1. 1University of Pavia, Dipartimento di Ricerche Aziendali, Pavia, Italy
AGRICULTURAL AND ECONOMIC CONVERGENCE IN THE EU INTEGRATION PROCESS: DO GEOGRAPHICAL RELATIONSHIPS MATTER?
Sassi M.1 - Pecci F.2
1University of Pavia, Dipartimento di Ricerche Aziendali, Pavia, Italy
2University of Verona, Dipartimento di Economie, società ed Istituzioni, Verona Italy

2. Agricultural real convergence process Enlargement form EU-15 to UE-27
OBJECTIVE
1. Objective
2. Relevance of the topic
Agricultural real convergence process
Enlargement form EU-15 to UE-27
3. Methodology
4. Time period and data set
5. Results
Economic real convergence process
6. Conclusions
GWR
approach

3. Political and financial importance
RELEVANCE OF THE TOPIC
1. Objective
2. Relevance of the topic
Political and financial importance
3. Methodology
4. Time period and data set
Integration and income gap reduction
Convergence process
Territorial dimension
5. Results
6. Conclusions
Rural development and cohesion

4. Standard OLS growth regression GWR approach
METHODOLOGY (1/2)
1. Objective
2. Relevance of the topic
VS.
Standard OLS growth regression
GWR approach
3. Methodology
4. Time period and data set
Bias regression coefficient
5. Results
Locally different parameters
6. Conclusions
Invalid significant tests
Spatial spillovers

5. METHODOLOGY (2/2) OLS GWR Global parameter of convergence
1. Objective
2. Relevance of the topic
Global parameter of convergence
Unknown parameters more than degrees of freedom
OLS
3. Methodology
4. Time period and data set
Weighted regression
Local parameters of convergence
5. Results
GWR
Weight values inverse function of the distance
6. Conclusions
Adaptive bandwidth bi-square function

6. TIME PERIOD AND DATA SET
1. Objective
2. Relevance of the topic
3. Methodology
Agricultural gross value added
N. of agricultural workers
4. Time period and data set
5. Results
Total gross value added
N. of total workers
6. Conclusions
Cambridge Econometrics’ annual time series

7. RESULTS: AGRICULTUAL SECTOR
1. Objective
2. Relevance of the topic
EU-15
EU-27
3. Methodology
4. Time period and data set
5. Results
6. Conclusions
Global coefficient of convergence –0.034
Global coefficient of convergence –0.016

8. RESULTS: AGRICULTURE AND ECONOMY
1. Objective
2. Relevance of the topic
EU-27: AGRICULTURE
EU-27: ECONOMY
3. Methodology
4. Time period and data set
5. Results
6. Conclusions
Global coefficient of convergence –0.016
Global coefficient of convergence –0.015
Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient =

9. No unique convergence rate
CONCLUSIONS (1/3)
1. Objective
2. Relevance of the topic
Agricultural sector
3. Methodology
No correlation
between the speed
of convergence at the
regional level
4. Time period and data set
No unique convergence rate
Factors at the basis of the asymmetric nature of the regionl problems of the EU
5. Results
6. Conclusions
Economy

10. Intensity of convergence process
CONCLUSIONS (2/3)
1. Objective
2. Relevance of the topic
Intensity of convergence process
3. Methodology
4. Time period and data set
Policy options at the territorial level: Rural development, Structural and Regional policy
Geographical proximity
5. Results
6. Conclusions
Direction of convergence process

11. Integration has not supported convergence
CONCLUSIONS (3/3)
1. Objective
2. Relevance of the topic
Neoclassical theory?
3. Methodology
4. Time period and data set
Integration has not supported convergence
5. Results
A better understanding of the factors of growth
6. Conclusions