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ACC 2004: SCD-HeFT, PROVE-IT, and SYNERGY under debate
Eric J Topol MD Provost and Chief Academic Officer Chairman, Department of Cardiovascular Medicine Cleveland Clinic Foundation Cleveland, OH Robert M Califf MD Professor of Medicine Associate Vice Chancellor for Clinical Research Director, Duke Clinical Research Institute Duke University Medical Center Durham, NC
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Topics SCD-HEFT Sudden Cardiac Death in Heart Failure Trial
PROVE-IT Pravastatin or Atorvastatin Evaluation and Infection Therapy SYNERGY Superior Yield of the New Strategy of Enoxaparin, Revascularization, and Glycoprotein IIb/IIIa Inhibitors
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Sudden Cardiac Death in Heart Failure Trial
SCD-HeFT
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SCD-HeFT Background Dr Gust Bardy (Seattle Institute for Cardiac Research, WA) and colleagues: Do defibrillators save lives? Would they be useful in the more general population of patients with heart failure?
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Design 2521 patients with NYHA class 2-3 HF and LVEF <35%
SCD-HeFT Design 2521 patients with NYHA class 2-3 HF and LVEF <35% 148 centers in North America and New Zealand Largest internal-cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) trial ever conducted ICD vs placebo Median follow-up of 45 months
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Funding Public and privately sponsored:
SCD-HeFT Funding Public and privately sponsored: Medtronic Inc (Minneapolis, MN) Wyeth Pharmaceuticals (Madison, NJ) The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (Bethesda, MD)
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SCD-HeFT ICD patients
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All-cause mortality All-cause mortality ICD Amiodarone Placebo
SCD-HeFT All-cause mortality All-cause mortality ICD Amiodarone Placebo 3 years (%) 17.1 24.0 22.3 5 years (%) 28.9 34.1 35.8
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Relative risk for all-cause mortality
SCD-HeFT Relative risk for all-cause mortality Population Number (ICD+control) HR* 97.5% CI All patients 1676 0.77** NYHA class 2 1160 0.54 NYHA class 3 516 1.16 Ischemic HF 884 0.79 Nonischemic HF 794 0.73 *HR=hazard ratio **p=0.007
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Relative risk for all-cause mortality
SCD-HeFT Relative risk for all-cause mortality Population Number (ICD+control) HR 97.5% CI LVEF <30% 1390 0.73 LVEF >30% 285 1.08 QRS <120 ms 977 0.84 QRS >120 ms 699 0.67 On beta blockers 1157 0.68 Not on beta blockers 519 0.92
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Standard medical therapy
SCD-HeFT Standard medical therapy Medication Baseline rate (%) Rate at last follow-up (%) ACE inhibitors 85 72 ACE inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers 96 87 Beta blockers 69 78 Statins 38 47
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SCD-HeFT Impressive trial "One of the most impressive trials in sudden cardiac deaths and defibrillators." "What I thought about this trial, which was so extraordinary, is that it really widened the field of benefit in the population—extending it to the nonischemics." Topol
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SCD-HeFT Difficult question "The less symptomatic patients getting the greatest benefit really raises a difficult question of whether we should go out there searching for people with asymptomatic LV dysfunction and put defibrillators in them." Califf
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SCD-HeFT Call for more ICDs "As I look at it, we have several million people out there who should have defibrillators put in tomorrow." —Califf "This is the ultimate collision of evidence- based medicine and the resources to support that." —Topol
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Thumbs "The only hole, I thought, was the acronym."
SCD-HeFT Thumbs "The only hole, I thought, was the acronym." "I’m really impressed with this trial, if I had three thumbs, I’d give it that This is first-rate work." Topol
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Pravastatin or Atorvastatin Evaluation and Infection Therapy
PROVE-IT
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PROVE-IT Design Intensive and moderate lipid lowering with statin therapy after acute coronary syndrome (ACS) (N Engl J Med 2004; 350: published March 8, 2004) 4162 patients with ACS (<10 days) Pravastatin (40 mg daily) vs atorvastatin (80 mg daily) Primary end point: a composite of all-cause mortality, MI, unstable angina requiring hospitalization, revascularization, and stroke Two-year follow-up
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Results 16% reduction in risk favoring atorvastatin PROVE-IT End point
Pravastatin 40 mg (n=1973) (%) Atorvastatin 80 mg (n=2003) p Primary composite end point 26.3 22.4 0.005 16% reduction in risk favoring atorvastatin N Engl J Med 2004; 350
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Results 28% reduction in risk favoring atorvastatin PROVE-IT End point
Pravastatin 40 mg (n=1973) (%) Atorvastatin 80 mg (n=2003) p Death from any cause 3.2 2.2 0.07 28% reduction in risk favoring atorvastatin N Engl J Med 2004; 350
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Early benefit Event curves began to separate as early as 30 days
PROVE-IT Early benefit Event curves began to separate as early as 30 days In other placebo-controlled studies—4S, Heart Protection Study—there was a lag of approximately 12 to 18 months before event curves separated
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LDL reduction PROVE-IT LDL cholesterol Pravastatin 40 mg (n=1973)
Atorvastatin 80 mg (n=2003) Final LDL cholesterol (mg/dL) 95.0 62.0 N Engl J Med 2004; 350
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Thumbs up, but… "Two thumbs up, but with regrets." Landmark trial:
PROVE-IT Thumbs up, but… "Two thumbs up, but with regrets." Landmark trial: Even drugs in the same class require head-to-head comparisons Need incentives for companies that conduct such trials to be rewarded instead of punished Califf
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PROVE-IT Underpowered "I don't have a problem with the result of the study, even though it was underpowered to begin with." —Califf "They did have enough events to show a difference." —Topol
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What do the results mean?
PROVE-IT What do the results mean? "I looked at this trial with interest, being a statin taker myself." If a drug wins head-to-head, even in an ACS population, then high-dose atorvastatin would be the drug of choice right now Need for further study against other statins and combinations Califf
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PROVE-IT and REVERSAL? REVERSAL
IVUS study showed a lack of atherosclerotic progression in stable coronary patients JAMA 2004; 291: Benefit broader than ACS "Until proven otherwise, this would be an appropriate starting dose in someone who carries significant risk." Topol
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PROVE-IT All about the LDL? Does the PROVE-IT trial prove that it's all about the LDL? What about rosuvastatin? Bigger LDL bang for your buck? Statin/ezetimibe combination? "It isn't all just LDL." —Topol
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"LDL-centric world" REVERSAL
PROVE-IT "LDL-centric world" REVERSAL CRP important to lack of atherosclerotic progression How low to go with LDL? If LDL was 80 mg/dL and CRP was quite low, I don't know if I would keep trying to lower LDL —Topol
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Outcome data Need for more outcome data
PROVE-IT Outcome data Need for more outcome data It's clear we want to be more aggressive, but too many unknowns with other statins and doses —Topol The two statins that are in play from my perspective are simvastatin and atorvastatin —Califf
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More trials Coming soon TNT Atorvastatin 80 mg vs atorvastatin 10 mg
PROVE-IT More trials Coming soon TNT Atorvastatin 80 mg vs atorvastatin 10 mg IDEAL Atorvastatin 80 mg vs simvastatin 20 mg SEARCH Low-dose vs high-dose simvastatin
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Thumbs "I give this one two thumbs up, but with regrets."
PROVE-IT Thumbs "I give this one two thumbs up, but with regrets." Give 25% of Pfizer's profits to BMS for having done the right thing "After years of thrashing atorvastatin for not having data, they've got the data and I'm ready to make the switch." Califf
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Superior Yield of the New Strategy of Enoxaparin, Revascularization, and Glycoprotein IIb/IIIa Inhibitors SYNERGY
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SYNERGY Background Millions of times a year, doctors from around the world are making decisions in acute coronary syndromes about whether to use: Unfractionated heparin or Low-molecular-weight heparin
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Enoxaparin in past studies
SYNERGY Enoxaparin in past studies ESSENCE, TIMI 11b Enoxaparin appeared hopeful in terms of easy use, little bleeding Many patients did not undergo intervention or receive IIb/IIIa inhibitors SYNERGY High-risk population with non-ST- segment elevation MI
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Design Enoxaparin vs unfractionated heparin
SYNERGY Design Enoxaparin vs unfractionated heparin high-risk ACS patients in centers Aged 60 years or older, positive troponin, or ST segment shift Primary end point of death/MI at 30 days
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SYNERGY Results
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Bleeding SYNERGY Bleeding Enoxaparin (%) UFH (%) p
GUSTO severe bleeding 2.9 2.4 0.107 H&H drop/ICH 15.2 12.5 0.001 TIMI major bleeding 9.1 7.6 0.008 Transfusions 17.0 16.0 0.155 H&H=hemoglobin and hematocrit; ICH=intracranial hemorrhage
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Patients with no prior antithrombotic treatment
SYNERGY No prior treatment Patients with no prior antithrombotic treatment
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SYNERGY Conclusion "In the end, we're left with a trial that by intention to treat showed noninferiority for efficacy and a modest excess of bleeding." Califf
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SYNERGY Disappointing trial "The question was right, the design was right, the end points were great." "But I have a problem with the interpretation, or at least some of the perception of the data." "I think that the trial, if we just call it like it is, says enoxaparin isn't good for aggressive management of acute coronary syndrome—that's how I see the results of this trial." Topol
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Debating enoxaparin "I have a disagreement here."
SYNERGY Debating enoxaparin "I have a disagreement here." "My interpretation, contrary to yours, is that you ought to stick with what you start with and I think enoxaparin is a bit better to start with." Califf
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Thumbs "Obviously we have a divergence of opinion on this one."
SYNERGY Thumbs "Obviously we have a divergence of opinion on this one." "It will be very interesting to follow the clinical-use trends as the people discuss this and the papers come out." Califf
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