1. Current and future drivers
SOU financial picture
Current and future drivers

2. Key elements of the Pro Forma
Revenue:
State Support
Increased funding – with new obligations
Some one-time funding, to support ongoing commitments
Contingent upon future success with the Outcomes Based Funding (OBF) Model
Opportunity?
Tuition
Enrollment has exceeded projections significantly
Still a decline for FY15, but significantly better than forecast
Current FY16 is an increase
Enrollment Mix supports Tuition Revenue

3. Key Elements of the Pro Forma (cont.)
Expenditures
Labor
Retrenchment Plan as basis
Roll Up costs of labor costs will be a challenge
OPE costs
Medical
Retirement
Supplies and Services
Again, impact of OUS break up
Small portion of budget is really discretionary

4. SOU Financial Pro Forma 2011-2019
EDUCATION & GENERAL/Budgeted Ops
Biennium
Biennium
Biennium
Biennium
Actual
Actual
Actual
Actual
Budget
Forecast
Forecast
Forecast
Forecast
State General Fund
12,642
13,195
13,762
17,065
20,392
21,022
21,033
21,769
One-time Classified Staff Funding
468
Tuition, Fees, net of Remissions
32,837
33,526
33,278
33,043
33,672
34,372
35,403
36,465
37,559
Other
1,657
1,851
3,008
1,915
1,863
1,935
2,000
2,100
2,200
Total Revenues
47,136
48,572
50,048
52,023
55,927
56,699
58,893
59,598
61,528
Personnel Services
(42,343)
(42,360)
(43,948)
(42,953)
(45,447)
(46,008)
(47,848)
(50,791)
(53,762)
Supplies & Services & Capital Outlay
(6,809)
(9,388)
(7,229)
(8,054)
(7,890)
(8,249)
(8,048)
(8,209)
(8,373)
Program Investment
(582)
(250)
Total Expenditures
(49,152)
(51,748)
(51,177)
(51,007)
(53,919)
(54,839)
(56,478)
(59,178)
(62,385)
Net from Operations
(2,016)
(3,179)
(1,129)
1,016
2,008
1,860
2,415
420
(857)
Net Transfers
(166)
328
1,855
1,998
(652)
(187)
(400)
(500)
(600)
Change in Fund Balance
(2,182)
(2,848)
726
3,014
1356
1,673
2,015
(80)
(1,457)
Beginning Fund Balance
5,551
3,869
1,019
1,745
4,759
6,432
8,447
8,367
Ending Fund Balance
6,115
6,910
Ending FB as a % Operating Revenues
8.1%
2.1%
3.5%
9.1%
10.9%
11.3%
14.3%
14.0%
11.2%
Retrenchment Plan Projections:
1.9%
7.6%
7.8%
10.2%
11.0%

5. 2016 and beyond Revenue Expenditures
Will State support continue at current levels, grow, or reduce?
How will SOU compete under new outcomes based funding model?
Can enrollment growth be sustained? (Recruitment and Retention = growth)
Will programs to recruit, retain, and graduate students be successful?
Relative to cost?
Relative to other Oregon Public Universities?
Expenditures
Labor – Salary, Retirement, Medical, how will these costs all fare in the future?
Supplies and Services – Utility and Maintenance costs will continue to rise, can other costs be managed to offset?
What is everyone’s role in managing these events to the best outcome?