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2014 Society of Actuaries Annual Meeting & Exhibit

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1 2014 Society of Actuaries Annual Meeting & Exhibit
Annuity Hot Topics 106PD 2014 Society of Actuaries Annual Meeting & Exhibit Timothy C. Pfeifer, FSA, MAAA Pfeifer Advisory LLC October 28, 2014

2 Focus is on four product types:
Agenda Focus is on four product types: Fixed Indexed Annuities Variable Deferred Annuities Deferred Income Annuities Contingent Deferred Annuities The Approach: TODAY TOMORROW Q&A: Include SPIAs and DRFAs

3 Fixed Indexed Annuities
TODAY Market Dominance Two carriers selling uncapped, managed volatility indexes Spawning Imitators Spread-based products Income-Focused Products Defined benefit approaches, stacked benefit bases Fine-tuning niche competitiveness Benefits relative to DIA, SPIA Shifting Distribution Greater percentage of sales from banks, wires, B/Ds 31% (1st half, 2014), 17% (2013) Products simpler and shorter SC

4 Fixed Indexed Annuities
TOMORROW Absent a very large increase in interest rates, will continue to take share from DRFAs and VAs Income story will still predominate, but interesting indexes will make for more compelling accumulation stories Penetration of FIAs into banks, wires, B/Ds will serve as impetus to pull historical FIA carrier naysayers into market New FIA designs will borrow from the mutual fund, ETF, 401(K) worlds

5 Variable Deferred Annuities Continued Steps to De-Risk
TODAY Continued Steps to De-Risk In Addition... Volatility Controlled Funds Withdrawal Benefits a Function of Interest Rates, Volatility Investment-Oriented VA Large Subaccount Menu Alternative Assets Few Guarantees Premium Limitations VA Buyback Programs Guaranteed Living Benefits Re-direct to GMAB Some Reinsurance Capacity

6 Variable Deferred Annuities
TOMORROW Fewer Manufacturers Due to Earnings/Balance Sheet Volatility Loss of Market Share. Fewer 1035s Due to Rich Inforce Guarantees Rise of Privately-Placed Variable Annuities and Variable Life Continued Evolution of Buyback programs – Dial-Downs, Cost Reductions Carriers Seek Portfolio Balance of IOVAs with Lighter Guaranteed VAs

7 Deferred Income Annuities Substantial Sales Growth
TODAY Substantial Sales Growth Carriers in Market 1st half 2014 sales reached $1.3 billion At least 12 active sellers Three quarters of business sold via captive channels Full year 2013 sales finished at $2.2 billion Top 3 account for 85% DIA vs. SPIA Product Focus Similar pricing mortality Limited liquidity, flexibility Similar commissions QLAC status promising Some carrier overlap Focus on income competitiveness

8 Deferred Income Annuities More Product Diversification/Differentiation
TOMORROW More Product Diversification/Differentiation Liquidity Linkage with other coverages Distinct pricing parameters as experience data emerges Indexing/Inflation component Market Expansion 401(k) Market Packaging with VAs, other products New Distribution

9 Contingent Deferred Annuities
TODAY “ Essentially a stand-alone GLWB policy that wraps non-annuity assets and ensures guaranteed lifetime income” Covers certain ETFs and Mutual Funds Current market is very thin Only a few insurers Starting to gain traction Clearly viewed as a defensive product by many Main hurdle is regulation Finally recognized as a annuity contract NAIC workgroup reviewing CDAs across all current annuity regulations Some states won’t yet approve, but log jam may be breaking Pricing nuances of CDAs

10 Contingent Deferred Annuities Regulatory Clarification
TOMORROW Regulatory Clarification Product Design Will play out over next couple of years State approvals will open up Some new law will need to be created Will not be limited to ETF and Mutual Fund coverage 401(k) market will be popular Designs will be simpler than VA GLWBs, but may not be cheaper Distribution RIAs are clear, untapped channel Some broker/dealers would like to de-emphasize annuities An annuity license still required to sell CDAs Bank area is a wild card

11 Timothy C. Pfeifer, FSA, MAAA
Thank You! Timothy C. Pfeifer, FSA, MAAA


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