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The case for active management in a fee conscious market

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Presentation on theme: "The case for active management in a fee conscious market"— Presentation transcript:

1 The case for active management in a fee conscious market
Ray King IOOF Portfolio Manager, Alternatives

2 Disclaimer This document is for financial adviser use only - it is not to be distributed to clients. Issued by IOOF Investment Management Limited (IIML), ABN , AFSL Client services team Website ( IIML is a company within the IOOF Group of companies, consisting of IOOF Holdings Limited ABN and its related bodies corporate. To the extent permitted by law, no liability is accepted for any loss or damage as a result of any reliance on this information. Neither IIML nor any company in the IOOF group guarantees the performance of any trust or the return of an investor’s capital. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.

3 Agenda 1. Low fees products dominating – why? 2. What do clients want?
3. Low return environment - implications 4. How has the industry responded? 5. Case study

4 Agenda 1. Low fees products dominating – why? 2. What do clients want?
3. Low return environment - implications 4. How has the industry responded? 5. Case study

5 Growth has been in passive
Global trends behind the growth: the increase in passive management US fund flows since the GFC Active Passive -US$340 billion + US$505billion Source: Morningstar, FactSet to 2016 Passive has been picking up higher amount of total equity inflows Source: BoFA Merrill Lynch Global Investment Strategy, EPFR Global based on EPFR Global’s monthly dataset (comprehensive coverage)

6 Costs of a diversified portfolio
Low Fee = Index Based Investment Strategy ICR Median ~47 bps* Standard Fee = Active Investment Strategy ICR Median ~95 bps** High Fee = Absolute Return / Alts ICR Median ~158 bps*** * Median ICR Lonsec 61-80% Growth Low Cost Multi-Sector ** Median ICR Lonsec 61-80% Growth Multi-Sector *** Median ICR Lonsec Growth Alternatives (High) Sector Source: Lonsec, May 2017

7 Growth has been in passive
Percentage of flows into passive equity Passive has been picking up higher amount of total equity inflows Source: Morningstar Direct Asset Flows

8 Why has passive seen growth?
Increased Fee Awareness Industry Funds Simplicity Low Return environment My Super pressure Returns to active?

9 Agenda 1. Low fees products dominating – why? 2. What do clients want?
3. Low return environment - implications 4. How has the industry responded? 5. Case study

10 How do clients define a successful plan
Survey of clients using financial advisors Low fees not an objective, potentially a means to an end Source: IOOF

11 But watch your back pocket

12 Recent history – low / full cost net returns a wash
Source: Lonsec

13 Agenda 1. Low fees products dominating – why? 2. What do clients want?
3. Low return environment - implications 4. How has the industry responded? 5. Case study

14 Low return environment
Consultant ten year assumptions Asset class returns ten years ending May 2017 Asset class returns twenty years ending May 2017 Jun 2015 Dec 2016 Australian Equity 8.7 7.5 3.4 8.4 International Equity Unhedged 8.1 7.7 5.0 5.8 International Equity Hedged 6.6 6.7 4.3 5.7 Property 6.9 7.1 -0.1 7.6 Diversified Fixed Interest 3.6 3.1 Cash 3.2 3.9 4.7 Implied 70/30 portfolio return 6.5 6.1 70/30 portfolio comprises 30% Aus Equity, 15% Intl Equity Unhedged, 15% Intl Equity Hedged, 10% Property, 20% Diversified Fixed Interest, 10% Cash Source: IOOF, Russell Investments, Bloomberg

15 Low return environment
Source: Bloomberg

16 Low return environment
Source: Bloomberg

17 Low return environment
Source: Mercer

18 What’s important In a low return environment to achieve goals or
Excess return becomes more important Cost becomes more important

19 Active manager excess return above index
Some definitions Traditional active: . Active manager excess return above index + Stock specific return Factor returns True alpha Value Growth Size Quality Yield Momentum Industry Volatility Uncorrelated returns willing to pay Commoditised Not willing to pay + many more

20 Active excess return seems to exist pre fees
Median Australian equity manager Rolling 5 year excess returns before fees Median international equity manager Median diversified fixed interest manager Source: MercerInsight

21 Agenda 1. Low fees products dominating – why? 2. What do clients want?
3. Low return environment - implications 4. How has the industry responded? 5. Case study

22 Regulators call for change!
Source: Financial News

23 Return being broken down into component parts
Pre 90’s 90’s and 80’s Today Higher costs Lower costs Higher costs Lower costs Alpha Manager Excess Returns (Alpha) Smart Beta (Factor Capture) Manager Returns High costs Market Returns (Beta) Beta Source: State Street

24 What are factor strategies
Active managers have relied on factors for years: Growth Value Small Cap Size Quality Yield Manage Factor Implementation ACTIVE Managers Manage Factor Exposure

25 How have fund managers responded?
Passive fund managers Active fund managers Smart beta or factor products Traditional passive Higher “alpha” products Lower existing fees Smart Beta or Factor Products Absolute return Lower fees Higher fees

26 Blending the three schools of management
Active Factor Passive Core / Satellite Efficient Alpha Enhanced Passive Blending three approaches – best use of fee budget: Use passive: Asset sectors where alpha scarce Beta of sector a diversifier / attractive Use factors: Systematic factors identifiable Cost effective vehicle available Combine factors to reduce volatility Use active: Asset sectors high stock specific alpha Fundamental active managers at low fee = IOOF MultiSeries

27 How factor captured is critical
How a factor is captured makes a big difference: Definition: What measure used to capture factor systematically eg Value = P/E, P/BV, P/CF ….. Combination: Enhancing risk return by “filtering” factors eg Momentum = invest in only quality momentum stocks Implementation: Can factor return be captured systematically eg Impact transaction costs on high turnover strategies eg Size factor – small caps have high stock specific risk Growth in factor investing = pushing decisions back to advisors

28 How factor captured is critical
Value Implementation Method (Australian Equity) 5 year return pre fees (%pa) Fundamental Value Manager 1 13.7 Fundamental Value Manager 2 13.0 Fundamental Value Manager 3 14.7 Fundamental Value Manager 4 12.5 Fundamental Value Manager 5 14.3 A factor can have many flavours Systematic Value Manager 11.2 Value ETF 12.1 Return variation can be high S&P Australia BMI Value 13.4 S&P Australia SmallCap Value 8.4 S&P Australia LargeMidCap Value 14.2 S&P/ASX 300 Index 11.7

29 Agenda 1. Low fees products dominating – why? 2. What do clients want?
3. Low return environment - implications 4. How has the industry responded? 5. Case study

30 Blending the three schools of management
Active Factor Passive Core / Satellite Efficient Alpha Enhanced Passive Blending three approaches – best use of fee budget: Use Passive: Asset sectors where alpha scarce Beta of sector a diversifier / attractive Use Factors: Systematic factors identifiable Cost effective vehicle available Combine factors to reduce volatility Use Active: Asset sectors high stock specific alpha Fundamental active managers at low fee

31 IOOF MultiSeries Combining passive, factor & active
 Asset class Investment managers Factor / Strategy Strategy allocation Australian Equities State Street Global Advisors IOOF QuantPlus Henderson Global Investors (Australia) Platypus Asset Management UBS Global Asset Management (Australia) Acadian Asset Management (Australia) Invesco Australia Diversified Multi Factor Value Mid Cap Fundamental Momentum (Quality) Contrarian Value fundamental active Small (Managed Volatility) Quantitative long/short 20% 18% 12% 21% 15% 11% 3% International Equities Challenger Goldman Sachs International TT International Neuberger Berman Australia TT Emerging Index Developed Markets Index Plus Multi Factor Low Volatility (Managed Vol) Global equity fundamental active Emerging Market fundamental active 28% 10% 5% Passive Factor Active Passive Factor Active

32 IOOF MultiSeries Combining passive, factor & active
 Asset class Investment managers Factor / Strategy Strategy allocation Property Macquarie Investment Management IOOF Investment Management Index Australian Listed property Index Global Listed Property Australian Direct Property active 20% 30% 50% Alternatives Invesco Australia Metrics Credit Partners Index Global Listed Infrastructure Multi Strategy Active Australian Private Debt Active 40% Diversified fixed interest Brandywine Global Investment Management Western Asset Management Company Metrics Credit Partners Pty Henderson Global Investors (Australia) Global Fixed Interest Unconstrained Active Global Fixed Interest Active Australian Fixed Interest Active Australian senior Loan Active Australian Short term credit active 25% 5% Passive Factor Active Passive Factor Active

33 Is low-cost killing active management?
No: Targeted use of active in cost controlled portfolio True active management = stock specific return Active managers are evolving Higher active share products Factor products Active managers adjusting fees

34 Multi-manager – value for you and your clients
Value add for the investor: Professionally managed by experienced team. Diversification. Effective use of asset consultant. Investment specialist team. Consistent investment outcomes. Implemented solution: value of advice. Automatic rebalancing of portfolios. Removes the burden of paperwork. Access to tools and support. Value add for the adviser: Provides a professionally managed investment solution. Available for all risk profiles. Access to performance data, fund profiles and other supporting collateral via IOOF Investment Central. Auto rebalancing. Manager changes implemented for you – no ROA. Saves you and your business time/efficient solution. Reduced risk “sleep and night”.

35 Transparency through Investment Central
Your online hub

36 IOOF MultiSeries More investment styles More managers
A true low-cost multi-manager solution IOOF MultiSeries Compared to the index/passive low-cost funds, IOOF offers you so much more… More investment styles More managers More risk management More performance

37 Ray King IOOF Portfolio Manager, Alternatives
The case for active management in a fee conscious market


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