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1 CHAPTER 8 Index Models Investments Cover image Slides by
Richard D. Johnson McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved

2 Advantages of the Single Index Model
Reduces the number of inputs for diversification. Easier for security analysts to specialize.

3 Single Factor Model ri = E(Ri) + ßiF + e ßi = index of a securities’ particular return to the factor F= some macro factor; in this case F is unanticipated movement; F is commonly related to security returns Assumption: a broad market index like the S&P500 is the common factor.

4 a (ri - rf) = i + ßi(rm - rf) + ei Single Index Model Risk Prem
Market Risk Prem or Index Risk Prem a = the stock’s expected return if the market’s excess return is zero i (rm - rf) = 0 ßi(rm - rf) = the component of return due to movements in the market index ei = firm specific component, not due to market movements

5 Let: Ri = (ri - rf) Risk premium format Rm = (rm - rf)
Ri = i + ßi(Rm) + ei

6 Components of Risk Market or systematic risk: risk related to the macro economic factor or market index. Unsystematic or firm specific risk: risk not related to the macro factor or market index. Total risk = Systematic + Unsystematic

7 Measuring Components of Risk
i2 = i2 m2 + 2(ei) where; i2 = total variance i2 m2 = systematic variance 2(ei) = unsystematic variance

8 Examining Percentage of Variance
Total Risk = Systematic Risk + Unsystematic Risk Systematic Risk/Total Risk = 2 ßi2  m2 / 2 = 2 i2 m2 / i2 m2 + 2(ei) = 2

9 Index Model and Diversification

10 Figure 8.1 The Variance of a Portfolio with Risk Coefficient Beta in the Single-Factor Economy

11 Figure 8.2 Excess Returns on HP and S&P 500 April 2001 – March 2006

12 Figure 8.3 Scatter Diagram of HP, S&P 500, and Security Characteristic Line (SCL) for HP

13 Table 8.1 Regression Statistics for the SCL of Hewlett-Packard

14 Figure 8.4 Excess Returns on Portfolio Assets

15 Using the Single-Index Model with Active Management
The single-index model can be extended to optimize the portfolio with active management The portfolio consists of an active portfolio and a passive or index portfolio The weight of the active portfolio is determined by the information ratio

16 Sharpe Ratio for the Combined Portfolio

17 Figure 8.5 Efficient Frontiers with the Index Model and Full-Covariance Matrix

18 Table 8.2 Comparison of Portfolios from the Single-Index and Full-Covariance Models

19 Table 8. 3 Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Inc
Table 8.3 Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Inc.: Market Sensitivity Statistics

20 Table 8.4 Industry Betas and Adjustment Factors


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