Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Behavioral Statistics

Similar presentations


Presentation on theme: "Behavioral Statistics"— Presentation transcript:

1 Behavioral Statistics
Sampling Distributions Chapter 6

2 Learning Objectives 1. Describe the Properties of Estimators
2. Explain Sampling Distribution 3. Describe the Relationship between Populations & Sampling Distributions 4. State the Central Limit Theorem 5. Solve Probability Problems Involving Sampling Distributions As a result of this class, you should be able to ...

3 Inferential Statistics
9

4 Statistical Methods

5 Inferential Statistics
1. Involves: Estimation Hypothesis Testing 2. Purpose Make Decisions about Population Characteristics Population?

6 Inference Process

7 Inference Process Population

8 Inference Process Population Sample

9 Inference Process Population Sample statistic (X) Sample

10 Inference Process Estimates & tests Population Sample statistic (X)

11 Estimators 1. Random Variables Used to Estimate a Population Parameter
Sample Mean, Sample Proportion, Sample Median 2. Example: Sample MeanX Is an Estimator of Population Mean  IfX = 3 then 3 Is the Estimate of  3. Theoretical Basis Is Sampling Distribution

12 Sampling Distributions
9

13 Sampling Distribution
1. Theoretical Probability Distribution 2. Random Variable is Sample Statistic Sample Mean, Sample Proportion etc. 3. Results from Drawing All Possible Samples of a Fixed Size 4. List of All Possible [X, P(X) ] Pairs Sampling Distribution of Mean

14 Developing Sampling Distributions
Suppose There’s a Population ... Population Size, N = 4 Random Variable, x, Is # Errors in Work Values of x: 1, 2, 3, 4 Uniform Distribution © T/Maker Co.

15 Population Characteristics
Summary Measures Population Distribution Have students verify these numbers.

16 All Possible Samples of Size n = 2
Sample with replacement

17 All Possible Samples of Size n = 2
16 Sample Means Sample with replacement

18 Sampling Distribution of All Sample Means

19 Summary Measures of All Sample Means
Have students verify these numbers.

20 Sampling Distribution
Comparison Population Sampling Distribution

21 Standard Error of Mean 1. Standard Deviation of All Possible Sample Means,X Measures Scatter in All Sample Means,X 2. Less Than Pop. Standard Deviation

22 Standard Error of Mean 1. Standard Deviation of All Possible Sample Means,X Measures Scatter in All Sample Means,X 2. Less Than Pop. Standard Deviation 3. Formula (Sampling With Replacement)

23 Properties of Sampling Distribution of Mean
9

24 Properties of Sampling Distribution of Mean
1. Unbiasedness Mean of Sampling Distribution Equals Population Mean 2. Efficiency Sample Mean Comes Closer to Population Mean Than Any Other Unbiased Estimator 3. Consistency As Sample Size Increases, Variation of Sample Mean from Population Mean Decreases An estimator is a random variable used to estimate a population parameter (characteristic). Unbiasedness An estimator is unbiased if the mean of its sampling distribution is equal to the population parameter. Efficiency The efficiency of an unbiased estimator is measured by the variance of its sampling distribution. If two estimators, with the same sample size, are both unbiased, then the one with the smaller variance has greater relative efficiency. Consistency An estimator is a consistent estimator of a population parameter if the larger the sample size, the more likely it is that the estimate will come close to the parameter.

25 Unbiasedness Unbiased Biased

26 Sampling distribution of mean Sampling distribution of median
Efficiency Sampling distribution of mean Sampling distribution of median

27 Consistency Larger sample size Smaller sample size

28 Sampling from Normal Populations
9

29 Sampling from Normal Populations
Central Tendency Dispersion Sampling with replacement Population Distribution Sampling Distribution n = 4 X = 5 n =16 X = 2.5

30 Standardizing Sampling Distribution of Mean
Standardized Normal Distribution

31 Thinking Challenge You’re an operations analyst for AT&T. Long-distance telephone calls are normally distribution with  = 8 min. &  = 2 min. If you select random samples of 25 calls, what percentage of the sample means would be between 7.8 & 8.2 minutes? © T/Maker Co.

32 Sampling Distribution Solution*
Standardized Normal Distribution .3830 .1915 .1915

33 Sampling from Non-Normal Populations
9

34 Sampling from Non-Normal Populations
Central Tendency Dispersion Sampling with replacement Population Distribution Sampling Distribution n = 4 X = 5 n =30 X = 1.8

35 Central Limit Theorem 9

36 Central Limit Theorem

37 Central Limit Theorem As sample size gets large enough (n  30) ...

38 Central Limit Theorem As sample size gets large enough (n  30) ...
sampling distribution becomes almost normal.

39 Central Limit Theorem As sample size gets large enough (n  30) ...
sampling distribution becomes almost normal.

40 Conclusion 1. Described the Properties of Estimators
2. Explained Sampling Distribution 3. Described the Relationship between Populations & Sampling Distributions 4. Stated the Central Limit Theorem 5. Solved Probability Problems Involving Sampling Distributions

41 Any blank slides that follow are blank intentionally.
End of Chapter Any blank slides that follow are blank intentionally.


Download ppt "Behavioral Statistics"

Similar presentations


Ads by Google