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Calculus 151 Regression Project

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1 Calculus 151 Regression Project
Data collected from the NJ Department of Education Website

2 NJ Standardized Test Scores
Year % of students proficient in Mathematics 2002 76.8 2004 70.1 2005 75.5 2006 75.9 2007 73.4 2008 74.8 2009 72.7 2010 74.1 2011 75.2 76.8 – Average Rate of Change = = =

3

4 Sine Regression Instantaneous Rate of Change at 2003 =

5 Quartic Regression R2 =.555 Instantaneous Rate of Change at 2003 =

6 Split Regressions Limit x Limit x

7 Continuous Split Regressions
Limit x Limit x ∞ ∞ Limit x ∞ DNE

8 Derivative of Split Regressions
dy/dx of data points 2002 7.58 2004 1.634 2005 -.1321 2006 -1.093 2007 12.347 2008 -15.39 2009 8.2643 2010 4.3229 2011 -14.05

9 Derivatives of exponential, logarithmic, and sine regressions
Y’= * ^x *ln( ) Y’= x Y’= * cos( x )

10 Newton’s Method finding zeros of the cubic regression
X0 = X0 =

11 Mean Value Theorem c = X f(c) = Y4 f’(c) = Y5
11-2 f’(c) = 9 f’(c) = -.098 c = X f(c) = Y4 f’(c) = Y5 Y= -.098(x – ) Y= -.098(x – ) Y= -.098(x – )

12 Error and Correlation Regression Correlation Error Linear .0058864321
+/-.0263 Quadratic +/ Cubic +/ Quartic +/ Logarithmic +/-.0793 Exponential +/-.0225 Power +/-.0745 Sine N/A +/

13 Max and Min of Cubic Regression
The Regression has a minimum at and a maximum at It is increasing between [ , ] ,and is decreasing between (- ∞ , ) U ( , ∞).

14 Second derivative of cubic regression
Second Derivative Zero Inflection Point Concave up Concave down First Derivative Maximum

15 Approximating area under a curve using left endpoints
Estimate Area is 72.432 73.684 77.426 74.644 76.352 71.138 76.517 74.42 71.891

16 Approximating area under a curve using right endpoints
Estimate Area is 76.352 71.138 76.517 74.42 71.891 77.426 72.432 73.684 76.976

17 Finding Area under the curve using the Fundamental Theorem of Calculus
11 Area=∫ sin( x ) dx F(x)= cos( x ) x F(11)- F(02)≈ ≈ Area ≈

18 Actual Area under the curve

19 Average Value Area= the sum of the % of students proficient in Mathematics over the past 9 years Average % of students proficient in Mathematics = ≈ 74.55% for each year


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