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Chapter 11 Hypothesis Testing II

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1 Chapter 11 Hypothesis Testing II
Statistics for Business and Economics 6th Edition Chapter 11 Hypothesis Testing II Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.

2 Chapter Goals After completing this chapter, you should be able to:
Test hypotheses for the difference between two population means Two means, matched pairs Independent populations, population variances known Independent populations, population variances unknown but equal Complete a hypothesis test for the difference between two proportions (large samples) Use the chi-square distribution for tests of the variance of a normal distribution Use the F table to find critical F values Complete an F test for the equality of two variances Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.

3 Two Sample Tests Two Sample Tests Population Proportions
Population Variances Proportion 1 vs. Proportion 2 Variance 1 vs. Variance 2 (Note similarities to Chapter 9) Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.

4 Test Statistic for Two Population Proportions
The test statistic for H0: Px – Py = 0 is a z value: Population proportions Where Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.

5 Decision Rules: Proportions
Population proportions Lower-tail test: H0: px – py  0 H1: px – py < 0 Upper-tail test: H0: px – py ≤ 0 H1: px – py > 0 Two-tail test: H0: px – py = 0 H1: px – py ≠ 0 a a a/2 a/2 -za za -za/2 za/2 Reject H0 if z < -za Reject H0 if z > za Reject H0 if z < -za/2 or z > za/2 Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.

6 Example: Two Population Proportions
Is there a significant difference between the proportion of men and the proportion of women who will vote Yes on Proposition A? In a random sample, 36 of 72 men and 31 of 50 women indicated they would vote Yes Test at the .05 level of significance Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.

7 Example: Two Population Proportions
(continued) The hypothesis test is: H0: PM – PW = 0 (the two proportions are equal) H1: PM – PW ≠ 0 (there is a significant difference between proportions) The sample proportions are: Men: = 36/72 = .50 Women: = 31/50 = .62 The estimate for the common overall proportion is: Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.

8 Example: Two Population Proportions
(continued) Reject H0 Reject H0 The test statistic for PM – PW = 0 is: .025 .025 -1.96 1.96 -1.31 Decision: Do not reject H0 Conclusion: There is not significant evidence of a difference between men and women in proportions who will vote yes. Critical Values = ±1.96 For  = .05 Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.

9 Hypothesis Tests of one Population Variance
Goal: Test hypotheses about the population variance, σ2 If the population is normally distributed, follows a chi-square distribution with (n – 1) degrees of freedom Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.

10 Confidence Intervals for the Population Variance
(continued) The test statistic for hypothesis tests about one population variance is Population Variance Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.

11 Decision Rules: Variance
Population variance Lower-tail test: H0: σ2  σ02 H1: σ2 < σ02 Upper-tail test: H0: σ2 ≤ σ02 H1: σ2 > σ02 Two-tail test: H0: σ2 = σ02 H1: σ2 ≠ σ02 a a a/2 a/2 Reject H0 if Reject H0 if Reject H0 if or Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.

12 Hypothesis Tests for Two Variances
Population Variances Goal: Test hypotheses about two population variances H0: σx2  σy2 H1: σx2 < σy2 Lower-tail test F test statistic H0: σx2 ≤ σy2 H1: σx2 > σy2 Upper-tail test H0: σx2 = σy2 H1: σx2 ≠ σy2 Two-tail test The two populations are assumed to be independent and normally distributed Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.

13 Hypothesis Tests for Two Variances
(continued) The random variable Tests for Two Population Variances F test statistic Has an F distribution with (nx – 1) numerator degrees of freedom and (ny – 1) denominator degrees of freedom Denote an F value with 1 numerator and 2 denominator degrees of freedom by Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.

14 Test Statistic Tests for Two
Population Variances The critical value for a hypothesis test about two population variances is F test statistic where F has (nx – 1) numerator degrees of freedom and (ny – 1) denominator degrees of freedom Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.

15 Decision Rules: Two Variances
Use sx2 to denote the larger variance. H0: σx2 = σy2 H1: σx2 ≠ σy2 H0: σx2 ≤ σy2 H1: σx2 > σy2 /2 F F Do not reject H0 Reject H0 Do not reject H0 Reject H0 rejection region for a two-tail test is: where sx2 is the larger of the two sample variances Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.

16 Example: F Test You are a financial analyst for a brokerage firm. You want to compare dividend yields between stocks listed on the NYSE & NASDAQ. You collect the following data: NYSE NASDAQ Number Mean Std dev Is there a difference in the variances between the NYSE & NASDAQ at the  = 0.10 level? Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.

17 F Test: Example Solution
Form the hypothesis test: H0: σx2 = σy2 (there is no difference between variances) H1: σx2 ≠ σy2 (there is a difference between variances) Find the F critical values for  = .10/2: Degrees of Freedom: Numerator (NYSE has the larger standard deviation): nx – 1 = 21 – 1 = 20 d.f. Denominator: ny – 1 = 25 – 1 = 24 d.f. Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.

18 F Test: Example Solution
(continued) The test statistic is: H0: σx2 = σy2 H1: σx2 ≠ σy2 /2 = .05 F Do not reject H0 Reject H0 F = is not in the rejection region, so we do not reject H0 Conclusion: There is not sufficient evidence of a difference in variances at  = .10 Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.

19 Two-Sample Tests in EXCEL
For variances… F test for two variances: Tools | data analysis | F-test: two sample for variances Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.

20 Two-Sample Tests in PHStat
Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.

21 Sample PHStat Output Input Output
Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.

22 Sample PHStat Output Input Output (continued)
Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.

23 Chapter Summary Compared two population proportions
Performed z-test for two population proportions Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.

24 Chapter Summary (continued) Used the chi-square test for a single population variance Performed F tests for the difference between two population variances Used the F table to find F critical values Statistics for Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc.


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