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The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries February 2014

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Presentation on theme: "The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries February 2014"— Presentation transcript:

1 The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries February 2014

2 The Technology Industry Is Comprised of Five Sub-sectors
Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry ABB, Ensto, Murata Electronics, Nokia, Nokia Siemens Networks, Planmeca, Polar Electro, Suunto, Vacon, Vaisala... Metals Industry Boliden, Componenta, Kuusakoski, Luvata, Norilsk Nickel, Outokumpu, Outotec, Ovako, Rautaruukki, Sacotec… Mechanical Engineering Abloy, Cargotec, Fiskars, Glaston, Kone, Konecranes, Metso, Normet, Oras, Patria, Pemamek, Ponsse, Prima Power, Stala, STX Finland, Valtra, Wärtsilä... Information Technology Affecto Finland, Basware, CGI, Codebakers, Codenomicon, Comptel, Digia, Efecte, Enfo, F-Secure, Fujitsu Finland, IBM, Knowit, Microsoft, Nixu, Tieto… Consulting Engineering A-insinöörit, Citec, Elomatic, Etteplan, FCG, Finnmap, Granlund, Neste Jacobs, Pöyry, Ramboll, Sito, SWECO, Vahanen, WSP… 2

3 The Technology Industry in Finland
The Technology Industry in Finland Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry Data communications equipment, instruments, electrical machinery Turnover (2013): 14.2 billion euros Personnel (2013): Metals Industry Steel products, non-ferrous metals, castings Turnover (2013): 9.4 billion euros Personnel (2013): Information Technology IT services, applications and programming Turnover (2013): 8.3 billion euros Personnel (2013): Mechanical Engineering Machinery, metal products, vehicles Turnover (2013): 26.3 billion euros Personnel (2013): Consulting Engineering Expertise for construction industry and infrastructure Turnover (2013): 5.5 billion euros Personnel (2013): 3

4 The Technology Industry – the Most Important Sector in Finland
55% of total Finnish exports. 80% of private-sector R&D investment. Almost 300,000 employed directly in the sector, 740,000 employed in total, equalling about 30% of the entire Finnish labour force. The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries has over 1,600 member companies.

5 Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland
Billion euros,at current prices Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries 5

6 Export of Technology Industry Goods from Finland by Area in 2012
Total goods exports 26.5 billion euros* Central and Eastern Europe 5.3 billion € 20.2 % Western Europe 12.0 billion € 45.2 % North America 2.2 billion € 8.2 % the Middle East 0.6 billion € 2.3 % Asia 4.1 billion € 15.6 % Africa 0.8 billion € 3.0 % South and Central America 1.5 billion € 5.5 % *) In addition to goods exports the sector exports services worth about 12 billion euros. Source: National Board of Customs, Statistics Finland

7 Turnover of the Industry and Technology Industry in Finland
Change: 1-10, 2013 / 1-10, 2012, % -4 % -6 % 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Seasonally adjusted turnover index, latest information 10/2013. Source: Statistics Finland

8 Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland
Change: 1-10,2013 / 1-10,2012, % +11 % +3 % -6 % -8 % -13 % 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Seasonally adjusted turnover index, latest information 10/2013. Share of total turnover in 2012: mechanical engineering 41 %, electronics and electrotechnical industry 26 %, metals industry 14 %, information technology 11 %, consulting engineering 8 % Source: Statistics Finland

9 Value of New Orders in the Technology Industry* in Finland
Million euros, at current prices 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Change: IV,2013 / IV,2012 IV,2013 / III,2013 Export: -15 % +15 % Domestic: -3 % +13 % Combined: -12 % *) Excluding metals industry. Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information October-December 2013

10 Million euros, at current prices
Value of Order Books in the Technology Industry* in Finland Million euros, at current prices Combined 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Change: / / Export: -12 % -2 % Domestic: -7 % -5 % Combined: -11 % *) Excluding metals industry. Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information

11 Value of New Orders in the Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry in Finland
Million euros, at current prices 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Change: IV,2013 / IV,2012 IV,2013 / III,2013 Export: -13 % +25 % Domestic: -34 % -3 % Combined: -15 % +23 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information October-December 2013

12 Value of Order Books in the Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry in Finland
Million euros, at current prices Combined 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Change: / / Export: -15 % +18 % Domestic: -33 % -4 % Combined: -16 % +16 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information

13 Value of New Orders in the Mechanical Engineering in Finland
Million euros, at current prices 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Change: IV,2013 / IV,2012 IV,2013 / III,2013 Export: -19 % +2 % Domestic: -4 % +13 % Combined: -16 % +4 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information October-December 2013

14 Million euros, at current prices
Value of Order Books in the Mechanical Engineering in Finland Million euros, at current prices Combined 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Change: / / Export: -11 % Domestic: -17 % -12 % Combined: Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information

15 Value of New Orders in the Consulting Engineering in Finland
Million euros, at current prices 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Change: IV,2013 / IV,2012 IV,2013 / III,2013 Export: +31 % +30 % Domestic: +17 % +26 % Combined: +19 % +27 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information October-December 2013

16 Million euros, at current prices
Value of Order Books in the Consulting Engineering in Finland Million euros, at current prices Combined 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Change: / / Export: +12 % +6 % Domestic: +25 % +2 % Combined: +22 % +3 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information

17 Value of New Orders in the Information Technology in Finland
Million euros, at current prices 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Change: IV,2013 / IV,2012 IV,2013 / III,2013 Combined: +23 % +21 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information October-December 2013

18 Value of Order Books in the Information Technology in Finland
Million euros, at current prices 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Change: / / Combined: +3 % +1 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information

19 Change in Value of Order Books in the Technology Industry in Finland Compared with a Year Earlier
Change by companies: / , % Median: 0 % Average: -11 % Companies in random order Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information

20 Personnel in the Technology Industry
Some of employees affected by temporary or part-time lay-offs Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey

21 Change in the Number on Personnel in the Technology Industry in Finland Compared with a Year Earlier
Change by companies: / Median: -1,3 % Average: -2,1 % Companies in random order Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey

22 Technology Industry Personnel in Finland
Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey

23 Retirement of Technology Industry Personnel
Individuals per year Salaried employees Blue collar employees Source: Wage inquiry of the Federation of Finnish Technology Industries, Finnish Centre for Pensions, Statistics Finland

24 Retirement of Technology Industry Blue Collar Employees
Individuals per year Source: Wage inquiry of the Federation of Finnish Technology Industries, Finnish Centre for Pensions, Statistics Finland

25 Situational overview and outlook
Situational overview and outlook - Finland is in the grip of structural change. Development remains uneven between companies. - Turnover in Finland in 2013 was some EUR 64 billion. Turnover in the pre-crisis year 2008 was EUR 82 billion. - The monetary value of new orders in October-December 2013 was 12 % lower than in the corresponding period of 2012, but 15 % higher than at the level of the preceding quarter. - At the end of December, the value of order books was 11 % lower year on year, and 2 % lower the value reported at the end of September - The turnover of technology industry companies in early 2014 is expected to be roughly equal in comparison with the corresponding period last year. - Since 2008, personnel numbers in Finland have shrunk by 31,000 employees, totalling 296,000 in 2013. - Small and medium-sized enterprises in particular have reported weak development in profitability.

26 Optimism with regard to an upturn in the growth of the global economy has increased

27 Industrial Production Volume
Industrial production volume in EU countries 10 %, but in Finland 18 % lower since early 2008 2008=100 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Seasonally adjusted volume index, latest information 11/2013 or 12/2013. Source: Eurostat, Federal Reserve (USA), Statistics Bereau and Statistics Center (Japan)

28 Industrial Production Volume in EU Countries
2008=100 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Seasonally adjusted volume index, latest information 10/2013 or 11/2013. Source: Eurostat

29 Euro Countries Are Developing Unevenly
Manufacturing and Services Sector Purchasing Magers’ Index 50 = no change on previous month Latest information January 2014. Source: Markit

30 Growth Continues in Developing Countries,
but Slower than During Last Years Manufacturing and services sector purchasing magers’ index 50 = no change on previous month GDP, % v/v, y/y Latest information December 2013. Source: Markit, HSBC

31 Breakdown of World Industrial Production
% Purchasing power parity adjusted shares. Source: Maddison (Historical Statistics), IMF and ETLA

32 Industrial Production Development by Year
2005=100 Source: Consensus Economics

33 Almost all Western Countries have Excessive Public Debt
Public debt / GDP, % Source: OECD, Economic Outlook, November 2013

34 The Big Challenge for Finland after 2008

35 Finnish Exports up to EUR 20 – 30 Billion Short of Annual Target Level
Export of goods and services by quarter, billion euros, at current prices 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Working day and seasonally adjusted index. Latest information July-September 2013. Source: Statistics Finland / National Accounts

36 Finnish Exports lagging Behind Competitors
Export of goods and services by quarter, billion euros, at current prices, index 2005,I = 100 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Working day and seasonally adjusted index. Latest information July-September 2013. Source: Eurostat

37 The Share of Industry in GDP in Finland 1900-2012
Source: Statistics Finland

38 Finland not attracting Companies’ Investment
Companies’ Fixed Investments in Different Countries Indeksi, 2005=100 Source: OECD, Economic Outlook, November 2013

39 Unit Labour Costs at the National Economy Level
(Including the Effective Exchange Rates) 2005,I =100 Finland’s cost competitiveness declines Finland’s cost competitiveness improves 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 *) In the ECB Harmonised Competitiveness Index, the average effective exchange rate of each country is calculated vis-à-vis 20 to 30 main trade partners, as well as the development of unit labour costs for the total economy Latest information III/2013. Source: European Central Bank

40 What should be done? Support the renewal of the industry
Taxes should support growth and investment in Finland Support decision making in companies related to compensation and working time No new European nor national burdens on companies, which are deteriorating the competitiveness

41 Long-Term Outlook and Challenges
Global Structural Change Set to Continue Apace Industrial production and services will relocate to rapidly developing economic areas Strong growth, large markets, cheap labour and increasing expertise will increase the attractiveness of these regions. Competition over Skills and Raw Materials Set to Increase Due to an increase in retirement, the sector’s annual recruitment need in Finland will rise considerably in the coming years. The availability of reasonably-priced energy also threatens to become an investment bottleneck in Finland Combating Climate Change A challenge as costs are set to grow faster than in competitor countries An opportunity for new environmental and energy technologies


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