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Y Dosraniad Poisson The Poisson Distribution

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1 Y Dosraniad Poisson The Poisson Distribution
3.2 Y Dosraniad Poisson The Poisson Distribution Mae’r Dosraniad Poisson yn cael ei ddefnyddio pan mae gennym nifer cyfartalog y troeon mae digwyddiad yn digwydd The Poisson Distribution is used when we have the average number of times an event occurs. e.e. nifer y galwadau ffôn a dderbynnir mewn swyddfa mewn 1 diwrnod, the number of phone calls received in an office in 1 day, nifer y diffygion mewn hyd penodol o ddefnydd, the number of flaws along a specified length of material, nifer cymedrig y damweiniau a geir ar ddarn penodol o’r A470 mewn mis the mean number of accidents along a specific stretch of the A470 in a month.

2 Os oes gan X ddosraniad Poisson, rydym yn ysgrifennu X ~ Po ( μ )
3.2 Os oes gan X ddosraniad Poisson, rydym yn ysgrifennu If X has a Poisson distribution, we write X ~ Po ( μ ) μ = y cymedr μ = the mean P(X = x) = e-µ µ x x! Mae’n bosibl hefyd defnyddio tablau i ddarganfod tebygolrwydd ar gyfer dosraniad Poisson. It is also possible to use tables to find the probability for the Poisson distribution.

3 Cymedr ac Amrywiant y Dosraniad Poisson
The Mean and Variance of the Poisson Distribution Mae’r cymedr yn cael ei roi i ni fel µ mewn dosraniad Poisson, ac mae’r amrywiant yn hafal i’r cymedr bob amser. The mean is given to us as µ and the variance is always equal to the mean in a Poisson distribution. E(X) = Var(X) = µ Cofiwch mai ail-isradd yr amrywiant yw’r gwyriad safonol. Remember that the standard deviation is the square root of the variance. Gwyriad Safonol = √Var(X) = √µ Standard Deviation = √Var(X) = √µ

4 Mae gan X ddosraniad Poisson, cymedr 5. Darganfyddwch P(X = 4)
Enghraifft - Example Mae gan X ddosraniad Poisson, cymedr 5. Darganfyddwch X has the Poisson distribution with mean 5. Find P(X = 4) P(X ≥ 6) P(2 ≤ X ≤ 4) P(X < 2) gymedr ac amrywiant Y pan mae Y = 4X - 2

5 X ~ Po ( 5 ) a) P(X = 4) = e-µ µ x x! = e-5 54 4! = 0.175 b) P(X ≥ 6)
= 0.384 ( yn defnyddio’r tablau) (using tables) c) P(2 ≤ X ≤ 4) = P(X ≥ 2) - P(X ≥ 5) = – = d) P(X < 2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) = e e-5 51 0! 1! = = e) E(Y) = E(4X – 2) = 4E(X) - 2 = 4 x 5 - 2 = 18 Var(Y) = Var(4X – 2) = 42 Var(X) =16 x 5 = 80

6 Ymarfer/Exercise 4.6a 4.6b 4.6c Mathemateg - Ystadegaeth Uned S1 – CBAC Mathematics Statistics Unit S1 - WJEC


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