1. Colombia: A land of opportunities Private sector outlook
National Business Association
of Colombia
October 2017

2. Colombia is not the same country we had 15 years, 10 years or even 5 years ago or the one we will have 5 years from now

3. Colombia: A middle income economy
2015
2010
2016
2005
99.899
2000
GDP – Million US$

4. COLOMBIA: GDP PER CAPITA
6.309
2010
6.030
2015
5.796
2016
3.417
2005
2.479
2000
(US$)

5. 2017: GDP GROWTH Source: IMF Oct 2017
Canadá: 3%
UE: 2,1%
(0.1 más)
EU: 2,2%
Japón: 1,5%
Corea: 3%
México: 2,1%
China: 6,8%
Venezuela: -12%
(0.3 menos)
Colombia: 1,7%
Ecuador: 0.2%
Perú: 2,7%
Brasil: 0,7%
Chile: 1,4%
Argentina: 2,5%
(0.2 más)
(0.1 más)
Latin America: 1,2% World Economy: 3,6%
Source: IMF Oct 2017

6. Colombia grows at a faster rate than Latin American and the World

8. In Colombia poverty is decreasing and middle class is increasing
Source: GPP – DPS and World Bank.

9. Population Distribution 2010 - 2020 Increase in middle class

10. 2017: An uncertain and difficult year However Colombia maintains positive growth rates and a promising outlook

13. 2017 Sem I
Civil -7%
Housing 5%

14. Colombia: an open economy

15. GLOBAL STRATEGY
Comunidad Andina
de Naciones - CAN
1999
MERCOSUR
2006
Chile
2009
Triángulo del Norte
(Guatemala – El Salvador - Honduras)
EFTA (Suiza, Liechtenstein, Noruega e Islandia)
2011
Panamá (Alcance parcial)
2012
Korea
Japan
(Not implemented yet)
2016
Venezuela (alcance parcial)
2015
Alianza del Pacífico
Estados Unidos
2015 – Now in process
Unión Europea
2013
Canadá
Ingreso de Colombia
a la OMC
1981
2001
Cuba
CARICOM
1998
México
1995

16. COLOMBIA: FOREIGN TRADE
Following downfall in commodities, exports once again show positive growth rates
Exports January-August 2017
55,6%
24,3%
13,0%
14,2%
Oil
Coffee
Industrial
Coal

17. COLOMBIA: FOREIGN TRADE
Imports of capital goods also increase
Imports January - July 2017
2,0%
2.8%
10,4%
2,7%
Capital goods
for manufacturing
Consumption
Goods
Intermediate
Goods
Capital Goods

18. Investment: one of the drivers of Colombian economy

21. Favourable macroeconomic environment

22. Inflation is within the Central Bank´s target

23. INTEREST RATES
7.75
7.50 %
July 2016
Dic 2016
7.50
7.25
7.0
June 2016
Feb 2017
March 2017
7.25
6.5
May 2016
April 2017
6.5
6.25
March 2016
May 2017
5.75
31 julio
5.75
June 2017
Dic 2015
5.5
4.5
July 2017
Sept 2014
3.75
5,25
June 2014

24. Summarizing: Colombia’s advantages for the private sector include:
Strategical location
Macroeconomic stability
Sustainable economic growth
Open economy
Open and straightforward investment legislation
Political Stability
Confidence

25. What can we expect in 2020?

26. Colombia in 2020 GDP US$500.000 millones GDP per cápita US$10.000
Poverty rate 20%

27. Colombia, a country of opportunities
Green growth
Agribusiness
Colombia, a country of opportunities
Encadenamientos e infraestructura FALTA
Value Chains
Infrastructure and Logistics
Digital Economy

29. Infrastructure-GDP growth
13,2%
2014
8,4% 5%
5,7%
2,4%
2015
2016
2017 Sem I
2014
4th Generation Roads Program: $17 US billon over
So far: 30 road projects awarded for $12.2 US billon.
5 the highway-coredors are currently being build up.
Many Infrastructure projects are part of the Presidency Program that watch over strategic country projects to help to implement them smoothly. (PINE´s)
This 4G projects are part of a 15 year “Transport Multi-modal Plan” to

34. Growth Accelerators
Education
Innovation
Entrepreneurship