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CHAPTER FOUR CHAPTER FIVE

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1 CHAPTER FOUR CHAPTER FIVE
DEVELOPING A BUSINESS MODEL & CONDUCTING A FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS CHAPTER FOUR CHAPTER FIVE

2 Concept Quick Test Am I really interested in this business opportunity? Is anyone else interested? Will people pay for what is being offered? Why me? Why now?

3 Developing a Business Concept
A business concept is a concise description of an opportunity that contains four essential elements: The customer definition – Who is the customer The value proposition – What is the benefit to the customer The product/service The distribution channel – delivery to the customer Concept Statement Creating a clear and concise concept statement is not difficult but telling a compelling story can be. A compelling story consists of a problem and a solution. The problem being solved should be presented in a simple clear way. The Value Proposition The compelling story is the benefit that the customer derives from the product or service It is often intangible The compelling story answers the questions: Why the interest? What problem does this solve?

4 The Business Model Two fundamental activities Venture creates value
Differentiating itself from competitors Meets an unserved need/problem in the market How to make money from the products and services offered: (Capturing Value) How will value be created for stakeholders How to sustain efficacy of the model over time

5 Building a Business Model
What are the size and importance of Revenue Streams What costs most affect the model (cost drivers) Capital requirements Critical success factors (CSF) Firm Industry

6 Business Concept and Business Model: & Integration
Ø      The customer definition – Who is the customer Ø      The value proposition – What is the benefit to the customer o       What is the un-served need/problem Ø     The product/service o       Capability: the firm’s capacity or ability to integrate individual firm resources to achieve a desired objective. o       Where is the firm situated in its’ industry’s value chain o       How does the firm capture value (make money) o       How does the firm differentiate itself from competitors o       How does this capability stand up to the four criteria Bus Concept A business concept is a concise description of an opportunity that contains four essential elements: The customer definition – Who is the customer The value proposition – What is the benefit to the customer The product/service – the firm’s capacity or ability to integrate individual firm resources to achieve a desired objective. (Capability) The distribution channel – delivery to the customer <<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<< Bus Model Two fundamental activities Venture creates value Differentiating itself from competitors Meets an unserved need/problem in the market How to make money from the products and services offered: (Capturing Value) How will value be created for stakeholders How to sustain efficacy of the model over time

7 Why Business Models Fail
Lack a compelling story Model is not carefully conceived Numbers do not make sense Model is not executed well

8 Why Business Models Fail
“It ain’t what you don’t know that hurts you. It’s what you know that ain’t true!” (Solow) ASSUMPTIONS

9 Feasibility Analysis Is there a customer base and a market of sufficient size to make the concept viable? Can an appropriate start-up or founding team be assembled to effectively execute the concept? Do the capital requirements to start, based on estimates of sales and expenses, make sense?

10 Areas To Be Analyzed And Questions To Ask Integrated with Timmons Model
The Opportunity Business Concept Industry And Market/Customer Product/Service Founding Team Resources Financial Needs Assessment Business Concept Who is the customer? What is the value proposition? What is the product/service being offered? What does the value chain look like? Which distribution channel alternatives are available, and which customers will be served by them? Are there ways to innovate in the distribution channel? Industry And Market/Customer What are the demographics, trends, patterns of change, and life cycle stage of the industry? Are there any barriers to entry? If so, what are they? What is the status of technology and R&D expenditures? What are typical profit margins in the industry? Who are the opinion leaders in the industry and how do they affect the industry? What are distributors, competitors, retailers, and others saying about the industry? What are the demographics of the target market? What is the profile of the first customer? Are there other potential customers? Have you talked with customers? Who are your competitors, and how are you differentiated from them? Product/Service What are the features and benefits of the product or service? What product development tasks must be undertaken, and what is the timeline for completion? Is there potential for intellectual property rights? How is the product or service differentiated from others in the market? Founding Team What experience and expertise does the team have? What are the gaps and how will you fill them? Financial Needs Assessment What are your start-up capital requirements? What are your working capital requirements? What are your fixed cost requirements? How long will it take to achieve a positive cash flow from the revenues generated? What is the break-even point for the business?

11 Feasibility Analysis Outline
Cover Executive Summary Title Page Table of Contents Feasibility Decision The Business Concept Industry/Market Analysis Founding Team Product/Service Development Plan Financial Plan Timeline Bibliography Appendices

12 Anchors of Superior Businesses
They create or add significant value to a customer or end user They solve a significant problem, or meet a significant want or need, for which someone is willing to pay a premium

13 Anchors of Superior Businesses (Ctd.)
They are a good fit with the founder(s) and management team at the time and marketplace and with the risk-reward balance

14 Anchors of Superior Businesses (Ctd.)
They have robust market, margin, and moneymaking characteristics Large enough ($50 million+) High growth (20 percent +) High margins (40 percent +)

15 Anchors of Superior Businesses (Ctd.)
They have robust market, margin, and moneymaking characteristics Strong and early free cash flow (recurring revenue, low assets, and working capital) High profit potential (10 to 15 percent + after tax) Attractive realizable returns for investors (25 to 30 percent + IRR)

16 The Threshold Concept The odds for survival and a higher level of success change dramatically if the venture meets certain thresholds: At least 10 to 20 people $2 to $3 million in revenues Currently pursuing opportunities with growth potential $50,000 to $100,000 of sales per employee annually

17 END END

18 What a Firm Does In essence, we are talking about a firm’s capability /ies A Capability represents: “the firm’s capacity or ability to integrate individual firm resources to achieve a desired objective.” 34

19 What a Firm Does Evaluation Criteria
Valuable Rare Costly to Imitate Nonsubstitutable 34

20 Evaluation Criteria Valuable Rare Costly to Imitate Non-substitutable
Capabilities that either help a firm to exploit opportunities to create value for customers or to neutralize threats in the environment Rare Capabilities that are possessed by few, if any, current or potential competitors Costly to Imitate Capabilities that other firms cannot develop easily, usually due to unique historical conditions, causal ambiguity or social complexity Non-substitutable Capabilities that do not have strategic equivalents, such as firm-specific knowledge or trust-based relationships 42

21 What Makes a Service or Product Costly to Imitate?
Unique Historical Conditions An unusual evolutionary pattern of growth may contribute to the development of competencies in a manner that is unique to those particular circumstances Causal Ambiguity This occurs when competitors are unable to detect how a firm uses its competencies as a foundation for competitive advantage Social Complexity Occurs when the firm’s capabilities are the result of complex social phenomena, such as interpersonal relationships, trust and friendships among managers or a firm’s reputation with suppliers and customers 41

22 Implication of a Firm’s Capability/ies
Valuable Rare Costly to Imitate Nonsub-stitutable Competitive Consequences Performance Implications NO Competitive Disadvantage Below Average Returns YES NO YES/NO Competitive Parity Average Returns YES NO YES/NO Temporary Competitive Advantage Aver./Above Average Returns Above Average Returns YES Sustainable Competitive Advantage 46

23 Human Resource Management Technological Development
Firm Value Chain Firm Infrastructure Human Resource Management Support Activities MARGIN Technological Development Procurement Service Inbound Logistics Outbound Logistics Marketing & Sales MARGIN Operations Primary Activities

24 Value Chains as Part of a Total Value System
Supplier Value Chain Firm Value Chain Channel Value Chain Buyer Value Chain Upstream Value Each firm must eventually find a way to become a part of some buyer’s value chain Perform valuable activities that complement the firm’s activities Ultimate basis for differentiation is the ability to play a role in a buyer’s value chain This creates VALUE!! Value chains vary for firms in an industry, reflecting each firm’s unique qualities: History Strategy Success at Implementation 73

25 The Value Chain and the Concept
Forces affecting the nature of distribution channels and thus the value chain: The Internet Reduced transaction costs Disintermediation

26 Screening Methodologies
Quick Screen Provides a broad overview of an idea’s potential Enables the entrepreneur to conduct a preliminary review and evaluation of an idea in a short period of time

27 Quick Screen Part A: Market and Margin Related Issues

28 Quick Screen Part B: Competitive Advantages
Part II of figure on page 121

29 Quick Screen Part C: Value Creation and Realization Issues

30 Quick Screen Part D: Overall Potential
Part IV of figure on page 122


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