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Chapter 28 The Aggregate Expenditures Model McGraw-Hill/Irwin

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1 Chapter 28 The Aggregate Expenditures Model McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Copyright © 2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

2 Chapter Objectives Aggregate expenditures for a private closed economy
Characteristics of equilibrium real GDP in a private closed economy Changes in equilibrium real GDP and the multiplier Adding the government and international sectors Recessionary and inflationary expenditure gaps

3 Model Simplifications
Private closed economy Consumption and investment only Prices are fixed Excess capacity exists Unemployed labor exists Disposable income = real GDP No taxes

4 Model Simplifications
Investment demand vs. schedule Investment Demand Curve Investment Schedule Investment Demand Curve Investment Schedule 20 Ig r and i (percent) Investment (billions of dollars) 8 20 20 ID 20 Investment (billions of dollars) Real GDP (billions of dollars)

5 Equilibrium GDP Real GDP = C + Ig Aggregate expenditures
Equal to C + Ig Aggregate expenditures schedule Quantity goods produced = quantity goods purchased Disequilibrium Only 1 equilibrium level of GDP

6 Equilibrium GDP In millions …in Billions of Dollars (2) Real Domestic
Output (and Income) (GDP=DI) (3) Con- sump- tion (C) (4) Saving (S) (1) – (2) (5) Investment (Ig) (6) Aggregate Expenditures (C+Ig) (7) Unplanned Changes in Inventories (+ or -) (8) Tendency of Employment, Output, and Income (1) Employ- ment In millions …in Billions of Dollars 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 $370 390 410 430 450 470 490 510 530 550 $375 390 405 420 435 450 465 480 495 510 $-5 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 20 $395 410 425 440 455 470 485 500 515 530 Increase Equilibrium Decrease $-25 -20 -15 -10 -5 +5 +10 +15 +20

7 Equilibrium GDP Equilibrium Point (C + Ig = GDP) Aggregate
530 510 490 470 450 430 410 390 370 45° Disposable Income (billions of dollars) Consumption (billions of dollars) (C + Ig = GDP) C + Ig C Equilibrium Point Aggregate Expenditures Ig = $20 Billion C = $450 Billion

8 Equilibrium GDP Saving equals planned investment
Leakage Injection No unplanned inventory changes

9 Changes in Equilibrium GDP
510 490 470 450 430 45° Real GDP (billions of dollars) Aggregate Expenditures (billions of dollars) (C + Ig)1 (C + Ig)0 (C + Ig)2 Increase in Investment by 5 Decrease in Investment by 5 The Multiplier Effect

10 International Trade Net exports and aggregate expenditures
Net exports schedule Net exports and equilibrium GDP Positive net exports Negative net exports International economic linkages Prosperity abroad Tariffs Exchange rates

11 Net Exports and Equilibrium GDP
Real GDP (billions of dollars) Aggregate Expenditures (billions of dollars) 510 490 470 450 430 45° C + Ig+Xn1 C + Ig Aggregate Expenditures with Positive Net Exports C + Ig+Xn2 Aggregate Expenditures with Negative Net Exports Real GDP +5 -5 Net Exports Xn (billions of Dollars) Positive Net Exports Xn1 450 470 490 Xn2 Negative Net Exports

12 Net Exports of Goods Select Nations, 2006 -881 Negative Net Exports
Positive Net Exports Canada +31 -45 France Japan +70 -27 Italy Germany +203 -171 United Kingdom -881 United States Source: World Trade Organization

13 Adding the Public Sector
GDP = Cd + Ig + Xn + G Lump sum taxes Taxes affect disposable income Consumption and the MPC Leakages = Sd + M + T Injections = Ig + X + G Sd + M + T = Ig + X + G

14 Adding the Public Sector
(1) Level of Output and Income (GDP=DI) (2) Consump- tion (C) (3) Saving (S) (4) Investment (Ig) (5) Net Exports (Xn) (6) Government (G) (7) Aggregate Expenditures (C+Ig+Xn+G) (2)+(4)+(5)+(6) Exports (X) Imports (M) …in Billions of Dollars $370 390 410 430 450 470 490 510 530 550 $375 390 405 420 435 450 465 480 495 510 $-5 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 $20 20 10 10 20 $415 430 445 460 475 490 505 520 535 550

15 Government Spending Effect
45° Real GDP (billions of dollars) Aggregate Expenditures (billions of dollars) C + Ig + Xn + G C + Ig + Xn C Government Spending of $20 Billion $20 Billion Increase in Government Spending Yields an $80 Billion Increase In GDP

16 Lump Sum Tax Effect $20 Billion Increase in Taxes Yields a
45° Real GDP (billions of dollars) Aggregate Expenditures (billions of dollars) C + Ig + Xn + G Cd + Ig + Xn + G $15 Billion Decrease In Consumption From a $20 Billion (MPC=.75) Increase in Taxes $20 Billion Increase in Taxes Yields a $60 Billion Decrease In GDP

17 Recessionary Expenditure Gap
GDP is below full employment Real GDP (billions of dollars) Aggregate Expenditures (billions of dollars) 550 530 510 490 470 45° AE0 $5 Billion Gap Yields $20 Billion GDP Change AE1 Recessionary Expenditure Gap = $5 Billion Full Employment

18 Inflationary Expenditure Gap
GDP is above full employment Real GDP (billions of dollars) Aggregate Expenditures (billions of dollars) 550 530 510 490 470 45° AE2 AE0 Inflationary Expenditure Gap = $5 Billion $5 Billion Gap Yields $20 Billion GDP Change Full Employment

19 The Complete Model GDP and full employment Multiplier effects
Government spending Lump sum taxes Recessionary gap Policy options Inflationary gap Demand pull inflation

20 Application U.S. economy late 1990’s Aggregate expenditure falls
Too much investment Stock market bubble Consumer debt Fraudulent business practice Aggregate expenditure falls U.S. recession of 2001 Terror attacks prolonged recession

21 The Great Depression Classical economics Say’s Law
Mills and Ricardo Prices adjust to maintain full employment Say’s Law Supply creates its own demand Depression challenged the theory New theory developed Keynes Aggregate expenditure model

22 Key Terms planned investment investment schedule
aggregate expenditures schedule equilibrium GDP leakage injection unplanned changes in inventories net exports lump-sum tax recessionary expenditure gap inflationary expenditure gap

23 Next Chapter Preview… Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply


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