1. Ricardo Scachetti Pereira CRIA
Modeling Species Ecological Niches: an example of predicting potential of invasion
Ricardo Scachetti Pereira
CRIA

2. Why Model Species Human interaction is changing landscape
Data is not Available in Quantity
Data is Biased in Many Ways
Inferential Analysis is Required
Modeling Algorithms Can Be Used

3. Case Study: Invasion of Weeds
Weeds are among the main threats to biodiversity conservation
understand how wildlife areas are vulnerable to invasion of weeds is important to long-term conservation of biodiversity, helping in conservation policies.

4. An example: Crotalaria
Authors:
Rafael Luís Fonseca (CRIA)
Paulo Roberto Guimarães Jr. (UNICAMP)
Sérgio Rodrigues Morbiolo (UNICAMP)
Ricardo Scachetti Pereira (CRIA)
Andrew Townsend Peterson (U. Kansas)

5. Input Data for GARP
point localities where the species is known to occur
geographic layers representing the environmental parameters that might limit the species' capabilities to survive

6. Methodology
Generate Models Predicting Occurrence in Native Range

7. Methodology
Project Models Onto Invasion Area

8. Evaluate Vulnerability
Overlay Projections over Conserv. Units

9. One More Time: C. pallida
Generate Models Predicting Occurrence in Native Range

10. One More Time: C. pallida
Project Models Onto Invasion Area

11. Evaluate Vulnerability
Overlay Projections over Conserv. Units

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