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RBC Whistler Conference 2003 The View from the Summit

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Presentation on theme: "RBC Whistler Conference 2003 The View from the Summit"— Presentation transcript:

1 RBC Whistler Conference 2003 The View from the Summit
Robert McFarlane EVP & Chief Financial Officer February 19, 2003

2 Forward-Looking Legal Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking statements about expected future events and financial and operating results that are subject to risks and uncertainties. TELUS’ actual results, performance, or achievement could differ materially from those expressed or implied by such statements. For additional information on potential risk factors, see TELUS’ Annual Information Form, and other filings with securities commissions in Canada and the United States. TELUS disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. All dollars in C$ unless otherwise specified.

3 Agenda Q4 Review 2002 Review 2003 Outlook

4 About TELUS Mobility Leading national wireless provider Subscribers
Revenue - $2.0B EBITDA - $535M CDMA footprint - coast to coast 1X iDEN Mike network - only one in Canada Spectrum position - best in Canada Licensed POPs - Cdn. Population (31.4M) Network coverage - 27.4M (~90%) + roaming Strategic relationships - Verizon Wireless & Nextel

5 Q4 Review Slide 5

6 Q4 Review – Mobility ($M) Q4-01 Q4-02 Change Network Revenue 424 491 
16% EBITDA 55 129 133% Capex 205 125 39% Capex Intensity1 42.6% 22.6% 20pts EBITDA-capex (150) 3.4 102% Flat YoY expenses on strong network revenue growth & reduced capex drove tremendous cash flow improvement 1 Ratio of capex to total revenues

7 Q4 Review – Mobility Q4-01 Q4-02 Change Subscribers 2.6M 3.0M  16%
ARPU $56 - Churn 2.09% 1.68% 41pts COA $509 $543 6.7% COA (ex. retention) $447 $478 6.9% ~20% ARPU premium to competitors maintained Material improvement in churn rate

8 Q4 ARPU flat year-over-year Average Revenue Per Unit ($/month)
Q4 Review – ARPU Q4 ARPU flat year-over-year $56 $56 Q4-01 Q4-02 Average Revenue Per Unit ($/month)

9 Q4 monthly churn rate improved 41 pts YoY
Q4 Review – Churn Q4 monthly churn rate improved 41 pts YoY 2.09% 1.68% Q4-01 Q4-02 Monthly churn rate (%)

10 2002 Review

11 2002 Review Performance vs. Targets
Original Target Results Variance Revenue $1.95 to 2.0B $2.02B 2.3% EBITDA $450 to 470M $535M 16% Capex $560M $460M 18% EBITDA-capex ($110) to (90M) $75M $175M Significantly exceeded 2002 targets

12 2002 Review EBITDA & Margin Outstanding 2002 EBITDA growth of 50% contributing to material YoY margin expansions $535M EBITDA Margin 26% $356M 20% $173M 11% 2000 2001 2002 Wireless EBITDA ($)

13 2002 Review Capital Expenditures
Significant capital intensity improvement $644M1 Capex intensity $460M 35% 23% 2001 2002 Capital Expenditures ($M) 1 Excludes $356M for spectrum acquisition in 2001

14 2002 Review Capital Intensity
Superior capital intensity compared to US average 27% 25% 23% U.S. Average Canadian Average1 TELUS Mobility Capital Intensity (%) Source: Company & analyst reports

15 Positive cash flow of $75M in 2002 $719M YoY improvement
2002 Review EBITDA-Capex Positive cash flow of $75M in $719M YoY improvement $75M 2001 2002 ($644M) EBITDA-Capex ($M)

16 2002 Review Performance vs. Targets
Original Target Results Variance Net additions 425 to 450K 418K (20K) Churn < 2.0% 1.8% 20 pts Introduce new data products & services N/A 1X / SMS / ++ Implement roaming/resale agreements complete

17 Net additions flat YoY despite decline in industry net additions
2002 Review Net Additions Net additions flat YoY despite decline in industry net additions 418K 418K 2001 2002 Net Additions

18 2002 Review Net Additions Although flat YoY, 2002 net additions of 418K represent increased share of industry net additions 2001 2002 TELUS Mobility 22% TELUS Mobility ~30% 1.3M 1.9M Source: Company & analyst reports

19 TELUS Mobility has industry leading postpaid mix
2002 Review Subscriber Mix TELUS Mobility has industry leading postpaid mix Prepaid 17% Postpaid 83% 3.0M Subscribers

20 2002 Review ARPU YTD ARPU industry leading with ~20% premium to closest competitor TELUS Mobility BCE Wireless Rogers AT&T Microcell $55 $45 $46 $401 Average Revenue Per Unit ($/month) 1 Microcell ARPU 9 mo. YTD Source: Company reports & analyst reports

21 North American industry leading monthly churn rate in Q4-02
2002 Review Churn North American industry leading monthly churn rate in Q4-02 2.8% 2.3% 1.8% U.S. Average Canadian Average1 TELUS Mobility Monthly Churn (%) Source: Company & analyst reports 1 Microcell churn estimated

22 Other Accomplishments in 2002
Completed integration (incl. Billing systems) Implementation of roaming agreements Improved network quality Significantly increased distribution Cross Carrier SMS in Canada Verizon - preferred Canadian roaming partner

23 2002 Review How far we have come in 2 years
Proforma 2000 2002 Change % Change Digital POPs (M) 22.6 27.4 4.8 21% Subscribers (000s) 2,160 2,996 836 39% ARPU ($) 59 55 (4) (6.8)% Churn (%) 1.98 1.80 18pts 9.1% Lifetime revenue ($) 2,980 3,056 76 2.5% Subscriber base up 39% Industry-leading value per subscriber has increased

24 2002 Review How far we have come in 2 years
Proforma ($M) 2000 2002 Change % Change Network Rev. 1,396 1,853 457 33% EBITDA 173 535 362 209% Capex 534 460 74 14% Cap. Intensity1 23% 10pts - EBITDA-capex (360) 75 435 Tripling of EBITDA and capex reduction drove a $435M improvement in annual cash flow 1 Ratio of capex to total revenues

25 2003 Outlook

26 What’s coming - SMS continues to explode
June 2002 Sept 2002 Jan 2003 137% 1,027% 682% Introduction April 2002 TELUS Mobility SMS usage increasing exponentially

27 What’s coming - Cool new phones

28 What’s coming - Cool phones take pictures

29 What’s coming - Cool pocket PC phone

30 What’s coming - Cool new RIM Blackberry

31 What’s coming - Mike goes national

32 2003 Targets Revenue Net additions Churn rate EBITDA Capex
YoY Change Revenue ~$2.2 to 2.25B 9 to 11% Net additions 400 to 450K flat Churn rate 1.8% or less flat or better EBITDA $625 to 650M 17 to 21% Capex $450M 2% EBITDA-capex $175 to 200M 133 to 167% 2003 targets reflect continued relentless focus on profitable subscriber growth

33 How does TELUS Mobility measure up?
TM 2003 Targets Cdn Avg 2003 US Avg 2003 EBITDA margin 29% 20% Annual EBITDA growth rate 19% 14% 16% Capex intensity1 17% 22% (EBITDA – Capex) / tot. rev2 8.4% 7.4% 6.6% Mkt penetration/cov. POPs 12% 42% 53% No. of carriers in market 3 to 4 6 to 8 Penetration gain/carrier3 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% Mobility’s 2003 key indicators superior to industry benchmarks Sources: TELUS estimates. Cdn. Statistics - Company Reports; US Statistics - Company Reports and Morgan Stanley 1 Projected capex as a % of forecast total revenue. 2 Projected EBITDA less projected Capex divided by projected total revenues 3 Projected wireless penetration gain divided by # of carriers in market. For TELUS, projected net adds divided by projected covered POPs

34 Summary Met/exceeded 2002 financial targets
Industry leader - ARPU & churn Value creation focused on leading EBITDA growth Capital discipline driving enhanced efficiency Free cash flow positive Proven management team Cash generation superior to North American peers TELUS Mobility is a premium wireless asset with superior operating metrics

35 Questions? Answers! Slide 35

36 1-800-667-4871 www.telus.com ir@telus.com
Investor Relations


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