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Emerging Wind Energy Market Pakistan

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Presentation on theme: "Emerging Wind Energy Market Pakistan"— Presentation transcript:

1 Emerging Wind Energy Market Pakistan
Dr. Patric Kleineidam , Karachi, Pakistan

2 Chapter 1 Chapter 2 Chapter 3 Chapter 4 OVERVIEW
Company Overview & Experiences Chapter 2 Global Development of Wind Energy Market Chapter 3 Situation of Pakistan Chapter 4 Conclusions Lahmeyer International GmbH 2016

3 Company Overview & Experiences
Lahmeyer International GmbH 2016

4 33 countries LAHMEYER - a company of TRACTEBEL 4,500 employees 605 M€
Turnover 4,500 employees 33 countries LAHMEYER - a company of TRACTEBEL Lahmeyer Group: Since December 2014 Lahmeyer belongs to TRACTEBEL (Belgium), a company of ENGIE (former GDF SUEZ) Foundation: 1966 Headquarter: Bad Vilbel, Germany Activity: Technical and economic planning and consulting services Fields of Activity: Energy Hydropower & Water Resources Building & Transportation Lahmeyer International GmbH 2016

5 Key Wind Energy References
Wind measurement masts installed > 265 Country wide wind mappings 14 WAsP Wind resource assessments > 1,200 wind farms CFD wind studies > 100 wind farms Feasibility studies > 165 wind farms (> 8,900 MW) Due diligence studies > 965 wind farms (> 28,500 MW) Construction supervision > 110 wind farms (> 3,600 MW) Operation and maintenance supervision > 90 wind farms (> 2,500 MW) Lahmeyer International GmbH 2016

6 References in Wind Energy in Pakistan since 2007
Wind resource assessments 18 wind farms (> 900 MW) Feasibility / Due Diligence studies 20 wind farms (> 1,000 MW) Signed Construction Follow Up 18 wind farms (> 850 MW) Operation and maintenance 5 wind farms (> 200 MW) since 2011 in cooperation with Lahmeyer International GmbH 2016

7 Global Development of Wind Energy Market
Lahmeyer International GmbH 2016

8 Maturation of Wind Energy Markets
Governmental driven Information gathering Resource mapping Pilot projects, often (co-)financed by IFIs Entrance of private sector Support scheme being established Small market Project financing Private projects Many players Large experience Lahmeyer International GmbH 2016

9 Global Developments of Wind Energy Markets
Cumulative Wind Energy Installations < 0.5 GW 0.5-1 GW 1-3 GW 3-20 GW > 20 GW Real Data ( ), based on BTM/Navigant Lahmeyer International GmbH 2016

10 Global Developments of Wind Energy Markets
Cumulative Wind Energy Installations < 0.5 GW 0.5-1 GW 1-3 GW 3-20 GW > 20 GW Real Data ( ) and Forecast (2016), based on BTM/Navigant Lahmeyer International GmbH 2016

11 Global Developments of Wind Energy Markets
Cumulative Wind Energy Installations < 0.5 GW 0.5-1 GW 1-3 GW 3-20 GW > 20 GW Real Data ( ) and Forecast ( ), based on BTM/Navigant Lahmeyer International GmbH 2016

12 Global Developments of Wind Energy Markets
Cumulative Wind Energy Installations < 0.5 GW 0.5-1 GW 1-3 GW 3-20 GW > 20 GW Real Data ( ) and Forecast ( ), based on BTM/Navigant Lahmeyer International GmbH 2016

13 Global Developments of Wind Energy Markets
Cumulative Wind Energy Installations < 0.5 GW 0.5-1 GW 1-3 GW 3-20 GW > 20 GW Real Data (2015) and Forecast ( ), based on BTM/Navigant Lahmeyer International GmbH 2016

14 Global Developments of Wind Energy Markets
Cumulative Wind Energy Installations < 0.5 GW 0.5-1 GW 1-3 GW 3-20 GW > 20 GW Forecast ( ), based on BTM/Navigant Lahmeyer International GmbH 2016

15 Global Developments of Wind Energy Markets
Undergoing a significant diversification, resulting in several new emerging markets Earlier larger markets slow down (e.g. Spain, Italy) Why? Stable framework conditions are key Lahmeyer International GmbH 2016

16 Situation of Pakistan Lahmeyer International GmbH 2016

17 Development in Pakistan
2003 Establishment of Alternative Energy Development Board (AEDB) 2006 Announcement of Policy for Development of RE for power generation (Cost-plus-tariff, wind risk guarantee) 2011, 2014 Up-Front-tariff (FIT) announcement, revision 2016 Tariff under revision Data based on Navigant Pakistan can be characterised as Emerging Wind Energy Market Lahmeyer International GmbH 2016 17

18 Current Impressions from Projects in Pakistan
Pakistan has a good potential based on current technical and commercial parameters. Enhancement of interconnection infrastructure is important to take benefit of this potential. We expect that significant new capacities can be added in Jhimpir and Gharo with manageable grid reinforcements in addition to the projects already under planning. So far the projects are concentrated mainly in one region, the projects influencing each other (additional wake effects), efforts in establishing further project areas could facilitate further implementations The Tariff is under evaluation and will be updated. As long as the new tariff is not yet established, this leads to uncertainties for the project developer Momentarily the market is attracting more interest. Uncertainties can reduce this attraction Lahmeyer International GmbH 2016

19 Conclusions Lahmeyer International GmbH 2016

20 Conclusions Pakistan can be seen as emerging wind energy market
is attracting national and international investors and financial institutions By OsvaldoGago and GDJ (from Wikimedia) Lahmeyer International GmbH 2016

21 Conclusions Pakistan can be seen as emerging wind energy market
By OsvaldoGago and GDJ (from Wikimedia) Pakistan can be seen as emerging wind energy market is attracting national and international investors and financial institutions Recommendations for a further growth: Reduction of uncertainties Keep clear permitting processes Keep well balanced tariff Make good grid connection possibilities available Support development of further project areas Execute professional wind farm planning Lahmeyer International GmbH 2016

22 THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION

23 CONTACT lahmeyer.de Lahmeyer International Dr. Patric Kleineidam
Head of Department Wind Energy Tel.: / Fax: / lahmeyer.de Lahmeyer International GmbH 2016


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