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Age at ocean entry of Snake River Basin fall Chinook and its significance to adult returns prior to summer spill at LGR, LGS, and LMN dams.

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Presentation on theme: "Age at ocean entry of Snake River Basin fall Chinook and its significance to adult returns prior to summer spill at LGR, LGS, and LMN dams."— Presentation transcript:

1 Age at ocean entry of Snake River Basin fall Chinook and its significance to adult returns prior to summer spill at LGR, LGS, and LMN dams

2 Briefing Goals Describe age at ocean-entry for the Snake River Basin population of full-term wild adults (i.e., II salts) Describe age-at-ocean entry for transported subyearlings Describe age-at-ocean entry for inriver migrants Summarize the limited information on SARs

3 Key Points Both subyearling and yearling ocean entrants made substantial contributions to the return of full-term wild Snake River Basin adults Subyearling and yearling ocean entry has been evident in full-term adults from summer and fall transport groups as well as inriver migrating groups The tendency to become a yearling ocean entrant and SARs increased as the migration season progressed

4 Method A: Trapped random samples of adults at Lower Granite Dam and used scale pattern analyses to identify origin, age at ocean entry, and ocean age

5 Finding 1: Age at ocean-entry for random samples of
wild Snake River Basin full-term adults 1998 Return Year 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Percentage of annual sample 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 (2) (101) (55) (6) (65) (92) (305) Subyearling inter-annual mean 59% Yearling inter-annual mean 41% 2005 2006 (126) (444) BILLY We sampled enough wild full-term run-at-large adults for analysis during five years. During these five years, both subyearling and yearling ocean entrants were important to the return of full-term adults. Oveall, 54% of the full-term adults we collected had entered the ocean as subyearlings and 46% of the full-term adults had entered the ocean as yearlings. Migration pathway (i.e., summer transport, fall transport, or inriver) could not be determined for all of these fish.

6 Method B: Same as method A, but we targeted adults that were PIT-tagged as juveniles

7 Method B (Continued): Use juvenile PIT-tag histories to determine migration pathway and location of first year wintering Summer and fall transport Subyearling entrants winter in the ocean Yearling ocean entrants winter below Bonneville Dam Inriver migration Subyearling entrants winter in the ocean Yearling ocean entrants winter above or below Bonneville Dam

8 Percentage of inter-annual samples
Finding 2: Age at ocean entry for summer and fall transport groups (N = 32 adults collected in 2005; pooled migration years) Subyearling Yearling n = 15 n = 17 100 80 33% 47% Percentage of inter-annual samples 60 BILLY In 2005, we were able to sample adults that had been PIT-tagged as part of the transportation studies. The sample size was relatively small and incomplete with respect to age-class distribution. The data, however, shows that some transported subyearlings winter in freshwater (likely the estuary) and enter saltwater as yearlings. This viloated the assumption of our 2005 paper. However, a large portion of the full-term adults sampled had been inriver migrants and entered saltwater as yearlings. These data are incomplete, but they point to a relatively large contribution of inriver migrants to the return of full-term adults. 40 20 Summer Fall Transport season

9 Finding 3: Age-at-ocean entry for inriver migrants (e.g., wild)
Mostly subyearling Snake Clearwater Radio tags 120 Mostly yearling 100 PIT-tag detection All yearling (reservoir types) system typically 80 dewatered Estimated number passed 60 Never detected group (reservoir types) Dewatering 40 20 05/01/2006 08/01/2006 11/01/2006 02/01/2007 06/16/2006 09/16/2006 12/17/2006 03/19/2007 Passage date at Lower Granite Dam

10 Smolt-to-adult return (%)
Finding 4-1: Smolt-to-adult return rates for surrogate subyearlings released into the Snake River in 2002 02 02 mortality unknown 5 55 /1,190 4 80 /2,500 3 Smolt-to-adult return (%) 2 1 98 /16,284 21 /3,990 72 /????? Summer 02 transport Fall 02 transport Jun-Oct 02 bypassed Spring 03 (reservoir type) Never detected

11 Last PIT-tag detection
Finding 4-2: Seasonal trend in SARs for bypassed surrogate subyearlings released into the Snake River in 2002 5 60 Juveniles SAR 4 50 40 3 Percent of migrants SAR (%) 30 2 20 1 10 Jun 02 Jul 02 Aug 02 Sep 02 Oct 02 Spring 03 (reservoir type) Last PIT-tag detection

12 Subyearling inriver 100-125 mm FL Summer transport 75-100 mm FL
Finding 4-3: Size after passing Bonneville Dam and at ocean entry likely affects SARs Subyearling inriver mm FL Summer transport mm FL Fall transport mm FL Yearling inriver mm FL

13 Conclusions Both subyearling and yearling ocean entrants made substantial contributions to the return of full-term wild adults regardless of of how they reached the sea because: The relatively large number of early migrants destined to become subyearling ocean entrants likely compensated for the relatively low SARs for early migrants The relatively high SARs for late migrants destined to become yearling ocean entrants compensated for the relative small number of fish that likely survive to become yearling ocean entrants

14 Research Needs Summer spill (2005 to 2007)
Surrogate subyearlings were provided for research in 2005 and 2006, but not in 2007 Support for research in 2008 is needed to evaluate spill and its influence on SARs of early inriver migrants destined to become subyearling ocean entrants


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