?
November 22, 2018

6. 4. Effects of the Intervention on the Conflict
Has the distribution of resources exacerbated conflict – does it favour (or is it perceived to favour) one group over another?
Does the distribution of resources exacerbate horizontal inequalities or processes (eg exclusion, corruption, elite capture) that fuel conflict?
Does the injection of new resources allow existing resources to be freed up to pursue belligerent aims?
How effective have mitigation measures been?
November 22, 2018

7. Determining if a problem exists Bad for
Indicators…
Good for
Tracking changes
Determining if a problem exists
Bad for
Understanding causality of problems
Uncovering unintended consequences
Perception based indicators
Understanding perceptions, particularly when they are disaggregated by stakeholder group, is essential for understanding the effects of strategies and programmes on the conflict. They have the potential to yield richer information on whether and to what extent outcomes may be sources of grievance, as well as more opportunity for disaggregation of priority groups.
November 22, 2018

8. Conflict Sensitivity Vs Peacebuilding M&E
OECD DAC evaluation criteria application to peacebuilding
OECD DAC evaluation criteria application to conflict sensitivity
Key drivers of conflict and
Responsive to conflict context
Relevance
Considers peacebuilding and secondary objectives
Effectiveness
Considers objectives linked to peace
Considers intended or unintended effects on dividers and connectors
What are the effects, intended or unintended, medium or long-term, on the wider conflict dynamics, i.e., key drivers of conflict and peace?
Impact
November 22, 2018