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Anna Manoulik Sean McGreal Reid Hosford

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1 Anna Manoulik Sean McGreal Reid Hosford
Strategy rotation based on market volatility Anna Manoulik  Sean McGreal Reid Hosford February 4th, 2010

2 The Volatility Index (VIX)
Often referred to as the “investor fear gauge”, the VIX is a measure of the volatility of S&P 500 index options (SPX). This option activity implies future volatility on the S&P 500. Since its introduction in 1993, VIX has been considered by many to be the world's premier barometer of investor sentiment and market volatility. Information obtained from “Understanding VIX” by: Robert E. Whaley founder of the VIX measure

3 Motivation The Effect of Market Regimes on Style Allocation, by: Manuel Ammann and Michael Verhofen High-Variance Regime,  value stocks deliver a good performance, Low-Variance Regime  market portfolio and momentum stocks promise high returns. Market Volatility and Momentum, by: Kevin Q. Wang, Jianguo Xu High volatility  poor momentum strategy performance,

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5 Description Momentum: 12 month evaluation period and 3 month holding period (based on “Returns to buying winners and selling losers: Implications for stock market efficiency” by: Jegadeesh and Titman) Value stocks: Chosen based on an industry diversified basket containing top 5% of companies in terms of Book/Market


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