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Office Market Overview

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Presentation on theme: "Office Market Overview"— Presentation transcript:

1 Office Market Overview
presented by John J. Leary, MAI, CRE, FRICS Leary Counseling and Valuation, Inc. New Haven, CT UConn Center for Real Estate 2007 Connecticut Commercial RE Conference November 8, Farmington, CT

2 Leary Counseling and Valuation, Inc.
Acknowledgments Tim Mitchell CBRE/New England Nick Morizio, SIOR, CRE Colliers/Dow & Condon cushwake.com Cushman & Wakefield Leary Counseling and Valuation, Inc.

3 Hartford County Office: 3Q 2007
Source: CBRE/New England Total SF %Avail Avg Rent City 10,509, % $19.96 Suburbs 15,122, % $18.47 Total 25,632, % $19.17 Leary Counseling and Valuation, Inc.

4 Hartford County Office: 3Q 2007 (continued)
Source: Colliers/Dow & Condon Total SF %Avail Avg Rent City 10,049, % $18.73 Suburbs 14,272, % $18.06 Total 24,322, % $18.34 Leary Counseling and Valuation, Inc.

5 Hartford County Office: 3Q 2007 (continued)
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Overall Avg Rent Total SF Vacancy (Class A) City 10,409, % $22.34 Suburbs 15,217, % $19.28 Total 25,627, % $21.50 Leary Counseling and Valuation, Inc.

6 New Haven County Office: 3Q 2007
Source: CBRE/New England Total SF %Avail Avg Rent City 5,648, % $21.00 Suburbs 6,367, % $17.91 Total 12,015, % $19.36 Leary Counseling and Valuation, Inc.

7 City of New Haven Office: 3Q 2007
Source: Colliers/Dow & Condon Total SF %Avail CBD 2,772, % Non-CBD 2,236, % City 5,009, % Leary Counseling and Valuation, Inc.

8 Fairfield County Office: 3Q 2007
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Overall Avg Rent Total SF Vacancy (Class A) Stamford 14,551, % $39.75 All Other 25,029, % $32.69 Total 39,581, % $35.18 Leary Counseling and Valuation, Inc.

9 Office Market: The Big Picture
Capitalization Rate Compression Source: Real Estate Research Corporation Going-In Cap Rates: First Tier RE-East CBD Suburban 2Q %: 6.7% %: 7.1% 2Q %: 7.2% %: 7.5% Leary Counseling and Valuation, Inc.

10 Office Market: The Big Picture (continued)
The EOP Effect Blackstone buys Equity Office Properties for $40,000,000,000+ Blackstone spins off EOP buildings to third party buyers (individually and in packages) Unprecedented shift in transaction volume toward office space in 2007 Leary Counseling and Valuation, Inc.

11 The EOP Effect in Stamford
Blackstone to RFR Holdings: 01-Aug-2007 SF GBA Price/SF 300 Atlantic Street 267,935 $563.57 177 Broad Street 178,935 $441.50 201 Broad Street 332,991 $450.46 107 Elm Street 249,301 $457.28 Tresser Blvd 487,997 $461.07 301 Tresser Boulevard 254,902 $513.92 Total Transaction: $850,000,000 $ Avg Leary Counseling and Valuation, Inc.

12 Other Stamford Transactions
SF GBA Date Price/SF 2187 Atlantic Street 105, Sep-07 $504.76 One Atlantic Street 81, Sep-07 $263.83 Stamford Landing and 600 Summer Street 302, Jul-07 $286.94 333 Ludlow Street 393, Jun-07 $344.83 1010 Washington Blvd 143, Jun-07 $265.18 (Prior Sale in 2005: $149.34) Total Transaction Price (2007 Sales): $335,050,000 Weighted Average Price Per SF: $326.57 Leary Counseling and Valuation, Inc.

13 Office Market: Caveats and Question Marks
Does Sam Zell (CEO of former EOP) know something we don’t know? Will shadow space haunt us during the next years? Is the 10% vacancy paradigm still valid in the 21st Century? Leary Counseling and Valuation, Inc.


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