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Ginnie Mae’s Era of Transformation

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1 Ginnie Mae’s Era of Transformation
Ted Tozer Consumer Federation of America December 5, 2014

2 U.S. Mortgage Market U.S. mortgage market is comprised of two segments: Primary market is made up of the borrower and lender Secondary market is made up of the lender, and investor The secondary market enables lenders to sell the loans they originate to a third party Transfer credit risk from their balance sheet, or Remove loans from their balance sheet by selling to investors Proceeds provide capital for new mortgage loans  

3 Scope of Mortgage Market & Government Involvement
Total U.S. outstanding mortgage debt is currently at almost $10 trillion Outstanding mortgage debt is roughly equivalent to 70% of total net loan value on banks’ balance sheets In 2014, only about 20% of mortgages were kept on banks’ balance sheets If all banks did was invest in mortgage loans, they would not be able to fund all mortgages in market, i.e., banks would not fund auto loans, credit card loans, etc. Government-backed securitization is necessary to maintain current volume available & preserve the 30-year fixed rate mortgage

4 Government Support of Mortgages goes back at least 30 years
Single-family Mortgage Market Share

5 TBA Market Important to Consumers
Created in 1970s to support Ginnie Mae financing Allows consumers to lock in interest rates (because lenders can lock in rate for loan origination) Gives buyers negotiating power by allowing them to lock in their loan terms when the mortgage application is taken TBA securities have U.S. government guarantee Allows for wide availability of 30-year and 20-year fixed rate mortgages Government guaranty qualifies mortgages for the TBA market & attracts capital from throughout the world to invest in U.S. mortgages Guaranty makes investment in U.S.-backed mortgages exceptionally safe & provides liquidity to them Guaranty homogenizes mortgages & lender/servicers so they are indistinguishable to investors Homogenization of mortgages & lender/servicers enables investment in enormous blocks of mortgages $176 billion in daily TBA MBS trading in 2014 TBA market would not exist without government guaranteed MBS

6 TBA Market Volume $505 To-Be-Announced (TBA) market was created in 1970s to support Ginnie Mae securitization & financing of government insured loans Virtually all government insured mortgages are sold into the TBA market – sold as part of MBS guaranteed by Ginnie Mae, Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac Without the TBA Market the 30-year mortgage could not exist. TBA enables an interest rate lock for consumers. Without TBA, consumers would not be able to shop for a credit rate until the day they closed; They would have no negotiating power. Facilitates forward trading of mortgages (delivery can take over three months, on average takes two months) Enables lenders to lock in rate for loan originations prior to actually originating loans Most liquid & important secondary mortgage market System provides broad & stable capital availability for potential homebuyers throughout the U.S. TBA securities have U.S. Government guaranty, which facilitates scale of market & fungibility of securities $176 $20 $4

7 Ginnie Mae’s securitization platform is evolving
Ginnie Mae’s increased relevance is evidenced in its steady growth and its growing share of the secondary mortgage market. Ginnie’s average issuance in last five years is $382 billion; 2014 YTD August volume now has Ginnie Mae as 32% of total new MBS issue market. $1.5 Trillion Current Outstanding Ginnie Mae Securities $25 Billion Average MBS Issued Per Month in FY2014 9.1 Million Loans Currently Processed $22 Billion P & I Paid to Investors Monthly Our outstanding MBS is probably around $1.6 billion at this point. Our growth is unlimited… Average issuance is about $382 billion a year in last five years. We return an average of about $700 billion to the US Treasury, each year We have 344 approved issuers – allowing us to spread risk and access to capital markets. 344 Active Issuers 4 Guarantors

8 Ginnie Mae Model Distributes Risk
Fannie/Freddie Loan with High LTV First Dollar Loss Last Dollar Loss LOSSES Government Agency Credit Enhancement* Corporate Resources of Issuer/ Servicer Ginnie Mae Relative Loss Position $ Last Dollar Loss Fannie/ Freddie LOSSES Private Credit Enhancement $ Private Mortgage Insurance Ginnie Mae provides guaranty solely on MBS Mortgages insured by US Government (FHA, VA, RHDS) Covers catastrophic risk of Issuer/Servicer not making P&I payment to MBS investor Ensures liquidity Provides incentive for Lender/Issuer/Servicer to make & securitize sound loans Issuer/Servicer obligated to make monthly P&I payment regardless of whether borrower made his/her payment Explicit government guarantee on MBS P&I payment GSE provide guaranty on mortgage & MBS GSE buy mortgages from private lenders and issue MBS themselves Ensure liquidity Implicit government guarantee on MBS P&I payment Platform is able to handle volume – next slide shows that we are already overtaking Freddie in monthly issuance Homeowner Equity Homeowner Equity First Dollar Loss Relative Loss Position *VA covers the first 25% of the credit loss per loan, USDA RHS covers the first 90%, and FHA covers 100%; coverage of foreclosure expenses varies by agency - expenses not covered can be substantial

9 Ginnie Mae MBS Outstanding Relative to GSEs
MBS outstanding in billions September 2014: $1,526B Sources: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Monthly Reports; Ginnie Mae data includes HECMs

10 Composition of Ginnie Mae MBS Issuance Volume
*Ginnie Mae Issuers are responsible for servicing the securities & the loans backing them; in the case an original Issuer sells servicing to another entity, the new entity takes on all obligations of the original Issuer ** FY2014 year-to-date (YTD) includes October 2013 through July 2014 issuance

11 Top 10 Issuer Comparison by Issuance, 2011 & 2014
Top 10 Issuers by MBS Issuance in Sept. 2011 Issuer Rank Issuer Name Issuance Volume % of Month’s Total Issuance 1 WELLS FARGO BANK, NA* $9,581,191,630 38.0% 2 BANK OF AMERICA, NA* $3,916,997,131 15.6% 3 JP MORGAN CHASE BANK, NA* $2,316,465,826 9.2% 4 PHH MORTGAGE CORPORATION $917,299,334 3.6% 5 U. S. BANK, NA* $873,997,967 3.5% 6 FLAGSTAR BANK, FSB* $815,042,447 3.2% 7 GMAC MORTGAGE, LLC $792,359,433 3.1% 8 QUICKEN LOANS, INC $615,331,645 2.4% 9 MORTGAGE INVESTORS CORPORATION $487,994,501 1.9% 10 METLIFE BANK, N.A. $430,077,779 1.7% Total Top 10 Issuers $20,746,757,692 82.4% Total Ginnie Mae Single-family Issuance: $25,188,529,663 Top 10 Issuers by MBS Issuance in June 2014 Issuer Rank Issuer Name Issuance Volume % of Month’s Total Issuance 1 WELLS FARGO BANK, NA* $5,942,565,380 24.3% 2 PENNYMAC LOAN SERVICES, LLC $1,337,393,959 5.5% 3 FREEDOM MORTGAGE CORPORATION $1,102,401,513 4.5% 4 QUICKEN LOANS, INC $1,043,790,372 4.3% 5 JP MORGAN CHASE BANK, NA* $846,509,397 3.5% 6 U. S. BANK, NA* $793,512,230 3.2% 7 PINGORA LOAN SERVICING, LLC $679,571,946 2.8% 8 FLAGSTAR BANK, FSB* $574,846,337 2.4% 9 USAA FEDERAL SAVINGS BANK* $541,092,729 2.2% 10 BANK OF AMERICA, NA* $505,332,852 2.1% Total Top 10 Issuers $13,367,016,714 54.7% Total Ginnie Mae Single-family Issuance: $24,444,302,581 *Depositories BLUE = Issuers that have fallen out of the top 10 since 2011 RED = Issuers that have risen in to the top 10 since 2011

12 Summary: The Future is Now
Ginnie Mae model works because: Spreads risk across many issuers, rather than just two Single security model and platform facilitates competition and equal access to capital markets via a single security and platform. Ensures a competitive primary market Consumers should be concerned about competitive primary market If only one or two issuers exist, guaranty fees will not be competitive Ensure that Independent Mortgage Bankers remain viable. Market changes – Rise of NDI’s; withdrawal of banks have ramifications: Decreased credit More of an FDIC-like role for Ginnie Mae


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