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Birds and Wind Farms M.Ferrer EBD-CSIC

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Presentation on theme: "Birds and Wind Farms M.Ferrer EBD-CSIC"— Presentation transcript:

1 Birds and Wind Farms M.Ferrer EBD-CSIC
The state of the art in Spain 2017 M.Ferrer EBD-CSIC

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4 CLIMATE CHANGE SPEED: 4-5 Km/year ACCORDING JULY ISOTHERMS
BETWEN 10 AND 25 TIMES FASTER THAN IN THE LAST GLACIATION Apollo 17

5 We NEED renewable energies

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8 Wind power in different countries in 2007

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11 The effects of a wind farm on birds in a migration point: the Strait of Gibraltar
Cádiz 1993

12 STUDY AREA SPAIN NP WF AM Atlantic Ocean Mediterranean Sea

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14 Birds changed flight direction when crossing wind farm, increasing altitude and avoiding turbines
Passerines diversity, density and breeding success was equal in and out of the wind farm Bird mortality was low in this wind farm

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16 BEFORE-AFTER CONSTRUCTION STUDIES

17 No differences before-after in both bird and small mammals densities

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19 WIND FARM IMPACT ON BIRDS

20 Power 0.8-2.2 MW, Height (without blades) 50-80 m
20 Wind farms, 252 Turbines Power MW, Height (without blades) m

21 High mortality rates with 337 collided birds per year, 124 of them raptors.
With mean collision rate of 1.33 birds per turbine and year being one of the higher mortality records published in the world

22 Does mortality differ among wind farms ?

23 Test of SS Whole Model vs. SS Residual
Multip Multipl Adjuste SS df MS F p Vulture / year 0,6355 0,4039 0,3555 44,1596 19 2,3242 65,15 232 0,2808 8,27 0,000

24 Mortality per turbine and year was significant different among wind farms
The one with the highest mortality of griffon vultures was causing 23% of total mortality for the species, followed by another one causing 13%

25 Do collisions depend on raptor abundance ?

26 mortality of birds at the wind farm scale
No relationship between density (number of birds crossing the area) and mortality of birds at the wind farm scale

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28 Is mortality stable among years?

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30 Univariate Tests of Significance Over-parameterized model Type III decomposition
Effect SS Degr. of MS Den.Syn. F p Intercept Fixed 12,83083 1 1,0000 0,707976 18,12327 0,146879 Year Random 0,70798 22,0268 0,848024 0,83485 0,370766 month (year) 18,66778 22 0,84854 168,0000 0,426339 1,99028 0,007895 Error 71,62500 168 0,42634

31 Does mortality change during the year?

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33 Does mortality differ among turbines ?

34 Coefficient of variation of vulture mortality:
Observed vs. Expected Frequencies in griffon vultures Chi-Square = 316,3429 df = 251 p < ,003227 Friedman ANOVA and Kendall Coeff. of Concordance ANOVA Chi Sqr. (N = 251, df = 1) = 68,37052 p = Coeff. of Concordance = ,27239 Aver. rank r = ,26948 Average Sum of Mean Std.Dev. Vulture / year turbine 1,239044 311,0000 0,128574 0,266456 Expected 1,760956 442,0000 Coefficient of variation of vulture mortality: Among wind farms: 50% Among turbines: 150%

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36 But: How were these high impact wind farms authorized?
Didn't they conduct risk assessment studies? Did they carry them out in a wrong way?

37 Risk assessment studies in Spain, as in Europe and several states in USA, rely mainly on bird counts in the potential area for the new wind farm. Some other aspects are considered such distance to breeding areas of sensitive species, bat breeding or roosting sites and others. The most relevant factor for raptors is considered to be the local density in the potential area, usually measured as the number of birds crossing the whole area of the future wind farm.

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39 Observation at risk per hour Deaths per turbine and year
Wind Risk ________________________ ___________________________ Farm level Birds Vultures Raptors Birds Vultures Raptors

40 Observation at risk per hour Deaths per turbine and year
Wind Risk ________________________ ___________________________ Farm level Birds Vultures Raptors Birds Vultures Raptors

41 GLM using Poisson distribution and log link function
Dependent variable Birds per turbine and year df Wald P Intercept Bird / hour Birds at risk / hour Risk level Griffon vultures per turbine and year df Wald P Intercept G. vulture / hour G. vulture at risk / hour Risk level Other raptors per turbine and year df Wald P Intercept Raptor / hour Raptor at risk / hour Risk level

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47 And Now? We need to mitigate mortality caused by badly placed turbines. 2) We need to change our methods to evaluate the potential risk in new installations

48 And Now? We need to mitigate mortality caused by badly placed turbines. 2) We need to change our methods to evaluate the potential risk in new installations

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51 Since 2008, we are using a selective stopping program to stop turbines when vultures were observed near. Griffon vulture mortality rate was reduced by 65% with only a reduction in total energy production of the wind farms by 0.07% per year. The use of selective stopping techniques at turbines with the highest mortality rates mitigate the impacts of wind farms on birds with a minimal affect on energy production.

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56 And Now? We need to mitigate mortality caused by badly placed turbines. 2) We need to change our methods to evaluate the potential risk in new installations

57 Using Wind Tunnels to Predict Bird Mortality in Wind Farms: The Case of Griffon Vultures

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61 N Viento Sur Viento Sureste Viento Este No statistical differences were detected between the observed flight trajectories of griffon vultures and the wind passages observed in our wind tunnel model

62 A significant correlation was found between dead vultures and predicted proportion of vultures crossing each turbine according to the aerodynamic model (rs = 0.840, n= 6. P= 0.036).

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64 Simulación con ETESIO

65 Ensayo V-45 (400 m)

66 Ensayo V-45 (100 m)

67 Now in Spain, new regulations said that Risk Assessment Studies must be conducted at individual turbine scale and the Wind Tunnel Test would be a good tool.

68 Thank you for your attention


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