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1.3.4 Forecasting cash flows

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1 1.3.4 Forecasting cash flows
Here are some of the terms to do with cashflow can you work them out? PRICE SET money coming into the business MAN TYPES money going out of the business ASCOT REF making predictions into the future ABLE CAN what is left in the bank FTEN CHLA SOW difference between inflows and outflows ECNIBG AOPLNANE amount in bank at start of month Receipts Payments Forecast Balance 1.3.4 Forecasting cash flows BUSS1.3.4 Forecasting cash flows

2 3.3.1 How to improve cash flow
How much will I earn? We had haggled over my monthly salary for ages. My employer offered me £ As a challenge I said that I would be happy if he would pay me all of the numbers 1 to 100 added together. ‘OK’ he said, and we shook hands. Was he right to accept my offer? Add up all of the whole financial numbers £1 to £100 i.e. £1, £2, £3… how much will I get paid? No calculators allowed and as quickly as possible. 100+0 = 100, 99+1 = 100, 98+2 = 100, 97+3=100 etc. There are 50 numbers between 100 and 51 so 50 x 100 = We still have to add the number 50 so we get £5050. Or 100+1= 101, 99+2 = 101, 98+3 = 101… 50x101 = £5050 3.3.1 How to improve cash flow How to improve cash flow

3 Filling in a cash flow forecast – your turn
You may be asked to fill in the blanks on a cash flow forecast. See if you can do it here. Jan Feb Mar Receipts (£) 8000 6000 e Payments Raw materials 3000 c 4000 Fixed Costs 2500 Other costs 3500 Total Payments a 10000 Net cash flow b (2000) (500) Opening Balance 1000 (2500) Closing Balance d (3000) a = =9500; b = = (1500); c = 8000 – ( ) = 2500; d = (2000) + (500) = (2500); e = (500) = 9500

4 MULTIPLE CHOICE □ A Bank loan □ B Overdraft
Jan (£) Feb (£) Mar (£) Cash inflow (a) 8000 12000 Cash outflow 8500 9000 (c) Net Cash Flow (1500) (b) 2000 1. Use the table to calculate (a)-(c) 2. What is the most appropriate way to deal with the negative cash flow in January □ A Bank loan □ B Overdraft □ C Sell shares to friends and family □ D Increase sales revenue 1. (a) 7000 (b) (1000) (c) B BUSS1.3.4 Forecasting cash flows 4

5 Cash Flow Problems Businesses need to have sufficient cash to meet day to day finances Buying stock Paying wages Utility bills Insufficient liquid cash funds may mean an inability to meet short term debts Bank overdraft Trade creditors Limited cash may result in missed opportunities How to improve cash flow

6 Cash Flow Problems A key consideration should be whether the cash flow problem is short term or long term A firm may be able to survive short term cash flow problems Long term cash flow problems may be insurmountable What were the key factors leading to the collapse of XL airlines? How to improve cash flow

7 Causes of cash flow problems
Credit Sales Long payment terms Poor credit control Overtrading Additional overhead and day to day expenses Increased capital expenditure Internal management Stock control Relationship with suppliers Poor or inaccurate planning Seasonality Unexpected events What advice would you give to businesses on managing credit sales? How to improve cash flow

8 Improving Cash Flow Increasing the volume of the inflow of cash
Speeding up the timing of the inflow of cash Inflows Capital invested Loans Cash sales Debtor payments Reducing the volume of the outflow of cash Slowing down the timing of the outflow of cash Outflows Loan repayments Day to day running expenses Interest payments How to improve cash flow

9 Improving Cash Flow - Inflows
Using financial institutions e.g. banks Overdraft – an arrangement with the bank allowing the business to withdraw money above the amount available Provides some financial peace of mind Backed by a cash flow forecast to show ability to repay Allows flexibility Incurs interest and possible arrangement fee Can be ordered to repay immediately Short-term loan – an arrangement with a bank to lend money for a set period of time Pre agreed repayment terms Incorporated into budget and cash flow Interest rate may be lower than an overdraft Interest is paid on the total value of the loan May need to be backed by collateral Read more at Business Link What might a business be able to use as collateral? Read more at Business Link How to improve cash flow

10 Improving Cash Flow - Inflows
Factoring Debt Factoring – the process of selling a business’ debts to a factor house at a reduced amount in order to receive immediate payment Immediate payment of debt Reduced risk of non payment (bad debt) Factor house takes a % as their profit May alter customer’s image of business Read more at Business Link How to improve cash flow

11 Improving Cash Flow - Inflows
How to improve cash flow Improving Cash Flow - Inflows Sale of Assets Sale of Assets – turning an obsolete asset into cash Potentially quick cash injection Asset must be no longer needed Loss of future use or value of asset Possible low value received One off action Sale and Leaseback – turning an asset into cash whilst still being able to use it through a lease agreement Quick cash inflow in the short term Reduced value of business’ assets Larger cash outflow in the long term What is meant by the term asset? What assets will a business have? Does your school have any assets it could sell?

12 Improving Cash Flow - Inflows
How to improve cash flow Improving Cash Flow - Inflows Cash payments from customers Reducing credit terms – credit terms refers to the amount of time a customer is given to pay for their goods and services. Some businesses offer customers a discount for immediate or quick payment Quick cash inflow Reduced risk of bad debt May need to offer a discount May lose customers Credit control – the process of chasing payments from debtors (people who have bought from you on credit) Brings cash into the business Full amount received May alienate customers Administratively demanding The Credit Control Guru

13 Improving Cash Flow - Outflows
Delaying payment to suppliers Negotiating longer payment terms May incur penalties Need to maintain positive relationship De-stocking Reducing money tied up in stock by lowering the amount of stock held Reduce overhead spending Cut unnecessary expenditure Should not have negative impact on productivity Consider any knock on effect on sales How to improve cash flow Read more at Business Link

14 Can you identify some of the terminology you have used this lesson?
Cash flow terminology TEDDABB LACE ALL ROT CONCERT LORD IT SEATS CABLE SAKE Can you identify some of the terminology you have used this lesson? Once you have identified all the terms write a clue to help others work out the terms. How to improve cash flow

15 Improving Cash Flow – what can the manager control?
Not all cash flow is within the control of managers. Go back over this unit. Look at all of the cash inflows and cash outflows. For each inflow or outflow consider how easy it is for the manager to control. Give a rating from 1 to 10 with 10 being easy to control and 1 difficult to control. Justify your ratings by stating why you believe this to be the case. How to improve cash flow

16 Activity – Dave’s Direct Deliveries
How to improve cash flow Activity – Dave’s Direct Deliveries Dave started his courier business 3D Ltd 5 years ago. It currently operates with a fleet of 8 trucks and 2 bikes. Over the past year however things have got tough: rising fuel prices, increased road tax and falling customer numbers have meant he has had to reduce his drivers from 8 to 5, all of whom are paid on a weekly basis. Dave already has a bank loan for £50000, the repayment on which has also gone up recently due to a rise in interest rates. Last month two of his regular customers cancelled their contracts, one of whom still owes him £6000. Both explained that they were moving to cheaper competitors who offered 45 day payment terms compared to Dave’s 30 days. Dave’s wife Doris helps out on a part time basis in the office where she answers the phone, sends invoices and keeps the financial records of payments and expenditure. Dave is worried, his bank balance is nearly zero and if things don’t improve in the next 3 months he is anxious he will have serious cash flow problems and not be able to meet his day to day running costs. Identify the possible steps Dave could take to help solve his cash flow problem. For each step identify an argument for and against taking that step. Recommend 3 proposals to Dave. You should prioritise and justify your proposed solutions.


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