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Aging in North Carolina, 2015

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Presentation on theme: "Aging in North Carolina, 2015"— Presentation transcript:

1 Aging in North Carolina, 2015
North Carolina Division of Aging and Adult Services

2 Demographic characteristics

3 Nationally, NC ranks in the top 10!
9th in total population 9th in population age 60 and over 10th in population age 85 and over For the first time, the state’s total population has exceeded 10 million! Source: American Community Survey 2015, one year estimate

4 The older adult population will increase (2015-2035)
2015 2035 % Change Ages # % Total 10,056,683 12,167,836 21% 60+ 2,101,237 3,214,038 26% 53% 65+ 1,508,441 15% 2,522,834 67% 85+ 173,970 2% 352,086 3% 102% Source: NC Office of State Budget and Management/demographics Retrieved on 11/1/2016

5 Growth of population 65+ by age group between 2015-2035
Of the population 65 and over, age group will grow more rapidly in the next 2 decades. Beyond 2030 the growth will shift to the ages 85 and over, as the baby boomers move into this age group. Source: NC Office of State Budget and Management/demographics

6 By 2019, there will be more people 60 and over than ages 0-17 in the state
Source: NC Office of State Budget and Management/demographics Retrieved 11/1/2016

7 Number of counties with people 60 and over than ages 0-17 will increase
Source: NC Office of State Budget and Management/demographics

8 Counties with more people age 60 and over than 0-17
2015 (66 counties) 2025 (87 counties) Counties with more people ages 60+ than 0-17 Counties with more people ages 0-17 than 60+ By 2035, 94 counties will have more people 60 and over than under age 18. The 6 counties with more people 0-17 than 60 and over are Craven, Cumberland, Durham, Harnett, Hoke and Onslow.

9 As the baby boomer population ages, number of counties with proportion of people 65 and over will increase Number of counties % 65 and over 2015 2035 10% or less 4 11%-20% 71 19 21%-30% 25 74 31%-34% 7 By 2035- In 7 counties, 1 in 3 people will be 65 and over (Cherokee, Clay, Pamlico, Chatham, Brunswick, Polk and Transylvania) Source: NC Office of State Budget and Management/demographics

10 Proportion of population 65 and over will increase
2015 2035 31% or more 21% to 30% 11% to 20% 10% or less Source: NC Office of State Budget and Management/demographics

11 Projected Change in Population 65 and over (2015 to 2035)
Beaufort Bertie Carteret Chowan Craven Dare Duplin Edgecombe Gates Greene Halifax Hertford Hyde Jones Lenoir Martin Hanover Northampton Onslow Pamlico Pasquotank Pender Perquimans Pitt Tyrrell Brunswick Washington Wayne Wilson Camden Currituck New Alexander Alleghany Ashe Avery Buncombe Burke Cabarrus Caldwell Catawba Cherokee Cleveland Davie Gaston Graham Haywood Henderson Iredell Jackson McDowell Macon Madison Mecklenburg Mitchell Polk Rowan Rutherford Surry Swain Union Watauga Wilkes Yadkin Yancey Clay Transylvania Lincoln Granville Nash Alamance Anson Bladen Caswell Chatham Columbus Cumberland Davidson Durham Forsyth Franklin Guilford Harnett Hoke Johnston Lee Montgomery Moore Orange Person Randolph Richmond Robeson Rockingham Sampson Scotland Stanly Stokes Vance Wake Warren Percent (number of counties) 150% and above (1) 100% to 149% (7) 50% to 99% (27) Range: -5% to 151% 1% to 49% (64) Projected growth for the State - 69% -5% (1) Source: NC Office of State Budget and Management, 11/1/2016

12 Top 5 counties with the most people 60 and over
Source: NC Office of State Budget and Management, 11/1/2016

13 There is more migration of people 60 and over to metropolitan areas
60 and over (Moved from other states and abroad) North Carolina 33,692 Wake 4,006 Mecklenburg 3270 Buncombe 1,810 Brunswick 1,732 Guilford 1,133 Henderson 1,100 Source: American Community Survey , Table B07001

14 Race/Ethnicity, age 65 and over
Source: American Community Survey , five year estimates. Table S0103

15 Of the people 65 and over………
2% speak English less than “very well” 21% are veterans 27% live alone 3% live in group quarters 81% are home owners Have a median household income of $35,696 Source: American Community Survey , five year estimates. Table S0103

16 Grandparents Responsible for Raising Grandchildren under 18 Years
Age 30 and over 98,656 Age 30-59 62,855 64% Age 60 and over 35,801 36% 60% are women 60% are White 34% are Black or African American 36% have disabilities 35% are in labor force 21% live in poverty Source: American Community Survey five year estimates. Tables S1002, S1001

17 Characteristics of grandchildren living with grandparents responsible
105,836 grandchildren live in households with grandparents responsible for them Age: 42% under 6 years 32% are 6 to 11 years 26% are 12 to 17 years Race: 46% White 41% Black or African American 9% Hispanic or Latino 12% of them have a disability 32% of them live below poverty level 42% of them live in households with SSI, cash public assistance income, or SNAP benefits Source: American Community Survey , five year estimates. Table S1001

18 Socio-economic characteristics

19 Poverty status by age groups
Source: American Community Survey , five year estimates, Table S1701

20 Poverty level, 65 and over % Below 100% of poverty level 9.8%
% Below 100% of poverty level 9.8% In 100%-199% of poverty level 23.7% US Census Poverty Thresholds, 2015 One person 65 and over $11,367 Two people 65 and over $14,342 Source: American Community Survey , five year estimates. Table S0103, B17024

21 Poverty rate increases towards older age
Source: American Community Survey , five year estimates, Table B17024

22 Percentage of people 65 and over living in poverty
Beaufort Bertie Carteret Chowan Craven Dare Duplin Edgecombe Gates Greene Halifax Hertford Hyde Jones Lenoir Martin Hanover Northampton Onslow Pamlico Pasquotank Pender Perquimans Pitt Tyrrell Brunswick Washington Wayne Wilson Camden Currituck New Alexander Alleghany Ashe Avery Buncombe Burke Cabarrus Caldwell Catawba Cherokee Cleveland Davie Gaston Graham Haywood Henderson Iredell Jackson McDowell Macon Madison Mecklenburg Mitchell Polk Rowan Rutherford Surry Swain Union Watauga Wilkes Yadkin Yancey Clay Transylvania Lincoln Granville Nash Alamance Anson Bladen Caswell Chatham Columbus Cumberland Davidson Durham Forsyth Franklin Guilford Harnett Hoke Johnston Lee Montgomery Moore Orange Person Randolph Richmond Robeson Rockingham Sampson Scotland Stanly Stokes Vance Wake Warren More than 20% 16% - 20% *North Carolina - 10% Range is 4% - 30% 10% - 15% Less than 10% Source: American Community Survey , five year estimates. Table B17024

23 Sources of income for persons age 65 and over
Social Security 93% Retirement 48% Earnings 34% Food Stamp/SNAP benefits 10% Supplemental Security 6% Cash Public Assistance 1% Source: American Community Survey five year estimates. Table S0103

24 Education, 65 and over Source: American Community Survey five year estimates. Table S0103

25 Labor force participation, 65 and over
% In labor force 15.8% Employed 15.0% Unemployed 0.8% As a percent of total civilian labor force 5.4% Not in labor force 84.2% * As % of age group Source: American Community Survey five year estimates. Table S0103

26 More adults are working into older age delaying retirement
* As % of age group Source: American Community Survey five year estimates. Table B23001

27 Housing, 65 and over In Group Quarters In Households 3.2% 96.8%
(44,822) In Households 96.8% Family Households 55% Non-family Households 45% Group quarters population: people not living in households and includes institutionalized and non-institutionalized population * As % of age group Source: American Community Survey five year estimates. Table B09020

28 Characteristics of group quarters population, 65 and over
Total Institutionalized Noninstitutionalized 44,822 41,265 3,557 Male 30.8% 30.1% 39.9% Female 69.2% 69.9% 60.1% Institutionalized: correctional institutions, nursing homes, psychiatric hospitals, in-patient hospice facilities, etc. Noninstitutionalized: military quarters, group homes, emergency and transitional shelters for homeless people, etc. * As % of age group Source: American Community Survey five year estimates. Table S2601A

29 Marital Status, age 65 and over
More women are widowed and live alone in older age Source: American Community Survey five year estimates. Table S1201

30 Health and well-being Of the people 65 and over:
37% have at least one disability 83% have at least one chronic disease. 52% of them had 2 or more chronic diseases 70% reported having an adult flu shot/spray 68% reported exercising in the past month 10% reported that their health is poor American Community Survey five year estimates, Table B18101 BRFSS 2015 survey results, NC State Center for Health Statistics

31 Disability Status, age 65 and over
* Civilian non-institutionalized population only Source: American Community Survey five year estimates, Table B18101

32 Functional limitations One in four people 65 and over report having trouble walking
Types of disability (age 65 and over) % with a disability With an ambulatory difficulty 25% With an independent living difficulty 16% With a hearing difficulty 15% With a cognitive difficulty 10% With a self-care difficulty 9% With a vision difficulty 7% Ambulatory – Serious difficulty walking or climbing stairs Independent living – Difficulty doing errands alone Hearing – Deaf or having serious difficulty hearing Cognitive – Difficulty remembering, concentrating or making decisions Self-care – Difficulty bathing or dressing Vision – Blind or serious difficulty seeing even with glasses Source: American Community Survey five year estimates. Table S1810

33 Leading causes of death, age 65 and over
Rank Cause of death Number of deaths % 1 Diseases of the heart 14,288 22.1 2 Cancer 13,455 20.9 3 Chronic lower respiratory diseases 4,316 6.7 4 Cerebrovascular diseases 4,273 6.6 5 Alzheimer's disease 3,764 5.8 6 Diabetes mellitus 1,885 2.9 *Number of people 65+ with at least one chronic disease is 82%: One chronic disease only – 27% 2 or more chronic diseases – 55%

34 Health Status, age 65 and over What would you say in general your health is?
Source: NC State Center for Health Statistics, BRFSS 2015

35 Life Expectancy, 2015 Age Groups Years 60-64 23.0 65-69 19.2 70-74
15.6 75-79 12.3 80-84 9.4 85+ 7.1 Life expectancy is the average number of additional years that someone at a given age would be expected to live if current mortality conditions remained constant throughout their lifetime

36 References: Glossary:
Population estimates and projections: North Carolina State Data Center. County/state population estimates and projections; July 1, 2015, 2035; Retrieved in 10/2016 from US Census Bureau. American Community Survey , 5 year estimates. Table S0102. Population 60 and over Table S0103. Population 65 and over Table S1810. Disability characteristics Table B Sex of grandparents living with own grandchildren under 18 years Table B Age by ratio of income to poverty level in the past 12 months Table B Sex by age by employment status for population 16 years and over NC State Center for Health Statistics. Leading causes of death. Retrieved from Life expectancy reports. Retrieved from Health status. BRFSS Retrieved from Glossary: Definitions of terminology used are available at


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