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The association between recent travel and risk of malaria: prospective cohort studies at 3 sites in Uganda with varied transmission intensity ASTMH 66th.

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Presentation on theme: "The association between recent travel and risk of malaria: prospective cohort studies at 3 sites in Uganda with varied transmission intensity ASTMH 66th."— Presentation transcript:

1 The association between recent travel and risk of malaria: prospective cohort studies at 3 sites in Uganda with varied transmission intensity ASTMH 66th annual meeting. Poster session C, Presentation number: 1634 Emmanuel Arinaitwe1,2, Bryan Greenhouse3, Isabel Rodriguez-Barraquer3, Joaniter I. Nankabirwa2, Simon Peter Kigozi1,2, John Rek2, Isaac Ssewanyana1,2, Arthur Mpimbaza2, Moses R. Kamya4, Philip J. Rosenthal3, Chris Drakeley1, Grant Dorsey3, Sarah G. Staedke1 1London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom, 2Infectious Diseases Research Collaboration, Kampala, Uganda, 3Department of Medicine, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, United States, 4School of Medicine, Makerere University College of Health Sciences, Kampala, Uganda Introduction Malaria transmission is high in most areas of Uganda, however, transmission has declined in some areas due to urbanization and indoor residual spraying of insecticides (IRS) People living in relatively low transmission areas may be at increased risk of malaria following recent overnight travel The objective of this study was to evaluate associations between recent overnight travel and the incidence of malaria Results From July 2015 to June 2016, travel histories were taken from 906 participants in 3 study sites. Most participants who travelled reported taking only one trip. Reported use of LLINs during recent overnight travel was low (35.5%). Among individuals who travelled, the incidence of malaria was 3 times higher in the 1-60 days after travelling as compared to periods without travel in the previous 60 days (1.15 vs episodes of malaria PPY, IRR=3.53, 95% CI , p<0.001) On adjusting by age, this finding was statistically significant only in children (1.78 vs episodes of malaria PPY, IRR=3.67, 95% CI , p < 0.001). Recent overnight travel was associated with a significantly higher risk of malaria incidence in all 3 study sites, most notably in Nagongera, where there was a 6-fold increase in the incidence of malaria during the post-travel period (0.14 vs episodes PPY, IRR=6.54, 95% CI , p=0.008). Methods Cohort studies were conducted at 3 sub-counties Walukuba, a peri-urban area, with low malaria transmission Nagongera, a rural area receiving IRS Kihihi, a rural area with moderate transmission All households within each sub-county were enumerated and 100 households randomly selected from each sub-county All children years of age and one adult per household were enrolled Routine evaluations were done every 3 months Study participants received all care from study clinics open 7 days/week Data on dates of recent overnight travel were collected at every visit Overnight travel was defined as spending at least a night outside the sub-county of residence Malaria, defined as fever in the presence of parasites detected by microscopy The primary outcome: Incidence of malaria Table. Characteristics of study sites, participants and travel history Characteristic Study site All sites Walukuba Nagongera Kihihi Entomological inoculation rate1 N/A 2.4 4.5 11.2 Total number assessed for overnight travel 906 275 317 314 Number of children, n (% total) 687 (75.8%) 205 (74.6%) 242 (76.3%) 240 (76.4%) Number of adult, n (% total) 219 (24.2%) 70 (25.5%) 75 (23.7%) 74 (23.6%) Participants reporting any overnight travel, n (% total) 120 (13.3%) 64 (23.3%) 37 (11.7%) 19 (6.1%) Characteristics of participants who reporting any recent overnight travel Children, n (%) 69 (57.5%) 38 (59.4%) 25 (67.6%) 6 (31.6%) Female gender, n (%) 75 (62.5%) 37 (57.8%) 20 (54.1%) 18 (94.7%) Total duration of observation in days, median (IQR) 266 ( ) 239 ( ) 280 ( ) 268 ( ) Total duration of overnight travel in days, median (IQR) 8 (4-19) 10 (6-21) 7 (3-13) 4 (2-16) Number of overnight trips reported, n (%) 1 2 3 104 (86.7%) 14 (11.7%) 2 (1.7%) 55 (85.9%) 8 (12.5%) 1 (1.6%) 31 (83.8%) 5 (13.5%) 1 (2.7%) 1 (5.3%) Characteristics of individual recent overnight trips Total number of overnight trips 138 74 44 20 Duration of each trip, median (range) 7 (1-79) 8 (1-39) 7 (1-33) 5 (1-79) Any reported LLIN use during travel, n (%) 49 (35.5%) 19 (25.7%) 23 (52.3%) 7 (35.0%) Figure 1. Study area 1Infective bites per person year July 2015 – June 2016 Conclusions Recent overnight travel was associated with a markedly higher incidence of malaria compared to the period before travel. These findings suggest that there is a need for targeted intervention to reduce the risk of malaria during overnight travel. The study was limited by small samples size to explore behavioural risk factors like staying outdoors late that might influence exposure to malaria. Figure 2. Associations between recent overnight travel and incidence of malaria Acknowledgements: Makerere University-UCSF Research Collaboration and Infectious Diseases Research Collaboration (IDRC) for administrative and technical support, the National Institutes of Health for financial support as part of the International Centers of Excellence in Malaria Research (ICMER) program (U19AI089674), and the Fogarty International Center for training support (D43TW7375).


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