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Authors: Derick Cullen and Bernard Williams Presenter: Michael Davies

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Presentation on theme: "Authors: Derick Cullen and Bernard Williams Presenter: Michael Davies"— Presentation transcript:

1 Managing the Implementation of SNA, BPM and Related International Standards in a NSO Context
Authors: Derick Cullen and Bernard Williams Presenter: Michael Davies Australian Bureau of Statistics

2 Aim of the paper To share ABS experience and lessons
ABS implementing the new standards very early

3 Changes SNA08 BPM6 Industrial classification: Institutional sector
ANZSIC related to ISIC rev 4 impacts on frames, samples and outputs Institutional sector

4 Big bang ABS implementing all changes at once:
+ minimises disruption for clients + reduces total cumulative effort: system, questionnaire changes balancing - makes it a very large task - can be difficult to disentangle individual impacts - not all standards / issues finalised in time - may not be as responsive to change

5 Managing the change Governance structure and project management
Communication with clients Methodological change Principles

6 Principles Departures from standards Timing
Coordination and consultation

7 Principles (continued)
Departures from standards: few in number & demonstrate a significant benefit or avoidance of an unwarranted cost carried through to all accounts/statistics enable a straightforward reconciliation with the standard where feasible be implemented after extensive consultation and publicity

8 Principles (continued)
Timing: implement at the same time as other changes implement at the same time across series Coordination and consultation: central coordination to ensure a consistent message sufficiently early equal opportunity to access information

9 Principle - enable a straightforward reconciliation with the standard where feasible
Rationale: ABS support for standards and international comparability only a couple of changes thought to be significant at the broadest levels thought would be relatively simple Reality: data generally not available detail of account compilation Rethink principle?

10 Reconciliation principle - related issue
As an early adopter of the standards should ABS reconcile to SNA93/BPM5? international comparability improved dilemma for ABS if both SNA93 and SNA08 versions of GDP: which is the official statistic for Australia? ABS will only publish one official GDP statistic (based on SNA08) ABS will not allow recompiled data on SNA93 basis to be called Australia's GDP parallel systems

11 Backcasting, bridging, parallel runs, seasonal adjustment
How to maintain time series? How to determine seasonal patterns? ABS revises historical series to make them as continuous as possible: measuring level shifts backcasting or bridging series standard methodology applied assuming current seasonal patterns apply

12 Implementation timing
Reference period - September quarter 2009 annual national accounts source data from annual business surveys required for indicator series, e.g.: July 2009 Retail trade August 2009 International trade in goods and services September quarter 2009 BoP & IIP

13 Thank you


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