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Abhay Sagar, Alex Collins, Henry Liu

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1 Abhay Sagar, Alex Collins, Henry Liu
World TRADE WEB Abhay Sagar, Alex Collins, Henry Liu

2 Data World Trade Web ( Import and export numbers 196 countries (184 actual countries) Density = 0.55 Problems with data

3 Data Thresholding

4 Data Power Law Degree Distribution

5 Regional Trade Agreements (RTA)
NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement) ASEAN (Associations of SouthEast Asian Nations) CAIS (Central American Integration System) ACU (Arab Customs Union) ACN (Andean Community of Nations) CC (Caribbean Community) ECCAS (Economic Community of Central African States) ECA (East African Community) ECC (Eurasian Economic Community) CCASG (Cooperation Council for Arab States of the Gulf) MERCOSUR (Southern Common Market) SACU (Southern African Customs Union) ECWAS (Economic Community of West African States) EU (European Union) ACNMERCOSUR (Andean Community of Nations – Cooperation Agreement with MERCOSUR)

6 Clustering Coefficient

7 Clustering Coefficient

8 % Imports / Exports in RTA vs Random

9 Stratified Sampling Covariates Import and Export GDP
Import and Export GDP per capita Import and Export GDPppp Import and Export Region

10 Stratified Sampling - Successful

11 Stratified Sampling-Unsuccessful

12 Summary Table

13 Collaboration with Others
Jeff – Bipartite Graphs Dan and Mark – ERGMs

14 Conclusions RTAs affect trade noticeably
Cohesiveness and effectiveness of RTAs still a mystery Further exploration: Community detection Different thresholding RTA analysis over time


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