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Analytic Hierarchy Process Prepared by Lee Revere and John Large

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1 Analytic Hierarchy Process Prepared by Lee Revere and John Large
Module 1 Analytic Hierarchy Process Prepared by Lee Revere and John Large To accompany Quantitative Analysis for Management, 9e \by Render/Stair/Hanna M1-1

2 Learning Objectives Students will be able to:
Use the multifactor evaluation process in making decisions that involve a number of factors, where importance weights can be assigned. Understand the use of the analytic hierarchy process in decision making. Contrast multifactor evaluation with the analytic hierarchy process. To accompany Quantitative Analysis for Management, 9e \by Render/Stair/Hanna M1-2

3 Module Outline M1.1 Introduction M1.2 Multifactor Evaluation Process
M1.3 Analytic Hierarchy Process M1.4 Comparison of MFEP and AHP To accompany Quantitative Analysis for Management, 9e \by Render/Stair/Hanna M1-3

4 Introduction Multifactor decision making involves individuals subjectively and intuitively considering various factors prior to making a decision. Multifactor evaluation process (MFEP) is a quantitative approach that gives weights to each alternative. Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is an approach designed to quantify the preferences for various factors and alternatives. To accompany Quantitative Analysis for Management, 9e \by Render/Stair/Hanna M1-4

5 Multifactor Evaluation Process
Steve Markel is considering employment with three companies. He has determined three factors that are important to him and assigned each factor a weight. Factor Importance (weight) AA Co. EDS, LTD. PW, Inc. Salary 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.9 Career Advancement 0.6 Location 0.1 Weights should sum to 1 To accompany Quantitative Analysis for Management, 9e \by Render/Stair/Hanna M1-5

6 Evaluation of AA Co. Factor Factor Factor Weighted
Weight Evaluation Evaluation X = Factor Factor Factor Weighted Name Weight Evaluation Evaluation Salary Career Location Total To accompany Quantitative Analysis for Management, 9e \by Render/Stair/Hanna M1-6

7 Comparison of Results Factor AA Co. EDS,LTD. PW,Inc. Salary 0.21 0.24
0.27 Career 0.54 0.42 0.36 Location 0.06 0.08 0.09 Weighted Evaluation 0.81 0.74 0.72 Decision is AA Co: Highest weighted evaluation To accompany Quantitative Analysis for Management, 9e \by Render/Stair/Hanna M1-7

8 Analytic Hierarchy Process
Break decision into stages or levels. Starting at the lowest level, for each level, make pairwise comparison of the factors. 9-step scale: equally preferred equally to moderately preferred moderately preferred moderately to strongly preferred strongly preferred strongly to very strongly preferred very strongly preferred very to extremely preferred extremely preferred To accompany Quantitative Analysis for Management, 9e \by Render/Stair/Hanna M1-8

9 Analytic Hierarchy Process
Develop the matrix representation: Comparison matrix Normalized matrix Priority matrix Develop  and the consistency ratio. Determine factor weights. Perform a multifactor evaluation. To accompany Quantitative Analysis for Management, 9e \by Render/Stair/Hanna M1-9

10 Decision Hierarchy for Computer System Selection
Judy Grim is considering purchasing a new computer system. The most important factors are hardware, software, and support. She has identified three alternatives. Select Computer System Hardware Software Vendor Support System: System: System: To accompany Quantitative Analysis for Management, 9e \by Render/Stair/Hanna M1-10

11 Beginning Comparison Matrix
Judy Grim has used the 9-point scale for pairwise comparison to evaluate each system on hardware capabilities Hardware System-1 System-3 System-2 3 9 6 1 To accompany Quantitative Analysis for Management, 9e \by Render/Stair/Hanna M1-11

12 Comparison Matrix (continued)
Hardware System-1 System-3 System-2 3 9 6 1 1/3 1/9 1/6 To accompany Quantitative Analysis for Management, 9e \by Render/Stair/Hanna M1-12

13 Normalizing the Matrix
Hardware System-1 System-3 System-2 3 9 6 1 1/3 1/9 1/6 1.444 4.167 16.0 Column Totals The totals are used to create a normalized matrix To accompany Quantitative Analysis for Management, 9e \by Render/Stair/Hanna M1-13

14 Normalized Matrix Hardware System-1 System-3 System-2 0.6923 0.7200
0.2300 0.2400 0.3750 0.0769 0.0400 0.0625 0.5625 = 1/ = .333/ 1.444 To accompany Quantitative Analysis for Management, 9e \by Render/Stair/Hanna M1-14

15 Final Matrix for Hardware
Factor System-1 System-2 System-3 Hardware 0.6583 0.2819 0.0598 To accompany Quantitative Analysis for Management, 9e \by Render/Stair/Hanna M1-15

16 The Weighted Sum Vector
F = [ ] 1 3 9 (0.6583)(1) + (0.2819)(3) +(0.0598)(9) = 0.6583)(0.33) + (0.2819)(1) + (0.0598)(6) = (0.6583)(0.167) + (0.2819)(0.167) + (0.0598)(1) = To accompany Quantitative Analysis for Management, 9e \by Render/Stair/Hanna M1-16

17 The Consistency Vector
/ = = 0.1799/ To accompany Quantitative Analysis for Management, 9e \by Render/Stair/Hanna M1-17

18 Computing Lambda Lambda is the average value of the consistency vectors. = = To accompany Quantitative Analysis for Management, 9e \by Render/Stair/Hanna M1-18

19 The Consistency Index CI = 3.0541 – 3 = 0.0270 3 – 1
The consistency index is: CI = – 3 3 – 1 = To accompany Quantitative Analysis for Management, 9e \by Render/Stair/Hanna M1-19

20 Consistency Ratio CI CR = RI (random index) = 0.0270 0.58 = 0.0466
The consistency ratio (CR) tells how consistent the decision maker is with her answers. A higher number means less consistency. In general, a number of 0.10 or greater suggests the decision maker should reevaluate her responses during the pairwise comparison. CI RI (random index) CR = This is a table value = 0.58 = Is Judy consistent in her answers regarding hardware?? To accompany Quantitative Analysis for Management, 9e \by Render/Stair/Hanna M1-20

21 Achieving a Final Ranking
We must now perform a second pairwise comparison regarding the relative importance of each of the remaining two factors. For simplicity, computation of the software and vendor support factor evaluations are left to you. To accompany Quantitative Analysis for Management, 9e \by Render/Stair/Hanna M1-21

22 Achieving a Final Rank (continued)
Factor Evaluation System 1 System 2 System 3 Hardware Software Vendor Support Using pairwise comparison we can obtain factor weights: Factor Factor Weight Hardware 0.0820 Software 0.6816 Vendor Support 0.2364 To accompany Quantitative Analysis for Management, 9e \by Render/Stair/Hanna M1-22

23 Judy Grim’s Final Decision
The factor weights are then multiplied by the factor evaluations to obtain a weighted evaluation. System or Alternative Total Weighted Evaluation System-1 0.2310 System-2 0.2275 System-3 0.5416 Best Decision!! To accompany Quantitative Analysis for Management, 9e \by Render/Stair/Hanna M1-23


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