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Preliminary estimates

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1 Preliminary estimates
SNe-Ia with JDEM: Preliminary estimates Massimo Della Valle & Pippus Mannucci INAF-Napoli and ESO & INAF-Arcetri

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3 Assumptions 2h of integration time, S/N =5 limiting (Vega) magnitudes:
J= 25.85 H= 24.53 I= 26.52 R= 27.16 No other filters were available. 1.2m  1.5m, 2h  ~ 1h (3000s)

4 Spectral Distribution Energy (Panagia 2003)

5 M_B = -19.46 +-0.56, Richardson et al. 2002).

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7 Hold in check what we are doing……
Perlmutter et al. 1998 SN 1992A moved at z=0.8 after normalization to in the B band: R=24.27 I= 23.26 SN1997ap z=0.83 R = ± 0.09 I = ± 0.07

8 The apparent magnitudes as a function of the redshift are summarized in Fig. 1. Solid lines are limiting magnitudes for R (blue), I (green), J (magenta) and H (red). Dashed lines represents the DUNE thresholds *made* 1 mag brighter than reported above. The reason for that is the need to follow-up the SN over days past max (SN rest-frame), i.e. up to about 1 mag fainter than it. Then, it is obvious that the DUNE thresholds at S/N~5 should refer to the last photometric measurement in the SN lightcurve not to its maximum light (S/N ~ 20)

9 Assumptions 2h of integration time, S/N =5 limiting (Vega) magnitudes:
J= 25.85 H= 24.53 I= 26.52 R= 27.16 No other filters were available. 1.2m  1.5m, 2h  ~ 1h (3000s)

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11 Cappellaro et al. 1997

12 SN rates SNe / yr deg^2 dz z
SN rates (Ia and II) from Cappellaro et al. 1999, Mannucci et al. 2005 SNe / yr deg^2 dz z

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14 700 SNe-Ia / yr deg2 SNe / yr deg 2
Giving a redshift threshold of 1.5, I have computed the number of SN explosions up to that redshift (SN rates from Cappellaro et al und Mannucci et al. 2005). In fig. 2 you find the number of SNe/ deg2 yr. Black and magenta solid lines are CC and Ia respectively. Dashed lines are the same counts after correction for dusty environments (MDVP 2007). Up to z ~ 1.5, we have about 600 SNe-Ia/deg2 yr. Over 4yr mission, with a control time of, say, 0.5 yr, we should be able to detect ~ 1200 SNe-Ia, 70% of them between z ~ 1 and z ~ 1.5.

15 MDVP 2007

16 700 SNe-Ia / yr deg2 dust 550 SNe-Ia / yr deg2 SNe / yr deg 2
Giving a redshift threshold of 1.5, I have computed the number of SN explosions up to that redshift (SN rates from Cappellaro et al und Mannucci et al. 2005). In fig. 2 you find the number of SNe/ deg2 yr. Black and magenta solid lines are CC and Ia respectively. Dashed lines are the same counts after correction for dusty environments (MDVP 2007). Up to z ~ 1.5, we have about 600 SNe-Ia/deg2 yr. Over 4yr mission, with a control time of, say, 0.5 yr, we should be able to detect ~ 1200 SNe-Ia, 70% of them between z ~ 1 and z ~ 1.5.

17 Botticella et al. 2008 SNe-Ia / yr deg2

18 700 SNe-Ia / yr deg2 dust 550 SNe-Ia / yr deg2
1000 SNe-Ia/yr deg2 up to z ~2 SNe / yr deg 2 Giving a redshift threshold of 1.5, I have computed the number of SN explosions up to that redshift (SN rates from Cappellaro et al und Mannucci et al. 2005). In fig. 2 you find the number of SNe/ deg2 yr. Black and magenta solid lines are CC and Ia respectively. Dashed lines are the same counts after correction for dusty environments (MDVP 2007). Up to z ~ 1.5, we have about 600 SNe-Ia/deg2 yr. Over 4yr mission, with a control time of, say, 0.5 yr, we should be able to detect ~ 1200 SNe-Ia, 70% of them between z ~ 1 and z ~ 1.5.

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20 ESO HAWK+VLT J=23.9 H=22.5 K=22.3 3600s and S/N=5
Solid lines represent the S/N=5 photometric thresholds for JDEM (magenta) and E-ELT (black, for 42m, Strehl=0.5, Encircled Energy within 1.22 lambda/D=0.77). Dashed lines are spectroscopic thresholds for resolution R=100 (which is pretty low, but sufficient to make SN spectroscopic classification). The green spectrum is SN 1992A moved at z=2. Consistently with the results reported above, a SN-Ia is still detectable, in imaging, at z=2 (at S/N ~ 5), but certainly too faint for spectroscopic observations, even at resolution ~ 100. For a threshold of ~ erg cm-2 s-1 A-1, observations with resolution of ~100 are viable only up to z ~

21 z=1

22 Summary The SN survey  in J band  range of redshifts of cosmological interest (up to z ~ 1.5). Survey in I (or R) bands are less deep (z~1-1.2). The estimated number of detectable SNe-Ia, up to z~1.5 (after correction for dust) is ~ 550 SNe-Ia /yr deg2 ( ). After assuming a survey efficiency of ~ 0.5, the number of detected SNe-Ia over 4 deg2 and 2yr of mission turns out to be ~ 2200 SNe. Spectroscopic observations from JDEM telescope. The size of the mirror represents the major drawback. Low resolution observations R=100 (still sufficient to make SN classification) are viable for z ~1 (1h). In principle SNe-Ia are detected up to z ~ 2 (1000/yr/deg2). Are they useful? (EELT, JWST follow up? Photometric classification) To do list: i) to carry out similar computations for II, Ib/c and HNe ii) to explore the possibility to observe SNe-Ia at near-IR wavelengths (rest frame)


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