1. Modification 0282 Action 002 Update
Joanna Ferguson

2. Assumptions Used NGN region has approx 6.7m inhabitants
NGN has approx 2.4m domestic customers
Assuming household occupancy of 2.28
Suggests 2.9m houses in NGN region
Therefore estimated connection level of 82%
Therefore of the 300k unoccupied homes quoted in mod 282, approx 245k will have a gas connection

3. Prices Assumed
Weighted average UK unit rates as at 1 April 2010 prices:
LDZ Capacity (p/peak day kWh per day)
0.1362
LDZ Commodity (p/kWh)
0.0214
Customer Charge
0.0752
Average UK Load Factor
34.1%
Average domestic consumption
20,000KWh
Therefore average SOQ
161KWh

4. Financial Impact
Assume 100% take up nationally of 282 proposal for 12 months
LDZ Capacity per household
£ 79.93
LDZ Commodity per household
£ 4.28
Customer charge per household
£ 44.13
Total per household £
times 245k vacant homes
£ 31,445k
2010/11 Allowed Revenue forecast
£ 2,835,800k
% attributable to vacant homes
1.1%

5. Questions?