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Giuseppe Munda Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona

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Presentation on theme: "Giuseppe Munda Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona"— Presentation transcript:

1 “Social” Multicriteria Evaluation: Methodological Foundations and Operational Consequences
Giuseppe Munda Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona Dept. of Economics and Economic History Ed. B 08193 Bellaterra (Barcelona) Spain e_mail:

2 Structure of the talk Why Social Multicriteria Evaluation (SMCE)?
How such an approach should be developed? Conclusions

3 is an inherent property
addressed Complexity is an inherent property of natural and social systems ignored

4 DIMENTION/PERSPECTIVE
COMPLEXITY COMPLEX SYSTEMS CANNOT BE CAPTURED BY A SINGLE DIMENTION/PERSPECTIVE

5 Complexity: the ontological dimension
the existence of different levels and scales at which a hierarchical system can be analyzed implies the unavoidable existence of non-equivalent descriptions of it

6

7 Complexity: the epistemological dimension

8 soft Different dimensions hard Different values and perspectives
and topologies soft EMERGENT COMPLEXITY Different values and perspectives

9 "The issue is not whether it is only the marketplace
that can determine value, for economists have long debated other means of valuation; our concern is with the assumption that in any dialogue, all valuations or "numeraires" should be reducible to a single one-dimension standard". (Funtowicz and Ravetz, 1994, p. 198)

10 facts are uncertain values in dispute stakes high decisions urgent
S. Funtowicz, J. Ravetz facts are uncertain values in dispute stakes high decisions urgent Decision Stakes Post Normal Science Professional Consultancy Academic Science Uncertainty

11 incommensurability Weak comparability Strong comparability
Weak commensurability Strong commensurability Weak comparability incommensurability

12 TECHNICAL INCOMMENSURABILITY SOCIAL INCOMMENSURABILITY
NAIADE 2 matrices

13 Multi-, inter-, trans-disciplinarity?
Multi-: each expert takes his part Inter-: methodological choices are discussed across the disciplines Informing the others about object matter Criticism, reflexivity Trans-: What is it? ....

14 Consequences: 1) MULTIDISCIPLINARITY

15

16 Consequence: 2) PARTICIPATIVE TECHNIQUES
In-Depth Interviews Focus Groups Questionnaires Institutional Analysis

17 VALSE: Structure of the Troina Case Study

18 Data Collection and Participation
Objectives and Methodology of DIAFANIS Step 1: Evaluation of alternatives 1. Alternatives Generation Historical analysis A1 A2 An Alternatives Citizen Participation Institution. Why a conflict exists? Which alternatives exist? Which system dimensions can be affected? How alternatives can be evaluated? What means transparency? Data Collection and Participation Economical Social Environmental 2. Information Structuring System Dimensions and Hierarchical Scales International, National, Regional, Local 3. MCE Algorithm Criteria Selection Alternatives Evaluation Citizen Participation Mixed Information Step 2: Diffusion of results Existence of multiple values 2. School visits 3. Citizens meetings 4. International Symposium Technical and Social Rankings

19 Consequences: 3) ETHICS MATTERS

20 Weights in a social framework
Political Democracy Economic Democracy Sustainability Precautionary Principle

21 multicriterion decision making”
K. Arrow, H. Raynaud (1986): “Social choice and multicriterion decision making” Consequence: 4)THE AXIOMATIZATION ISSUE

22 Desirable Properties for SMCE Aggregation Conventions

23 The idea of social incommensurability implies:
Multicriteria methods must be as simple as possible to guarantee transparency. Weights in this framework are clearly meaningful only as importance coefficients and not as trade-off. As a consequence, complete compensability cannot be implemented. Sensitivity and robustness analysis have to check the consequences on the final ranking of only some clear ethical positions and not of all the possible combinations of weights. Conflict analysis procedures explicitly looking for social compromises should integrate a SMCE exercise. In a policy framework, to have a ranking of all the alternatives is more useful than just to select one alternative only; this implies that dominated alternatives cannot be excluded a priori.

24 From the idea of technical incommensurability:
Partial or complete non-compensability is an essential consistency requirement. Indifference and preference thresholds should be explicitly taken into account. Mixed information of the widest type should be addressed in a consistent way. Simplicity, meaning the use of as less parameters as possible, is a very desirable property. The hierarchical dimension of a policy problem should be explicitly considered.

25 Table 1. Example of evaluation of some multicriteria methods according to proposed desirable properties for SMCE

26 Is SMCE relevant for the study of Sustainability?

27 Yang: ECONOMICS GDP

28 Yin: ECOLOGY

29 MULTI/INTER-DISCIPLINARITY
QUALITY OF PRODUCT CONSISTENCY PROCEDURAL RATIONALITY LEARNING HOLARCHIES ETHICS RESPONSIBILITY QUALITY OF “SOCIAL” PROCESS TRANSPARENCY PARTICIPATION MULTI/INTER-DISCIPLINARITY

30 Social Multicriteria Evaluation
MCDM (technocratic) MCDA (technocratic) non-algorithmic MCE (loss of the algorithmic component) Participative MCE (loss of the algorithmic component) Social MCE (how to integrate mathematical tools with social processes)

31 SMCE MCDM MCDA PMCE MCDM MCDA


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