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FW364 Ecological Problem Solving Lab 5: Density Dependence and

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Presentation on theme: "FW364 Ecological Problem Solving Lab 5: Density Dependence and"— Presentation transcript:

1 FW364 Ecological Problem Solving Lab 5: Density Dependence and
Allee Effects

2 Log onto computers please Open up Excel, download today’s files from

3 Outline for Today Example of Paramecium density dependent population growth Learn how to recognize types of density dependence from data Estimate parameters needed for models with density dependence Lab 5: Investigate how density dependence affects growth dynamics Investigate deterministic fluctuations caused by density dependence types with two different population growth rates Investigate how density dependence types combine with stochastic fluctuations to affect risk of population extinction / explosion

4 Scramble – Population Forecast Scramble Population Dynamics
Population moves toward equilibrium point (carrying capacity) in smaller and smaller jumps each time step… back-and-forth approach Carrying capacity = intersection of the function with steady-state line on replacement curve Population overshoots carrying capacity then falls below carrying capacity Repeated until carrying capacity is finally hit Let’s look at a Contest Example

5 Contest – Population Forecast Contest Replacement Curve
Time Nt 1 2 3 100 275 425 480 500 K = 500 N0 = 100 Let’s look at population trajectory

6 Contest – Population Forecast Contest Population Trajectory
Time Nt 1 2 3 100 275 425 480 500 K = 500

7 Contest – Population Forecast Contest Population Dynamics
Population moves toward equilibrium point (carrying capacity) in smaller and smaller jumps each time step… steady approach Carrying capacity = intersection of the function with steady-state line on replacement curve Population never overshoots carrying capacity Examples starting above K

8 Scramble – Population Forecast Scramble Replacement Curve
Time Nt 1 2 3 4 1000 200 525 480 510 500 K = 500 Large fluctuations N0 = 1000

9 Contest – Population Forecast Contest Replacement Curve
Time Nt 1 2 1000 550 510 500 K = 500 Slowing decline N0 = 1000

10 Paramecium Example Goal: Create a model of density dependent growth from Paramecium data Given these data (and our knowledge of density dependent growth): What type of density dependence does Paramecium display? Scramble or Contest? What are the parameters we will need for this model?

11 Paramecium Example To Excel
Goal: Create a model of density dependent growth from Paramecium data Given these data (and our knowledge of density dependent growth): What type of density dependence does Paramecium display? Scramble or Contest? What are the parameters we will need for this model?  N0, K, λmax  We will do an example of how to estimate these parameters from real data To Excel

12 Density Dependence Functions
Note: This is not the density dependence function for the Paramecium data 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 N y-intercept: λmax scramble λ contest steady state Carrying capacity (K)

13 Lab 5 - Density Dependence
Goal: Investigate how density dependence affects population growth dynamics General Process: Build models with scramble and contest density dependence Compare models with two different growth rates (λmax) Compare models with and without stochasticity

14 Lab 5 - Density Dependence Scramble (extreme effect)
Part A: Investigating deterministic fluctuations caused by density dependence types with two different population growth rates (λmax) Scramble and contest cause different deterministic fluctuations Fluctuations are due to model equations, NOT stochasticity Scramble (extreme effect) Contest (1 – Nt/K) Nt+1 = Nt ( λmax ) λmax K Nt+1 = Nt Nt λmax – Nt + K

15 Lab 5 - Density Dependence
General Comments: Most of the in-class work (and work for lab reports) involves the interpretation of results I am, as always, happy to chat about interpretation For Reports: Exercise instructions give a lot of guidance regarding: Figures and tables to include in report Tips for interpreting results Lab is due on Oct. 29, 2013


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