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Economic Problems of Developing Countries.

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Presentation on theme: "Economic Problems of Developing Countries."— Presentation transcript:

1 Economic Problems of Developing Countries

2 Economic Problems of Developing Countries
The Problem of Underdevelopment

3 THE PROBLEM OF UNDERDEVELOPMENT
The gulf between rich and poor countries differences in GNY 2

4 GNY per head as % of US GNY per head: 2000 (using ppp exchange rates)

5 THE PROBLEM OF UNDERDEVELOPMENT
The gulf between rich and poor countries differences in GNY differences in mortality and health 2

6 THE PROBLEM OF UNDERDEVELOPMENT
The gulf between rich and poor countries differences in GNY differences in mortality and health other differences 2

7 Selected world statistics

8 Selected world statistics

9 Selected world statistics

10 Selected world statistics

11 Selected world statistics

12 Selected world statistics

13 Selected world statistics

14 Selected world statistics

15 Selected world statistics

16 Selected world statistics

17 THE PROBLEM OF UNDERDEVELOPMENT
Differences between developing countries resources and climate infrastructure cultural and social factors degree of industrialisation relations with developed world 2

18 THE PROBLEM OF UNDERDEVELOPMENT
Measuring development basic needs approach advantages of this approach disadvantages of this approach using GNY statistics the Human Development Index 4

19 Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (1999)

20 Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (1999)

21 Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (1999)

22 Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (1999)

23 Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (1999)

24 Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (1999)

25 Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (1999)

26 Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (1999)

27 Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (1999)

28 Economic Problems of Developing Countries
International Trade and Development

29 INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT
Role of international trade in economic development importance of trade trade strategies primary outward-looking strategy secondary inward-looking strategy import-substituting industrialisation (ISI) secondary outward-looking strategy exporting manufactures 5

30 INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT
Primary outward-looking strategy importance of primary exports justification for exporting primaries comparative advantage (Heckscher–Ohlin) vent for surplus; engine for growth weakness of traditional trade theory problems for primary exporters: long term slow growth in exports rapid growth in imports problems for primary exporters: short term price and output fluctuations 6

31 World primary commodity prices (1990 = 100)

32 World primary commodity prices (1990 = 100)

33 INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT
Primary outward-looking strategy importance of primary exports justification for exporting primaries comparative advantage (Heckscher–Ohlin) vent for surplus; engine for growth weakness of traditional trade theory problems for primary exporters: long term slow growth in exports rapid growth in imports problems for primary exporters: short term 6

34 INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT
Primary outward-looking strategy importance of primary exports justification for exporting primaries comparative advantage (Heckscher–Ohlin) vent for surplus; engine for growth weakness of traditional trade theory problems for primary exporters: long term slow growth in exports rapid growth in imports problems for primary exporters: short term price and output fluctuations 6

35 INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT
Import-substituting industrialisation the process of ISI justification problems of primary-outward looking policies greater dynamic potential with industrial production infant industries 7

36 INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT
Import-substituting industrialisation adverse effects against comparative advantage cushions inefficiency urban bias damages exports wide variations in effective protection social / cultural problems environmental costs 7

37 INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT
Exporting manufactures 8

38 Growth rates and export performance of
selected secondary outward-looking countries

39 Growth rates and export performance of
selected secondary outward-looking countries

40 Growth rates and export performance of
selected secondary outward-looking countries

41 INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT
Exporting manufactures transition from inward-looking to outward-looking industrialisation 8

42 INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT
Exporting manufactures transition from inward-looking to outward-looking industrialisation benefits from a secondary outward-looking policy 8

43 INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT
Exporting manufactures transition from inward-looking to outward-looking industrialisation benefits from a secondary outward-looking policy drawbacks of a secondary outward-looking policy 8

44 Economic Problems of Developing Countries
Structural Problems in Developing Countries

45 STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
The neglect of agriculture problems of urban bias policies to promote agriculture problems with these policies Inappropriate technology capital-intensity biases arguments for capital-intensive technology arguments for labour-intensive technology 9

46 STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
Unemployment rapid population growth capital-intensity bias 10

47 Limited choice of techniques: one technique only
Capital (K) O Labour (L)

48 Limited choice of techniques: one technique only
Expansion path c K3 Capital (K) Q3 L3 b K2 Q2 L2 a K1 Q1 L1 O Labour (L)

49 Limited choice of techniques: one technique only
Assume that total capital supply is K total labour supply is L Capital (K) Q3 K L Q2 Q1 O Labour (L)

50 Limited choice of techniques: one technique only
With K of capital, only Q2 can be produced. Only L1 will be required L - L1 will be unemployed. Capital (K) Q3 K Q2 L1 Q1 O L Labour (L)

51 Capital intensity bias
Assume that the total supply of capital is K, and the total supply of labour is L. Capital (K) K L Q1 Q2 O Labour (L)

52 Capital intensity bias
With competitively determined prices, the market will clear at point d with output of Q1 and price ratio given by the slope of AB A B Capital (K) d K Q1 Q2 O L Labour (L)

53 Capital intensity bias
With a lower relative price of capital (given by slope of line CD) or a bias in favour of capital-intensive techniques, less labour will be employed (L1) and output will be lower (Q2). A C D Capital (K) d K L1 Q1 Q2 O L B Labour (L)

54 STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
Unemployment rapid population growth capital-intensity bias rural–urban migration 10

55 STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
Unemployment rapid population growth capital-intensity bias rural–urban migration external influences 10

56 STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
Unemployment rapid population growth capital-intensity bias rural–urban migration external influences Inflation 10

57 STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
Unemployment rapid population growth capital-intensity bias rural–urban migration external influences Inflation problems of hyper-inflation 10

58 STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
Unemployment rapid population growth capital-intensity bias rural–urban migration external influences Inflation problems of hyper-inflation monetarist explanations 10

59 STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
Unemployment rapid population growth capital-intensity bias rural–urban migration external influences Inflation problems of hyper-inflation monetarist explanations structuralist explanations 10

60 Economic Problems of Developing Countries
The Problem of Debt

61 Growth in debt of developing countries: (average annual)

62 Growth in debt of developing countries: (average annual)

63 Growth in debt of developing countries: (average annual)

64 Growth in debt of developing countries: (average annual)

65 Debt ratios and the growth of debt: (average of all developing countries)

66 Debt ratios and the growth of debt: (average of all developing countries)

67 Debt ratios and the growth of debt: (average of all developing countries)

68 THE PROBLEM OF DEBT Effects of the first oil shock 1971–78
Effects of the second oil shock 1979–84 deep world recession decline in commodity prices high interest rates Effects of recessions in early 1990s and early 2000s 11

69 THE PROBLEM OF DEBT The effects of the debt problem on developing countries effects on growth effects on poverty Coping with debt crises: rescheduling rescheduling official loans rescheduling commercial loans 12

70 THE PROBLEM OF DEBT Dealing with debt
structural reform in developing countries IMF policy recommendations interventionist solutions debt swaps debt forgiveness the HIPC initiative Jubilee 2000 subsequent events should all debt be cancelled and aid increased? 13


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