1. Stats SA: 1st quarter 2016/17 Presentation to Portfolio Committee
Pali Lehohla
Statistician-General

2. Contents Stats SA: 1st quarter 2016/17
Policy, Statistics and Decision-making
The Work Programme
Financial position of Stats SA
Investing in relevance for better decisions

3. Mandate for Official Statistics
Stats SA: 1st quarter 2016/17
Mandate for Official Statistics
Fundamental Principles of Official Statistics
(United Nations adopted 10 principles)
African Charter on Statistics
(African Union adopted 6 principles)
Statistics Act (Act 6 of 1999)
Statistical production
Statistical coordination
Global
Conti-nental
National

4. Policy and Statistics Stats SA: 1st quarter 2016/17
Policy Agenda: SDGs
(Sustainable development Goals)
Policy Agenda: Vision 2063
(African Integration Agenda: Long term perspective of Africa’s development)
Policy Agenda: NDP & MTSF
(National Development Plan: Long-term perspective of SA’s development)
Global
Conti-nental
National

5. Policy, Statistics and Decision-making
Stats SA: 1st quarter 2016/17
Policy, Statistics and Decision-making
Policy research
Citizenry
Cabinet
Who measures impact?
Who determines what has to be measured?
Stats SA
Stats SA
Other state institutions
Planning, implementation, monitoring and evaluation systems
NDP
Emerging data needs
Who defines what has to be measured?
Who measures outputs and outcomes?
Data revolution
MTSF
Cabinet
State institutions
Who determines outcomes?
Who determines what inputs & outputs?
Who measures inputs & outputs
Stats SA
Stats SA

6. Policy, Statistics and Decision-making
Stats SA: 1st quarter 2016/17
Policy, Statistics and Decision-making
For USE in
Planning (baseline information for NDP)
Monitoring and Evaluation (measuring development & impact)
Policy development (rationale for better policies)
Decision-making (decision-making in government, business & the public)

7. Strategic context & intent
The Work Programmme
Strategic context & intent
Measuring the Economy
Measuring Society

8. Changing external environment
Growing policy agendas
Changing user demand
Are we a capable organisation that can respond
Integrative power of location-based data
Rapid advancement in technology
New data ecosystem
DATA EXPLOSION

9. Where do we come from? Beyond 2020 Phase 6 Mergers, networks
Extra-organizational solutions
Environmental change
People disoriented and disenfranchised,
'active inertia' tends to pull managers back to following established patterns of behaviour
Growth through alliances

10. Delivery of key projects
Community Survey
CS results launched
in June
GDP(E)
Delivered in
June
Integrative planning tools
Tools developed
New Building
Moved in
August
Digital work place
CSS and CS
Reweighting CPI
January
Legislative reform
In progress

11. S T A R T Strategic intent: Use at the centre Statistics Transparency
are numerical facts for statecraft
Statistics T
a pre-audit to ensure predictability
Transparency A
taking responsibility and accepting consequences
Accountability R
allow parties to read the same facts
Results T
is action in unison to drive change for the better
Transformation
Outcome: Use of evidence in planning, policy, M&E and decision-making 57

12. What do we want to achieve National Development Plan
IDP
DGDP
PGDP
MTSF
(Sector plans)
Regional
(SADC)
Agenda
2063
SDG
Integrated indicator framework at the centre

13. How: Integration by Design
User needs
Integrate planning
Integrate content design
Integrate disse-mination
Integrated products
Modernise & integrate business process
Getting the basic statistics right
Integrated indicator framework
Embed statistics in planning, M&E systems and policy processes

14. Strategy implementation2 1
re-engineer
Integration
align demand, method, output
by design 5
rationalise
Align staff
to priorities 3 4
modernise
geospatial
go digital
link to location

15. GDP Prices Employment Measuring the Economy Manufacturing
Trade
Finances
Provincial spending
GDP
Forestry
Services
Employment
Consumer Price Index
Producer price Index
Primary Sector
Prices
Mining
Transport sector
Government
Communication
Wholesale Trade
The United Nations principles state official statistics are produced:
As public information which is relevant, impartial and accessible.
With professional standards and ethics.
Using accountable and transparent methods and procedures.
Ensuring misuse and erroneous interpretation is prevented.
In a cost-effective manner.
With all individual data as confidential
Within required statistical system legislation.
With coordination nationally among producers.
Using international standards, concepts, classifications, methods.
Where international cooperation is fostered.
Buildings
Electricity
Agriculture
Statistical Reports: 247

16. Poverty Population Labour Measuring Society Health CRIME
Housing
Gender
Education
Population
Deaths
Marriages
Births
Divorces
Labour
Youth unemployment
Single headed households
Poverty
CRIME
Access to Water
The United Nations principles state official statistics are produced:
As public information which is relevant, impartial and accessible.
With professional standards and ethics.
Using accountable and transparent methods and procedures.
Ensuring misuse and erroneous interpretation is prevented.
In a cost-effective manner.
With all individual data as confidential
Within required statistical system legislation.
With coordination nationally among producers.
Using international standards, concepts, classifications, methods.
Where international cooperation is fostered.
Causes of death
Vulnerable groups
Access to Electricity
Access to Transport
Statistical Reports: 69 52

17. The Work Programmme
Financial position
Stats SA at risk
Looking ahead

18. Position of Stats SA Financial R100 million R143 million R147 million
Cost cutting measures introduced as early as 2008/09
Savings from CoE:
used to fund mission critical priorities including GDP(e), IES/LCS, Master sample etc
Financial
Position of Stats SA
2017/18
2018/19
2019/20
CoE: R123 mil
G&S: R16 mil
Cap: R3 mil
CoE: R180 mil
G&S: R19 mil
Cap: R3 mil
CoE: R196 mil
G&S: R24 mil
Cap: R3 mil
R141 million
R201 million
R224 million
ENE: Total cut
Projected overspend on “warm bodies”
Stats SA will need to reduce
“warm bodies”
Stats SA will need to reduce
“warm bodies”
R100 million
R143
million
R147
million
Projected overspend
R70m once off

19. Financial Position of Stats SA 9% 13% 13% 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
ENE allocation
R billion
R billion
R billion
Financial
Position of Stats SA
CoE: R123 mil
G&S: R16 mil
Cap: R3 mil
Total: R141 mil
CoE: R180 mil
G&S: R19 mil
Cap: R3 mil
Total: R201 mil
CoE: R196 mil
G&S: R24 mil
Cap: R3 mil
Total: R224 mil
ENE cut
CoE allocation
R billion
R billion
billion 9%
13%
13%
% cut in CoE
10,9%
Used vacancies to appoint contract staff for increase in household survey sample
Vacancy rate as at 31/03/2017

20. Stats SA at Risk Warm bodies not affordable
Cannot fill critical vacancies
Key indicators will be affected
GDP, CPI & SEEA
Quality of basic statistics weakens over time – response rates, timeliness
Risk measurement of NDP & MTSF
Discontinue certain statistical products
Adverse impact on planning, policy decisions,
measuring impact and International comparability

21. Looking Ahead Secure financial position Legislative reform
Getting the basic statistics right
Invest in modernisation & innovation
Integrated indicator framework for SA
Value-added products for increased relevance

22. P P P Thank You Planet People Prosperity
Information about the environment
Planet P
Information about people and society
People P
Information about the economy
Prosperity 58