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Systems Analysis Methods

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Presentation on theme: "Systems Analysis Methods"— Presentation transcript:

1 Systems Analysis Methods
Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow SMU EMIS 5300/7300 NTU SY-521-N Utility Theory Basic Concepts updated

2 Terminology for Preferences
Suppose further that, out of this set the person is given only two options, say A and B, and asked to choose one. The choice taken reveals the person’s preference between the options. A > B denotes that A is preferred to B A < B denotes that B is preferred to A

3 Terminology for Preferences
A ~ B ~ is read as “the person is indifferent between A and B A  B denotes that B is not preferred to A A  B denotes that A is not preferred to B

4 Terminology for Preferences
The statement A is preferred to B is a strong preference for A. The statement B is not preferred to A is a weak preference for B. The strong preference for A indicates that A is valued over B by some amount. This preference can be interpreted to mean that the cost of A could be increased by at least some small increment, and the person would still choose A over B.

5 Terminology for Preferences
A preference ordering is rational if it is transitive, that is, if it satisfies the following condition: if A > B > C then A > C A person is rational if his or her preference ordering is transitive. We assume that we are dealing with rational individuals

6 The Notion of Utility We seek to assign to each option, i, a real number, ui, such that if A > B then uA > uB ui is the utility of option i, and its units are utiles. If this can be done, then a comparison of the real numbers ui will reveal the decision maker’s set of preferences. Utilities that provide only preference orderings are referred to as ordinal utilities. Ordinal utilities cannot be added or subtracted, and they do not measure strength of preference.

7 The Law of Diminishing Marginal Utility
It states that as the amount of a good consumed increases, the marginal utility of the good decreases. The slope of the curve at any point is referred to as the marginal utility. saturation point utility slope = marginal utility marginal utility saturation point quantity consumed quantity consumed

8 The Law of Equal Marginal Utilities
Each good is demanded up to the point where the marginal utility per dollar spent on it is exactly equal to the marginal utility of a dollar spent on any other good.This law says that the value of a unit of currency lies in its purchasing power for alternative goods. The slope of the curve at any point is referred to as the marginal utility.  = PAqA + PBqB + PCqC where P is price and q is quantity

9 The Law of Equal Marginal Utilities
marginal utility, utiles per $ quantity consumed qA qB qC A B C budget constraint

10 Linearly Additive Utility
The additive utility function is perhaps the multi-attribute utility form most commonly used by engineers. For a utility-independent system that may be described in terms of n attributes, the system utility is given by where ui is the utility of attribute i occurring in quantity xi and ai is a weighting factor.

11 Multiplicative Utility
The multiplicative utility form is given by where again the ui are the utilities of each attribute, and  is an arbitrary positive constant.  = 1 is perfectly acceptable. The multiplicative utility form often enables a simpler form for each of the component utilities than does the linearly additive form.

12 Log-Linear Utility The log-linear utility form is given by This form bears resemblance to both the linearly additive form and the multiplicative form. If we allow the transformation we see that these forms are actually identical, given the proper choice of ui.

13 Log-Linear Utility Also, we see that Thus, the log-linear and the multiplicative forms are identical, and hence all three forms are equivalent, given the proper choice of the ui.


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